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MOST

Missouri State 43 at Missouri 72

MIZ
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—MIZ 96.7%Tucker McCann 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 35 - HOME 51 · Q3 12:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:35 · Tucker McCann 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense+15.8Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:16: Nick Masoner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK) — MOST win probability +2.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:32: Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 89 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK) — MOST win probability +3.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:59: Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:53: Peyton Huslig run for 10 yds for a TD, (Peyton Huslig pass to Tyler Currie for Two-Point Conversion) MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined — MOST win probability +3.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:52: Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 14 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MOST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q2 15:00MOST 4th & 1 at MOST 29, up 1
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:16MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:59MOST 4th & 6 at MOST 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00MOST 4th & 6 at MOST 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:35MIZ 4th & 10 at MOST 17, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:48MOST 4th & 4 at MIZ 48, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:59MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 14, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:33MOST 4th & 10 at MIZ 27, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:47MOST 4th & 17 at MOST 18, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:08MIZ 4th & 3 at MOST 37, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:11MOST 4th & 21 at MOST 26, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MOST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:44MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:15MOST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:44MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:21MOST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 5:51MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 1:43MOST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 11:06MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 9:16MOST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 7:12MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 5:32MOST Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q2 4:59MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q2 1:03MIZ Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q3 3:56MIZ Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 14:53MOST Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 11:52MIZ Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 6:47MIZ Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
98.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 65 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:281% → 2%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.6%
Malik Earl run for 2 yds to the MoSt 37Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
98.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 7 yds to the MoSt 44Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
98.6%
Nick Masoner run for 4 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
98.6%
Nick Masoner run for 6 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-1
98.6%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Terez Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 14:43
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+8
98.6%
Calan Crowder run for 8 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
98.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Erik Furmanek for 9 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+2
98.6%
Calan Crowder run for 2 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 2 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+11
98.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Frazier for 11 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
98.6%
Deion Holliman run for 2 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Ulmer) to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
97.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Frazier for 6 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:2098% → 98%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
97.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 35 yds to the MoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:232% → 2%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Malik EarlSimilar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Deion Holliman, broken up by Jordan UlmerSimilar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+75
97.8%
Calan Crowder run for 75 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2598% → 98%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
97.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 19 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
97.8%
Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 47 Team fumbled, recovered by Misso Drew LockSimilar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+2
97.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 2 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+17
97.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 17 yds to the MoSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
97.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 4:082% → 4%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Calan Crowder run for 1 yd to the MoSt 26Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
97.8%
Jalen Esters run for 3 yds to the MoSt 29Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
97.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 18 yds to the MoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
97.7%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jalen Esters for 12 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
97.7%
Calan Crowder run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
97.7%
Myron Mason run for 7 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+34
96.5%
Calan Crowder run for 34 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7INT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
96.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+24
96.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 24 yds to the MoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the MoSt 30Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
97.0%
Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. Jared Beshore return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:314% → 4%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
96.4%
Myron Mason run for 2 yds to the MoSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-3
96.2%
Calan Crowder run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+10
96.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 10 yds to the MoSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
96.3%
Brendan Withrow punt for 70 yds, downed at the Misso 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+20
95.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 20 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+29
95.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 14 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
50
-5
96.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (J'Mon Moore) to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason Reese, broken up by Colby IsbellSimilar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
95.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
95.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
95.4%
Peyton Huslig pass intercepted Logan Cheadle return for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:5596% → 97%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
95.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+4
95.8%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
95.7%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
50
+50
96.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 12TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:504% → 6%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.2%
Myron Mason run for 12 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
96.1%
Nick Masoner run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 34Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+64
96.2%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Erik Furmanek for 64 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.7%
Nick Masoner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 1:5895% → 96%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.8%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
95.0%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
94.9%
Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the MoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
95.1%
Ish Witter run for 15 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
95.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 23 yds to the MoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.3%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the MoSt 11Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
95.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 11 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:404% → 7%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.9%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, false start (Jordan Frazier) to the MoSt 20Similar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-7
96.0%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Rashad Brandon for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 13Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 22
OWN 13
-2
96.0%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 11Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 24
OWN 11
+89
92.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 89 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:2593% → 96%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
92.8%
Dimetrios Mason run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
50
+50
95.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.2%
Calan Crowder run for 4 yds to the MoSt 29Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Malik Earl, broken up by Logan CheadleSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
95.5%
Brendan Withrow punt for 43 yds, downed at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17TD
9 plays · 72 yds · 2:4995% → 97%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
95.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-6
95.4%
Drew Lock sacked by Colby Isbell for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+19
94.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 19 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
95.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 12 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
95.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the MoSt 33Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-2
95.6%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 35Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+24
95.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 24 yds to the MoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
96.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Myron Mason for a loss of 4 yards to the MoSt 31Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+18
96.7%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 18 yds Malik Earl fumbled, forced by DeMarkus Acy, recovered by MoSt Deion HollimanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.2%
Calan Crowder run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
96.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Erik Furmanek for 6 yds to the MoSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Erik FurmanekSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.4%
Brendan Withrow punt for 63 yds, downed at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20FG
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0797% → 97%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
96.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 17 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+58
96.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 73 yds to the MISSOURI 2 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Damarea Crockett) to the MoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.8%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the MoSt 17Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
96.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason, broken up by Zach SandersSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
96.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
96.7%
Tucker McCann 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -24 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
96.5%
Myron Mason run for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 19Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+1
96.6%
Calan Crowder run for 1 yd to the MoSt 20Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
96.6%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MoSt 15Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-14
96.6%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Terry Beckner Jr. and Marcell Frazier for a loss of 14 yards to the MoSt 1Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 34
OWN 1
+10
96.8%
Brendan Withrow punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MoSt 42 , Johnathon Johnson returns for 10 yds to the MoSt 11 MISSOURI Penalty, targeting (15 Yards) to the MoSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
97.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the MoSt 33 Damarea Crockett fumbled, forced by Zach Sanders, recovered by MoSt McNeece EgbimSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
96.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Erik Furmanek for 9 yds to the MoSt 42Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
96.2%
Calan Crowder run for 4 yds to the MoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.3%
Nick Masoner rush for no gain to the MSU46 (Garrett, Cale), PENALTY MU offside (Sherrils, Antho) 5 yards to the MU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Malik EarlSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
96.2%
Lorenzo Thomas run for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
96.2%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Jalen EstersSimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
96.4%
Brendan Withrow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 14Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
97.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Darius JosephSimilar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+4
97.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 45 yds , Deion Holliman returns for 4 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
95.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 8 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
95.5%
Jason Randall run for 9 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
95.7%
Deion Holliman run for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 48 Deion Holliman fumbled, recovered by Misso Cale Garrett , return for 5 yds to the MoSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:0598% → 99%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
97.6%
Ish Witter run for 10 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
97.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the MoSt 31Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
97.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the MoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
99.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Albert Okwuegbunam for 27 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 27TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:031% → 5%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
98.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 33 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.9%
Jason Randall run for no gain to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
98.9%
Jason Randall run for 2 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+8
98.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Tyler Currie for 8 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.7%
Jason Randall run for 3 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-2
98.7%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jason Randall for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+19
98.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 19 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
98.7%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Nick Masoner for 2 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
94.8%
Peyton Huslig run for 10 yds for a TD, (Peyton Huslig pass to Tyler Currie for Two-Point Conversion) MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 2:5497% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 16 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the MoSt 49Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+7
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 7 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.3%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 15 yds to the MoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
97.3%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the MoSt 26Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+5
97.2%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Smith, Justin, PENALTY MSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the MSU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+4
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the MoSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Richaud FloydSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the MoSt 14Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+14
99.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 14 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 29MISSED FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:111% → 1%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jalen Esters for 20 yds to the MoSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
99.2%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Deion Holliman for 17 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.2%
Myron Mason run for 8 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Erik Furmanek for 3 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Jalen EstersSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo ThomasSimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Myron Mason run for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
99.2%
Zach Drake 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
99.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 12 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (J'Mon Moore) to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+1
99.6%
Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Misso 46Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+52
99.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 52 yds to the MoSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Deion Holliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 24Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Tyler CurrieSimilar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-6
99.9%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Nate Anderson for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 18Similar
Q4 6:47
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MoSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 32DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the MoSt 40Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the MoSt 36Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-1
99.9%
Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 37Similar
Q4 5:08
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Jack Lowary run for no gain to the MoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the MoSt 26 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 21
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Myron Mason run for no gain to the MoSt 26Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 21
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Myron Mason run for no gain to the MoSt 26Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Brendan Withrow punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 34END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Misso 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:53
Peyton Huslig run for 10 yds for a TD, (Peyton Huslig pass to Tyler Currie for Two-Point Conversion) MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined
-3.9
TD · Q2 5:32
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Malik Earl for 89 yds for a TD, (Zach Drake KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 4:59
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com