Try the model
BYU

BYU 0 at LSU 27

LSU
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Caesars Superdome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the BYU 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:22: Derrius Guice run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK) — LSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:53: Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK) — LSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:00: Jack Gonsoulin 23 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:49: Tanner Mangum pass incomplete — BYU win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:08: Jack Gonsoulin 29 Yd Field Goal — LSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:34LSU 4th & 11 at LSU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:35BYU 4th & 20 at BYU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:57BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:43LSU 4th & 10 at BYU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    84.7%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:38BYU 4th & 5 at BYU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:08BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:00LSU 4th & 6 at BYU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.8%−5.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:47BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:08LSU 4th & 2 at BYU 3, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:00BYU 4th & 17 at BYU 18, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:13LSU 4th & 1 at BYU 1, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:47BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 12, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:57BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:22LSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:53LSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:12LSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 3:4188% → 87%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
88.1%
Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the LSU 22Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+6
88.1%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the LSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
87.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Christian LaCouture for 5 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
87.8%
Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.7%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-10
87.6%
Williams, Darrel rush for no gain to the LSU42, PENALTY LSU holding (Weathersby, Toby) 10 yards to the LSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 18
OWN 32
-5
87.4%
LSU Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 23
OWN 27
0
87.3%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Foster MoreauSimilar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 23
OWN 27
+12
87.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 12 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
86.9%
Josh Growden punt for 42 yds, downed at the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:2513% → 14%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
86.8%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
86.8%
Kavika Fonua run for no gain to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+13
86.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 13 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
86.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-5
86.1%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BYU 29Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+5
85.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Aleva Hifo for 5 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-11
85.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Corey Thompson for a loss of 11 yards to the BYU 23 BYU Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the BYU 23Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 20
OWN 23
0
86.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 7:0586% → 87%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
85.7%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
85.7%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 36Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+10
85.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 10 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
85.4%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+13
85.4%
Derrius Guice run for 13 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
85.5%
LSU Penalty, False Start (K.J. Malone) to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-5
85.0%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+8
84.8%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+4
84.9%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+11
84.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrick Dillon for 11 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
84.9%
Derrius Guice run for 2 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
84.7%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
84.4%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
84.4%
Darrel Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 14:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
86.9%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.8%
Tanner Mangum pass intercepted Andraez Williams return for no gain to the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4386% → 90%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
86.2%
D.J. Chark run for 3 yds to the LSU 38Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
86.5%
Derrius Guice run for 8 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+52
86.6%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 52 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.7%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the BYU 1Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.0%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4211% → 11%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
88.6%
Squally Canada run for 3 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+10
88.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 10 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.4%
Squally Canada run for 2 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
88.6%
Kavika Fonua run for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
88.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
88.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 35 yds, downed at the LSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7MISSED FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:4290% → 90%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
89.7%
Derrius Guice run for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 14Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+16
89.2%
Darrel Williams run for 16 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
89.4%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
89.5%
D.J. Chark run for 8 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
89.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Derrius Guice for 4 yds to the LSU 46Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+6
89.9%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
90.0%
Russell Gage run for 5 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
90.1%
Darrel Williams run for 15 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
90.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Foster Moreau for 11 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
90.1%
Williams, Darrel rush for loss of 1 yard to the BYU18, PENALTY LSU holding 10 yards to the BYU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+5
90.2%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+4
90.2%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 4 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+6
90.2%
Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 6 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 5
OPP 12
-5
90.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
90.1%
Jack Gonsoulin 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5210% → 9%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
89.6%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 8 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
89.4%
Tanner Mangum run for 6 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
89.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 5 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
0
89.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
90.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Matt BushmanSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 39
-7
90.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds , D.J. Chark returns for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
91.6%
Russell Gage run for 9 yds to the LSU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:3710% → 9%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
90.4%
Kavika Fonua run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+32
90.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 17 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
89.6%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+2
89.7%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 2 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
90.7%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
91.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D.J. Chark at the LSU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FG
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:5292% → 95%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
91.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+9
91.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to D.J. Chark for 9 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
92.0%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+27
92.4%
Derrius Guice run for 12 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Micah Hannemann) to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+32
92.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Russell Gage for 32 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
93.0%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
93.1%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to J.D. MooreSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
95.2%
Jack Gonsoulin 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:027% → 6%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
94.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Trey Dye for 6 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+32
94.4%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds , D.J. Chark returns for 32 yds to the BYU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2596% → 98%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
95.7%
Derrius Guice run for 6 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+7
95.9%
Derrius Guice run for 7 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
95.9%
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds to the BYU 20Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
96.0%
BYU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Handsome Tanielu) to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
96.1%
Danny Etling run for 6 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
96.1%
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd to the BYU 4Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+1
96.1%
J.D. Moore run for 1 yd to the BYU 3Similar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+29
97.8%
Jack Gonsoulin 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Talon ShumwaySimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
97.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Corey Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 18Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+1
98.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds , D.J. Chark returns for 1 yd to the LSU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:1798% → 99%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.9%
Danny Etling run for 4 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
98.6%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.7%
Darrel Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+9
98.8%
Darrel Williams run for 9 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
98.8%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
99.0%
Darrel Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+7
99.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 7 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.1%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+10
99.1%
Russell Gage run for 10 yds to the BYU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
99.1%
Darrel Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.2%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Darrel Williams for 4 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.1%
Darrel Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.1%
Brayden El-Bakri run for no gain to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+9
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Talon Shumway for 9 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
99.1%
Jonny Linehan run for no gain to the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Darrel Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:070% → 0%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
99.9%
Squally Canada run for 1 yd to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+15
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Micah Simon for 15 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Aleva HifoSimilar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-7
99.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Rashard Lawrence and Greg Gilmore for a loss of 7 yards to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Matt Bushman for 11 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 43 yds, downed at the LSU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19END OF GAME
9 plays · 32 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
99.9%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 31Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
100.0%
Myles Brennan pass complete to Clyde Edwards-Helaire for 12 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
100.0%
Derrick Dillon run for 8 yds to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+10
100.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 10 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
100.0%
LSU Penalty, Illegal Motion (-6 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 16
OPP 45
+9
100.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 9 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-9
100.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 1 yd to the BYU 35 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BYU 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+2
100.0%
Clyde Edwards-Helaire run for 2 yds to the BYU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:53
Derrius Guice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 14:22
Derrius Guice run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Gonsoulin KICK)
+2.5
FG · Q3 8:00
Jack Gonsoulin 23 yd FG GOOD
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com