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GASO

Georgia Southern 7 at Auburn 41

AUB
2017 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2017 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:10 · Matt Flynn punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+12.5Score differential+4.5Garbage-time factor+2.3Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:36: Tomarcio Reese 22 Yd Fumble Return (Tyler Bass Kick) — GASO win probability +0.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:36: Jarrett Stidham run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:52: Kam Martin run for 36 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:56: Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 5:20: Daniel Carlson 37 yd FG GOOD — AUB win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 12:01AUB 4th & 5 at GASO 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:20AUB 4th & 7 at GASO 36, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:22GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:56GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:00GASO 4th & 7 at AUB 45, down 10
    Close callPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:34AUB 4th & 6 at GASO 29, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:53GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:18GASO 4th & 12 at GASO 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:10GASO 4th & 29 at AUB 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02GASO 4th & 3 at AUB 27, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%−0.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:39GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:53GASO 4th & 28 at GASO 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:20AUB 4th & 6 at GASO 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:12GASO 4th & 16 at GASO 19, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:45AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 21, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:00GASO 4th & 1 at AUB 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:24GASO 4th & 4 at AUB 4, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:41AUB 4th & 1 at GASO 25, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:23GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:14AUB 4th & 1 at GASO 47, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:01AUB 4th & 6 at GASO 30, up 34
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:11AUB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:36GASO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:36AUB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:52AUB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:56AUB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:18AUB Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:4998% → 98%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.4%
Eli Stove run for 4 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
98.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 8 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+19
98.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Sal Cannella for 19 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
98.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
98.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 4
OPP 32
-1
98.1%
Jarrett Stidham run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 33 Jarrett Stidham fumbled, recovered by Aub Jarrett StidhamSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+50
98.1%
Daniel Carlson 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:542% → 2%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.1%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
98.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
98.0%
Shai Werts sacked by TEAM for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
97.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:3398% → 98%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
97.8%
Jarrett Stidham run for 3 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
97.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
50
+11
97.7%
Jarrett Stidham run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
97.7%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
97.6%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius Slayton, broken up by Monquavion BrinsonSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
97.5%
Daniel Carlson 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:513% → 3%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
97.4%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
97.3%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
97.3%
Matt Flynn punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
97.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 60 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:063% → 3%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.5%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
97.4%
Shai Werts sacked by Tre' Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-3
97.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+6
97.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 53 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 6 yds to the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3297% → 97%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 33Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius Slayton, broken up by Deshon CooperSimilar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass intercepted Jay Bowdry return for no gain to the Aub 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:103% → 3%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
97.0%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
97.0%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Ellis Richardson, broken up by Daniel ThomasSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
97.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1797% → 96%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
97.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 12 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-22
96.3%
Tomarcio Reese 22 Yd Fumble Return (Tyler Bass Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5096% → 96%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 17 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
96.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+19
96.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Will Hastings for 19 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+2
96.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-3
96.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+46
95.9%
Daniel Carlson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:374% → 5%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
95.7%
Myles Campbell run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+2
95.7%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
95.6%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
95.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:0996% → 96%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
95.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
95.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+34
95.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 34 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
95.4%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+14
96.4%
Jarrett Stidham run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:034% → 4%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
96.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-3
96.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-2
96.2%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
96.2%
Matt Flynn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:1496% → 98%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
96.2%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
96.2%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Todd Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+15
95.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Will Hastings for 15 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
97.9%
Kam Martin run for 36 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:353% → 3%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.3%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Marlon Davidson) to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
97.1%
Shai Werts run for 25 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.8%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
96.8%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
96.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Ryan Northrup) to the Aub 28Similar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 15
OPP 28
-5
96.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+4
96.8%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 16
OPP 29
-8
97.0%
Shai Werts sacked by Jeff Holland for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 24
OPP 37
-5
97.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (TEAM) to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 29
OPP 42
0
97.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:3498% → 97%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Jarrett Stidham run for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
97.5%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+14
97.4%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Darius Slayton for 14 yds Darius Slayton fumbled, forced by Deshon Cooper, recovered by GeoSo Chris DeLaRosaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:134% → 4%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
96.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Obe Fortune for 7 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
96.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
96.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
96.5%
Tyler Bass 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:143% → 3%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
97.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q3 13:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
97.1%
Matt Flynn punt for 32 yds, downed at the Aub 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:3297% → 99%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
97.0%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+6
97.1%
Kam Martin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
50
+3
97.1%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
97.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Eli Stove for 11 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
97.3%
Kam Martin run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+3
97.3%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 24 Kam Martin fumbled, forced by RJ Murray, recovered by Aub Darius James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
97.3%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius SlaytonSimilar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
97.3%
Malik Miller run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -18 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.7%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-11
98.7%
Shai Werts sacked by Tre' Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 19
OWN 16
-9
98.8%
Shai Werts sacked by Marlon Davidson for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
98.8%
Matt Flynn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the GeoSo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2599% → 100%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.9%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
98.8%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
98.8%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Kam Martin run for no gain to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
98.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Will Hastings for 15 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
98.9%
Jarrett Stidham run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+3
99.0%
Eli Stove run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
99.0%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Darius Slayton, broken up by Sean FreemanSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+37
99.8%
Daniel Carlson 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
99.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 61 yds, downed at the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Devan BarrettSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 4 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-3
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham sacked by Traver Vliem for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 21Similar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+26
99.9%
Ian Shannon punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Myles Campbell at the GeoSo 37, AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Javaris Davis) to the Aub 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25DOWNS
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:160% → 0%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 12 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the Aub 26Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
99.9%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 23Similar
Q4 14:33
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the Aub 21Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q4 13:23
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+6
99.9%
Fields, Wesley rush for 4 yards to the AUBURN11, PENALTY AUBURN offside (Williams, Darrell) 6 yards to the AUBURN9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GASOUTHERN.Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the Aub 7Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Fields for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 26TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+61
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 61 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
Kam Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass incomplete to Sal CannellaSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Kam Martin for 10 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Malik Miller run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Will Hastings for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Demarcus Godfrey run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Davis at the Aub 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 6:14100% → 100%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Malik Miller run for 4 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+11
99.9%
Noah Igbinoghene run for 11 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
100.0%
Devan Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Devan Barrett run for 6 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+5
100.0%
Devin Adams run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Devin Adams run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
100.0%
Devan Barrett run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Devan Barrett run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
Devin Adams pass complete to Noah Igbinoghene for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+6
100.0%
Devan Barrett run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
100.0%
AUBURN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (TEAM) to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Devin Adams pass incomplete to Griffin KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 29INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Ellis Richardson for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
50
0
100.0%
Shai Werts pass intercepted, touchback. Daniel Thomas return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:52
Kam Martin run for 36 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+2
TD · Q3 10:56
Jarrett Stidham pass complete to Ryan Davis for 19 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 8:36
Jarrett Stidham run for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com