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SDSU

San Diego State 27 at Wyoming 24

WYO
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:31 · Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior−7.8Home team on offense−8.9Garbage-time factor−3.4Score differential−2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:35: Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +11.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:25: Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK) — SDSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:49: Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +15.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:54: John Baron II 20 yd FG GOOD — SDSU win probability +6.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:12: Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 43 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK) — WYO win probability +29.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:53SDSU 4th & 16 at SDSU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:27SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:04WYO 4th & 8 at SDSU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:39SDSU 4th & 9 at WYO 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:54WYO 4th & 5 at WYO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:48SDSU 4th & 12 at SDSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−2.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:44WYO 4th & 7 at WYO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00WYO 4th & 10 at SDSU 41, tied
    Close callWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−1.0
    32% to make
    Punt
    45.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:31WYO 4th & 21 at WYO 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−4.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:29SDSU 4th & 9 at SDSU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:37WYO 4th & 6 at SDSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−10.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:25SDSU 4th & 1 at WYO 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−3.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−10.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:49SDSU 4th & 5 at WYO 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    76.2%−2.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:54SDSU 4th & 2 at WYO 3, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.7%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−11.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:47WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.4%−4.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:34WYO 4th & 20 at WYO 14, down 3
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%−1.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3SDSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:49WYO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:46SDSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:35SDSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:25SDSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:49WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:12WYO Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.5 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.2%−1.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SDSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:0168% → 67%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.3%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
32.7%
Christian Chapman pass complete to David Wells for 7 yds to the SDSt 34Similar
Q1 14:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-15
32.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (David Wells) to the SDSt 19Similar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
32.9%
Tanner Blain punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4733% → 34%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
33.1%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-5
33.4%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 14
OWN 39
-10
33.3%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brinkley Jolly) to the Wyom 29Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 24
OWN 29
+4
33.4%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 20
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 52 yds , Quest Truxton returns for no gain to the SDSt 33 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4366% → 65%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
33.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 9Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+6
34.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 6 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+1
34.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 2
OWN 16
-5
34.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 11Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+11
35.0%
Tanner Blain punt for 47 yds , Austin Conway returns for 11 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:0136% → 36%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
35.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 16 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
35.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
35.7%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the SDSt 29Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
35.8%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
36.1%
Cooper Rothe 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 5INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3564% → 63%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.3%
Juwan Washington run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
36.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Quest Truxton for 9 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
36.7%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 30Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+2
37.2%
Christian Chapman pass intercepted Sidney Malauulu return for 2 yds to the SDSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:0538% → 42%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
38.1%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
38.7%
Brian Hill run for 4 yds to the SDSt 12Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+12
41.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 12 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:4960% → 62%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
40.1%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to David WellsSimilar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
40.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+8
40.9%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 8 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
41.3%
Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the Wyom 46Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+29
43.1%
Rashaad Penny run for 29 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
42.3%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the Wyom 9Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+9
37.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
39.7%
Josh Allen pass intercepted, touchback. Damontae Kazee return for 25 yds Damontae Kazee fumbled, forced by Josh Allen, recovered by WyomSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:5540% → 40%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
39.9%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
40.2%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q1 0:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-5
40.1%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Gavin Rush) to the Wyom 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-5
39.9%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
40.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 7 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+2
39.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 48 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 2 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:2359% → 61%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
41.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
41.2%
Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+30
40.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 30 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
39.7%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Quest TruxtonSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
39.8%
Rashaad Penny run for 7 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+4
40.5%
Rashaad Penny run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
40.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
40.4%
Christian Chapman run for no gain to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-1
41.6%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 20Similar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
39.5%
John Baron II 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3543% → 43%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
42.7%
Josh Allen run for 10 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
43.8%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 38Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
44.2%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-5
43.3%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Brinkley Jolly) to the Wyom 33Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+8
42.4%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
43.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 46 yds, downed at the SDSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3959% → 57%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
40.6%
Rashaad Penny run for 2 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
40.7%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the SDSt 15Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 15
-4
42.0%
Rashaad Penny run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 11Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 12
OWN 11
0
42.9%
Tanner Blain punt for 75 yds, downed at the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:4944% → 44%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
44.4%
Josh Allen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+10
44.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jordan Ellis for 10 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
45.7%
Brian Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
45.9%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 31Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-2
45.0%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 29 Brian Hill fumbled, recovered by Wyom Brian HillSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+3
43.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds , Quest Truxton returns for 3 yds to the SDSt 32 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the SDSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:2558% → 57%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
42.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 23 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
39.4%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
40.1%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Mikah HolderSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-10
41.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kwayde Miller) to the SDSt 34Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 20
OWN 34
+5
43.3%
Christian Chapman run for 5 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:3946% → 45%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+37
46.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 37 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
49.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
49.5%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
48.4%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the SDSt 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
44.7%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3246% → 44%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.6%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
45.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
44.2%
Josh Allen pass intercepted Damontae Kazee return for 18 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:2362% → 74%
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
38.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 11 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
37.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 8 yds to the Wyom 12Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+6
37.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
26.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:3930% → 27%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
30.4%
Josh Allen pass complete to Brian Hill for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
30.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Calvin Munson for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-6
30.2%
Josh Allen sacked by Sergio Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 24Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 21
OWN 24
0
27.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Brian HillSimilar
Q3 10:31
4TH & 21
OWN 24
0
27.1%
Ethan Wood punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quest Truxton at the SDSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0274% → 72%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
25.7%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Donnel Pumphrey) to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
28.1%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the SDSt 36Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+3
28.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 3 yds to the SDSt 39Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+3
28.1%
Christian Chapman run for 3 yds to the SDSt 42Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+43
28.4%
Tanner Blain punt for 43 yds , Austin Conway returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:2629% → 31%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-9
28.6%
Josh Allen sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 9 yards to the Wyom 5Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+66
27.7%
Brian Hill run for 66 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
34.5%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
34.4%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+2
32.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 2 yds to the SDSt 25Similar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
30.6%
Cooper Rothe 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0474% → 90%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
26.2%
Rashaad Penny run for 37 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
23.0%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 5 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-1
22.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+19
23.8%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 9 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, Defensive Holding (Conner Cain) to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
22.5%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
22.4%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
22.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
10.0%
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2113% → 30%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
12.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to Drew Van Maanen for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
13.2%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
12.7%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tyree Mayfield for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
50
+1
13.9%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the SDSt 49Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
13.9%
Josh Allen pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 15 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
14.7%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the SDSt 33Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
14.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Josh HarshmanSimilar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
29.5%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3977% → 78%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
22.8%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Mikah Holder for 26 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
19.9%
Christian Chapman pass incomplete to Kendrick MathisSimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+5
20.5%
Christian Chapman pass complete to Rashaad Penny for 5 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
21.8%
Tanner Blain punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Austin Conway at the Wyom 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5025% → 23%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
24.5%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
24.5%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+8
22.9%
Josh Allen run for 8 yds to the Wyom 22 Josh Allen fumbled, forced by Jay Henderson, recovered by SDSt Kyle KelleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 25FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:4383% → 91%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
16.7%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 2 yds to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
15.3%
Christian Chapman run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+8
15.5%
Christian Chapman run for 8 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
14.9%
Donnel Pumphrey run for 7 yds to the Wyom 4Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+1
14.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
15.1%
Rashaad Penny run for no gain to the Wyom 3Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
9.2%
John Baron II 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 26TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3312% → 42%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
12.2%
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 32 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
41.6%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 43 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 27FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5879% → 81%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
21.1%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Arthur Flores) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 20
OPP 35
-1
20.6%
Christian Chapman sacked by Youhanna Ghaifan for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 36Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 21
OPP 36
+24
21.7%
Rashaad Penny run for 24 yds to the Wyom 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
18.7%
Juwan Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 15 Juwan Washington fumbled, forced by Logan Wilson, recovered by Wyom Marcus EppsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5834% → 28%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
34.1%
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 8 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 2
OWN 23
0
35.2%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
33.8%
Josh Allen run for no gain to the Wyom 23Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 2
OWN 23
-2
28.0%
Josh Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 29FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3985% → 91%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
15.4%
Rashaad Penny run for 1 yd to the Wyom 20Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
10.9%
Rashaad Penny run for 5 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
9.2%
Donnel Pumphrey run for no gain to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:2622% → 17%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
21.6%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
18.9%
Josh Allen pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 24
-10
17.7%
WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 20
OWN 14
0
17.6%
Josh Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:34
4TH & 20
OWN 14
-5
16.8%
Josh Allen sacked by Kyle Kelley for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:12
Josh Allen pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 43 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+29.4
TD · Q4 13:49
Josh Allen pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 33 yds for a TD, (Cooper Rothe KICK)
+15
TD · Q3 1:25
Rashaad Penny run for 6 yds for a TD, (John Baron II KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com