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APP

App State 10 at Georgia 31

UGA
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of GameFG-0.1UGA 99.5%Michael Rubino 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 31 · Q4 0:26
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:26 · Michael Rubino 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior+0.3Home team on offense+32.2Score differential+23.8Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:39: Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +2.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 13:58: Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Geo 48 — APP win probability +1.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:40: Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +5.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:56: Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +5.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:32: Nick Chubb run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 7APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:29UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:29APP 4th & 3 at APP 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:54UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45APP 4th & 23 at APP 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:20UGA 4th & 5 at APP 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:04APP 4th & 12 at APP 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:50APP 4th & 18 at APP 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:03APP 4th & 6 at UGA 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    15.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:37APP 4th & 22 at APP 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:37APP 4th & 5 at APP 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:18UGA 4th & 6 at APP 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:19APP 4th & 7 at APP 28, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:33UGA 4th & 4 at APP 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00APP 4th & 13 at APP 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:08UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 44, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:08APP 4th & 3 at APP 38, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:26APP 4th & 7 at UGA 26, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:39UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:40UGA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:56UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:32UGA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:41APP Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0786% → 86%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
86.0%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+4
85.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jackson Harris for 4 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
85.7%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
85.6%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3715% → 15%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
85.5%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
85.3%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+3
85.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 3 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
85.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2585% → 84%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
85.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+1
84.9%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
84.5%
Jacob Eason run for no gain to the Geo 27Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
84.4%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:4916% → 16%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
84.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 7 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+32
84.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 32 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-22
83.6%
Taylor Lamb sacked by J.R. Reed for a loss of 22 yards to the AppSt 37 Taylor Lamb fumbled, recovered by AppStSimilar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 32
OWN 37
+2
83.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 30
OWN 39
+7
83.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 23
OWN 46
0
83.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:2284% → 83%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
83.5%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-5
83.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 11Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+14
83.4%
Jacob Eason sacked by Myquon Stout for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 10 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.3%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
83.1%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 8 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
83.0%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Mecole Hardman for 8 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
83.4%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
83.2%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
83.4%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
83.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
82.8%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0517% → 18%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
82.6%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-5
82.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 6Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+1
82.3%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 11
OWN 7
-1
82.1%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Trenton Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 6Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+6
82.2%
Rylee Critcher punt for 39 yds , Terry Godwin returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:2583% → 85%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
82.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+16
82.4%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 16 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
82.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 25 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
82.8%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.2%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:2316% → 16%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.1%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
84.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+23
84.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 23 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
83.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Geo 48Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-4
83.0%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
83.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 13
OWN 48
-5
84.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 18
OWN 43
0
84.3%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 1:5084% → 89%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
84.0%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
84.0%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+5
83.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+44
83.5%
Sony Michel run for 44 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
88.8%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:2513% → 12%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+28
87.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 28 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Terrence Upshaw for 5 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
86.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-1
86.9%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
87.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11TD
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:5489% → 95%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
88.5%
Nick Chubb run for 23 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
88.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 10 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
88.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to D'Andre Swift for 3 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+15
88.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.0%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:536% → 5%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
93.7%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
93.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+10
93.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
93.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+9
93.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
94.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-10
94.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 40 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 16
OWN 45
-15
94.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 31
OWN 30
+9
95.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 9 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
95.1%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5496% → 96%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.1%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+7
96.2%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:345% → 4%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
95.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+9
94.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
94.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jalin Moore for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
94.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+22
96.2%
Jalin Moore run for 22 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:235% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
95.2%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
95.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
95.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 13:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.4%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:5796% → 97%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
96.4%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+10
96.6%
Nick Chubb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
96.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 16
OWN 47
+2
96.7%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 14
OWN 49
+12
96.7%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 12 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+2
96.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.9%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 10:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+2
97.0%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+15
97.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
97.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+10
97.2%
Nick Chubb run for 10 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.1%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the AppSt 4Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
97.2%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 6Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.3%
Jake Fromm pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
97.1%
Rodrigo Blankenship 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:473% → 2%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
97.0%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
97.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 1 yd to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.7%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Terry Godwin at the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4798% → 100%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
97.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 29Similar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+28
97.8%
Nick Chubb run for 28 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
98.4%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
98.4%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+22
98.3%
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 22 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.6%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+1
98.6%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-1
99.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Terrence Upshaw for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 8
OWN 32
-5
99.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 27Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mecole Hardman at the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
99.8%
D'Andre Swift run for 5 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
99.8%
D'Andre Swift run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Cameron Nizialek punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:000% → 0%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 13Similar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 5
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 13Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 7 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Malik Williams run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 6 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds , Ahkil Crumpton returns for no gain to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.9%
D'Andre Swift run for no gain to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+26
99.9%
Brice Ramsey pass intercepted Desmond Franklin return for 26 yds to the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23TD
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:480% → 1%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+20
99.3%
Taylor Lamb run for 20 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24INT
10 plays · 21 yds · 3:4699% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 1 yd to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-2
99.4%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+24
99.4%
D'Andre Swift run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.5%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-10
99.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
D'Andre Swift run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 17
OWN 43
0
99.7%
Brice Ramsey pass intercepted Jordan Fehr return for no gain to the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:040% → 1%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.6%
Brandon Pinckney run for 13 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.5%
Brandon Pinckney pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 7 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+10
99.5%
Brandon Pinckney pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 10 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.4%
Brandon Pinckney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.4%
Brandon Pinckney pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
99.6%
Brandon Pinckney pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
99.5%
Michael Rubino 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.7%
- Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:40
Jake Fromm pass complete to Javon Wims for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+5.3
TD · Q2 6:56
Sony Michel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q1 0:39
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com