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TA&M

Texas A&M 44 at UCLA 45

UCLA
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2017 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:17 · Josh Rosen sacked by Tyrel Dodson for a loss of 17 yards to the UCLA 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−29.2Score differential−12.2Pregame prior+9.8Garbage-time factor−7.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:38: Keith Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +11.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:00: Jalen Starks run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +7.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:12: Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 42 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:10: Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +22.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:43: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 10 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +63.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9TA&M made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 11:09UCLA 4th & 10 at TA&M 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:11TA&M 4th & 1 at UCLA 1, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.8%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−3.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 24, up 14
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:45UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 42, down 14
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:25UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 31, down 21
    Close callPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:17TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:18UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:17UCLA 4th & 10 at TA&M 37, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:03TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:57TA&M 4th & 8 at UCLA 14, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:32UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 24, down 31
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:08TA&M 4th & 6 at UCLA 30, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:26TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:18TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 49, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:41TA&M 4th & 13 at UCLA 25, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    89.2%−4.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:05UCLA 4th & 3 at TA&M 33, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%−<0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:39TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−3.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:48UCLA 4th & 6 at TA&M 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.5%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−5.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−9.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:41TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:38TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:11TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:00UCLA Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:40TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:06UCLA Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:22UCLA Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:12UCLA Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:10UCLA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:43UCLA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%−6.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 3:4669% → 69%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
68.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+17
68.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 17 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
68.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
68.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 7 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
68.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 5 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
68.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Audie OmotoshoSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+22
68.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Roughing Passer (Donovan Wilson) to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
68.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
68.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for no gain to the TexAM 12Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
68.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
68.7%
JJ Molson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1931% → 35%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
68.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
68.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 13 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
68.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+12
68.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
68.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+1
68.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 8:12
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+14
68.3%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Roshauud Paul for 14 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
67.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+11
67.6%
Keith Ford run for 11 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
67.5%
Keith Ford run for 9 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Darnay Holmes) to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.3%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4366% → 65%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+18
65.3%
Josh Rosen sacked by Jarrett Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 21 Josh Rosen fumbled, forced by Jarrett Johnson, recovered by TexAM Armani Watts ,return for 18 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3435% → 37%
Q1 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.9%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
64.8%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
65.1%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q1 5:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
63.2%
Daniel LaCamera 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
63.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 20 Bolu Olorunfunmi fumbled, forced by Armani Watts, recovered by TexAM Myles JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:5138% → 42%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
62.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+12
62.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
58.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3760% → 58%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
59.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 5 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
58.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 63 yds , Christian Kirk returns for no gain to the TexAM 25 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keith Ford) to the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1143% → 44%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
57.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 8
-5
57.0%
Nick Starkel sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 3 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Nick Starkel) to the TexAM 3Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 13
OWN 3
+14
56.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
56.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 6 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
55.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
55.4%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
55.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Stephen Johnson at the UCLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5656% → 56%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
56.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
55.3%
Jordan Lasley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
56.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
55.9%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 57 yds, downed at the TexAM 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
7 plays · 99 yds · 2:5346% → 62%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
53.8%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+9
53.7%
Keith Ford run for 9 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
52.7%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+72
52.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 72 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
50.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
49.6%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 4 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.9%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5740% → 39%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
40.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the UCLA 24Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
39.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+7
39.1%
Josh Rosen run for 7 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
39.0%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5964% → 65%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.0%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
35.3%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
34.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
34.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5337% → 35%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
37.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
36.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
35.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Christian PabicoSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
35.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:5767% → 75%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
33.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+1
32.6%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 4
50
+16
32.1%
Kellen Mond run for 16 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
30.5%
Kellen Mond run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
29.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+15
33.9%
Kellen Mond run for 15 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
32.4%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
31.9%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
30.3%
Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
29.8%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.5%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 0:5836% → 34%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
36.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
40.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 7 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+54
26.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 54 yds to the TEXASAM 2 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Keldrick Carper) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.7%
Jalen Starks run for 2 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
23.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 61 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:1625% → 23%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
24.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
26.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
27.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
39.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso JamaboSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
36.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
36.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-17
22.7%
Josh Rosen sacked by Tyrel Dodson for a loss of 17 yards to the UCLA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1381% → 87%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
19.2%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Keith FordSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-7
19.2%
Christian Kirk run for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+12
12.7%
Keith Ford run for 12 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4784% → 86%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Jhamon AusbonSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
15.6%
Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Aaron HansfordSimilar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+43
14.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 43 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2714% → 13%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
14.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-1
12.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+12
12.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 12 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
12.8%
Josh Rosen sacked by Charles Oliver for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 37 Josh Rosen fumbled, forced by Charles Oliver, recovered by TexAM Kingsley Keke , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:2390% → 92%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
10.0%
Keith Ford run for 8 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+13
8.1%
Nick Starkel pass complete to Christian Kirk for 13 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
8.5%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
8.2%
Nick Starkel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 12
-2
8.3%
Nick Starkel sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
8.0%
Daniel LaCamera 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0510% → 10%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
9.8%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
9.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
10.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
10.1%
Stefan Flintoft punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:1693% → 97%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
6.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
7.7%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+10
8.0%
Kellen Mond run for 10 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
7.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Kendrick RogersSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
7.0%
Kendall Bussey run for 10 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
6.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-9
6.5%
Kellen Mond sacked by Rick Wade for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 46Similar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+20
5.1%
Keith Ford run for 20 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
4.6%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah JonesSimilar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
4.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
4.4%
Kellen Mond pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:08
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
3.3%
Daniel LaCamera 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:554% → 7%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 24 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
4.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
3.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+16
3.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+17
3.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 17 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3497% → 96%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.5%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
3.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 0:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
3.3%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Camron BuckleySimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
3.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 54 yds, downed at the UCLA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 1:565% → 6%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
5.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 8 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
6.0%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the UCLA 23Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+5
6.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 5 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
5.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 20 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
5.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 24 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
5.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 19 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
5.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
5.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:5096% → 97%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
4.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
4.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+14
4.1%
Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
3.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
3.3%
Keith Ford run for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
3.1%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Jhamon Ausbon for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-10
3.0%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+1
2.7%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
2.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 47 yds, downed at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28TD
5 plays · 96 yds · 1:023% → 15%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
3.0%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+28
2.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 28 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
3.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 9 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+17
3.2%
Soso Jamabo run for 17 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
15.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 42 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:2492% → 94%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
8.5%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Damion Ratley. UCLA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Adarius Pickett) to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
8.0%
Kellen Mond pass complete to Christian Kirk for 15 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
7.6%
Christian Kirk run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
6.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
7.0%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
7.0%
Kellen Mond run for 12 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
6.3%
Kellen Mond run for 7 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-1
6.1%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-9
5.7%
Kellen Mond sacked by Keisean Lucier-South for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+43
5.9%
Braden Mann 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:227% → 31%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
7.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 7 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
7.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Caleb Wilson, 3rd and 3 at UCLA 33. Josh Rosen passs incomplete to Darren Andrews,Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+41
6.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 26 yds to the TEXASAM 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Larry Pryor) to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
8.1%
Josh Rosen run for 4 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+11
8.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 11 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
7.9%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 16Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+16
30.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:1587% → 86%
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
13.2%
Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
13.8%
Kellen Mond sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner and Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
14.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 32TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 1:4924% → 83%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
23.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 11 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Theo HowardSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
24.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
26.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 6 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
24.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 16 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
29.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-5
26.9%
UCLA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+14
22.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 14 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-5
25.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
25.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+10
19.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 10 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
82.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 10 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 33DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1232% → 30%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.8%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
68.4%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
70.1%
Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · -22 yds · 0:2089% → 90%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
89.1%
UCLA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kenny Young) to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 25
OPP 49
-7
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:43
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 10 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+63.2
TD · Q4 3:10
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 16 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+22.9
TD · Q4 8:12
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 42 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+11.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com