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FAMU

Florida A&M 7 at Arkansas 49

ARK
2017 · Week 1 · Aug 31, 2017 · War Memorial Stadium (AR)
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:54 · Vincent Jeffries pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+31.5Home team on offense+33.2Score differential+26.2Blowout margin+13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Garbage-time factor+8.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:15: Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:54: Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:21: David Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:57: Henre' Toliver 18 Yd Fumble Return (Cole Hedlund Kick) — ARK win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FAMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 0 of 3FAMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:00ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29ARK 4th & 2 at ARK 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:34FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:01FAMU 4th & 4 at FAMU 16, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:51ARK 4th & 3 at FAMU 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:53FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:53FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42FAMU 4th & 2 at FAMU 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:48FAMU 4th & 12 at FAMU 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:14FAMU 4th & 6 at ARK 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:54FAMU 4th & 12 at ARK 29, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:52FAMU 4th & 2 at FAMU 32, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:29FAMU 4th & 10 at ARK 32, down 42
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:21FAMU 4th & 12 at FAMU 33, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 7FAMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 1:15ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:54ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:21ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:57ARK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:46ARK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:57ARK Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:23FAMU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:20ARK Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 12 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
99.5%
Austin Allen pass complete to La'Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
99.5%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the Ark 41Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-1
99.5%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 40Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Blake Johnson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kareem Smith at the FlaAM 26Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Blake Johnson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kareem Smith at the FlaAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.5%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 1 yd to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Desmond Noird for 5 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 4
OWN 32
-6
99.4%
Vincent Jeffries sacked by Randy Ramsey for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaAM 26Similar
Q1 10:34
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Chris Faddoul punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.4%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 6 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+5
99.4%
Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 5 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
99.3%
Devwah Whaley run for 16 yds to the FlaAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the FlaAM 45Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Austin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Austin Allen pass intercepted Terry Jefferson return for no gain to the FlaAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
99.3%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+3
99.3%
Devin Bowers run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+2
99.2%
Kareem Smith run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Henre' Toliver at the Ark 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 5:3899% → 99%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.2%
Chase Hayden run for 8 yds to the Ark 44Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
99.2%
Deon Stewart run for 1 yd to the Ark 45Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
99.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.1%
Austin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+11
99.0%
Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 11 yds to the FlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.0%
Chase Hayden run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+13
98.9%
Chase Hayden run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.9%
Chase Hayden run for no gain to the FlaAM 11Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.8%
Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 6 yds to the FlaAM 5Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.0%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-5
98.9%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 5Similar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 15
OWN 5
+7
98.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q1 0:20
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+1
98.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 13Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+3
98.9%
Vincent Jeffries run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 16Similar
Q1 0:01
4TH & 4
OWN 16
+3
98.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Chad Hunter for 3 yds to the FlaAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:161% → 1%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
98.8%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
98.8%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
98.8%
Chris Faddoul punt for 33 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jared Cornelius for 6 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
98.8%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 43Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Austin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
98.7%
Blake Johnson punt for 42 yds, downed at the FlaAM 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:371% → 2%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
98.7%
Ricky Henrilus run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 10Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+2
98.7%
Ricky Henrilus run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
98.6%
Ricky Henrilus run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
98.6%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Chaviss Murphy for 4 yds to the FlaAM 18Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-2
98.5%
Vincent Jeffries run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 16Similar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
98.5%
Chris Faddoul punt for 32 yds, downed at the FlaAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
98.5%
Chase Hayden run for 17 yds to the FlaAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.5%
Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+15
98.4%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the FlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.4%
Devwah Whaley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 16Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
98.8%
Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Ricky Henrilus run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 28Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.6%
Ricky Henrilus run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Ricky Henrilus run for no gain to the FlaAM 34Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.6%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Chris Faddoul punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Henre' Toliver at the Ark 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:1299% → 100%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jordan Jones for 8 yds to the Ark 45Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
98.7%
Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.6%
Jordan Jones run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 39Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+5
98.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
98.6%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
98.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 10 yds to the FlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
98.6%
David Williams run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.6%
David Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 4Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
David Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 4 yds to the FlaAM 29Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.2%
Chris Faddoul punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Henre' Toliver at the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
99.4%
Austin Allen sacked by David Richardson for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:501% → 0%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.2%
Vincent Jeffries sacked by Dwayne Eugene Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaAM 15Similar
Q3 13:57
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-18
99.8%
Henre' Toliver 18 Yd Fumble Return (Cole Hedlund Kick)Similar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
99.8%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Ark 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
99.8%
Ricky Henrilus run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Ricky Henrilus run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-4
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries sacked by Jake Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaAM 13Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 12
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Chris Faddoul punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Austin Allen run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+8
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 8 yds to the FlaAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Austin Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 12 yds to the FlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 14 yds to the FlaAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 10 yds to the FlaAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 46 yds · 3:400% → 0%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 8 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Azende Rey run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+23
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 23 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Azende Rey run for 4 yds to the Ark 37Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+10
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Kareem Smith for 10 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.9%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ark 37Similar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 20
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 20
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 20
OPP 37
+8
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Kareem Smith for 8 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 12
OPP 29
0
99.9%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
99.9%
Austin Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
T.J. Hammonds run for 12 yds to the Ark 37Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+7
99.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jonathan Nance for 7 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
David Williams run for no gain to the Ark 44Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
99.9%
Jonathan Nance run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 4 yds to the FlaAM 40Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+26
99.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 26 yds to the FlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+11
99.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to David Williams for 11 yds to the FlaAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 1Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
David Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 20TD
17 plays · 76 yds · 6:070% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Azende Rey run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 26Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Chaviss Murphy for 6 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
4TH & 2
OWN 32
+26
100.0%
Chris Faddoul run for 26 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
Tevin Spells run for 6 yds to the Ark 36Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Tevin Spells run for 4 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
100.0%
Tevin Spells run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 33Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries run for 1 yd to the Ark 32Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+11
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 11 yds to the Ark 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
100.0%
Tevin Spells run for 2 yds to the Ark 19Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+10
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries run for 10 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Kareem Smith for 2 yds to the Ark 7Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Vincent Jeffries pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 7 yds for a TD, (Yahia Aly KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Chase Hayden run for 4 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
100.0%
Chase Hayden run for 9 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
100.0%
Cole Kelley sacked by Jules Dornevil for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 30Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 18
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Cole Kelley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:37
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+37
100.0%
Cole Kelley pass complete to David Williams for 37 yds to the FlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
100.0%
T.J. Hammonds run for 11 yds to the FlaAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
100.0%
Chase Hayden run for 16 yds to the FlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
100.0%
T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 7Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
100.0%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
100.0%
Chase Hayden run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 7Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Cole Kelley pass complete to Cheyenne O'Grady for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Tahj Tolbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Azende Rey run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 38Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Tahj Tolbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 7
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
FLORIDA A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q4 1:21
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Chris Faddoul punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:20100% → 100%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 12Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:21
David Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q3 13:57
Henre' Toliver 18 Yd Fumble Return (Cole Hedlund Kick)
+0.6
TD · Q2 7:54
Austin Allen pass complete to Deon Stewart for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com