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LT

Louisiana Tech 44 at Western Kentucky 58

WKU
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+7.9WKU 88.0%Skyler Simcox 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 44 - HOME 51 · Q4 7:19
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:19 · Skyler Simcox 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+2.7Home team on offense+17.3Garbage-time factor+10.7Score differential+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:15: Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 53 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +11.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:17: Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +12.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:05: Anthony Wales 15 Yd Run (Skyler Simcox Kick) — WKU win probability +15.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:08: Jonathan Barnes 24 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +7.5 pts (now 33%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:19: Skyler Simcox 34 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +7.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:56WKU 4th & 3 at LT 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.1%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18LT 4th & 8 at WKU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    29.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17LT 4th & 8 at LT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:26LT 4th & 6 at WKU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:39LT 4th & 27 at LT 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:52WKU 4th & 4 at LT 4, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.7%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:17LT 4th & 1 at WKU 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−9.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:45WKU 4th & 4 at LT 11, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%−0.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−12.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:53LT 4th & 17 at LT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−5.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:08LT 4th & 4 at WKU 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−12.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:16LT 4th & 15 at LT 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:19WKU 4th & 11 at LT 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−3.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−15.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:35LT 4th & 9 at LT 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:40WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:43LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:38WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:34LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:00WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:06LT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 10:17WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:05WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:15LT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:17LT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 4:05WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:58WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5972% → 72%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
71.7%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+11
71.7%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
71.6%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+19
71.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 19 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
71.6%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
71.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
71.5%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
71.6%
Skyler Simcox 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2FG
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:1129% → 29%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+74
71.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 74 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
70.8%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
70.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
70.6%
Jonathan Barnes 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:2071% → 73%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
70.9%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+5
71.2%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 5 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
71.1%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
70.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+42
70.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 42 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
71.2%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
73.3%
Anthony Wales run for 15 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5927% → 27%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
72.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 4 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-2
72.6%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Keith Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
73.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
73.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 38 yds, downed at the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5INT TD
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:2473% → 71%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
73.3%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+48
70.7%
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD L'Jarius Sneed return for 48 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5870% → 74%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.9%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+18
70.3%
Mike White run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Russell Farris) to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
70.6%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 21 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
70.9%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
70.8%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+26
73.8%
Anthony Wales run for 26 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:4627% → 33%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
72.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 18 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
72.1%
Boston Scott run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+7
72.0%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
71.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 14 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
71.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+6
71.1%
Boston Scott run for 6 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:3070% → 75%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+55
69.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 55 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
70.7%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
70.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Joe Manley) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
74.6%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 10 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:4127% → 35%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
73.0%
Carlos Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 19Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+42
73.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 42 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
71.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+21
72.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 21 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
70.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 8 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
70.9%
Ryan Higgins run for 3 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
70.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:2868% → 75%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
68.3%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 27 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
75.3%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 45 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 1:3626% → 32%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+39
73.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 39 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
72.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 1 yd to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Drew Eckels) to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
72.0%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 13 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
70.9%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
70.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
71.3%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
68.1%
Jonathan Barnes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:5973% → 79%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
72.6%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+1
72.6%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
72.6%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
72.6%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+4
72.0%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 4 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
72.7%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 4Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
79.4%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1322% → 20%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
78.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
78.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Boston Scott for 20 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
77.0%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-16
77.9%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Nick Dawson-Brents for a loss of 16 yards to the WESTERNKY 39 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Ryan Higgins) to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 25
OWN 39
-2
79.7%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Derik Overstreet and Nick Dawson-Brents for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 2:39
4TH & 27
OWN 37
0
80.4%
Logan McPherson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 1:1881% → 81%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+56
81.1%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 42 yds to the WESTERNKY 27 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Roughing Passer (Cedric Johnson) to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
81.2%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 13
OPP 16
-15
81.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Dennis Edwards) to the LaTch 31. Dennis Edwards ejected for targetingSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 28
OPP 31
0
81.5%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 28
OPP 31
+10
80.9%
White, Mike pass incomplete to Jackson, Lucky, PENALTY LATECH holding (Lewis, Ronald) 10 yards to the LATECH21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNKY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
82.0%
Anthony Wales run for 13 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
82.1%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.4%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
81.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Shaquille JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
81.0%
Skyler Simcox 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4319% → 17%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
81.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 4 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
82.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 7 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
82.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-7
82.7%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Keith Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:3120% → 31%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
80.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Alfred Smith for 11 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
79.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 11 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
79.0%
Ryan Higgins run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 15
OPP 48
0
80.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 15
OPP 48
-5
80.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+53
69.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 53 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:4535% → 45%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
64.7%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
64.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+13
64.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 13 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
64.5%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.4%
Ryan Higgins run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
66.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Kam McKnight) to the WKent 6Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
67.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for 5 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.6%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:1957% → 65%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
56.8%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+26
56.7%
Nicholas Norris run for 26 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
60.2%
Mike White pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
61.4%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
61.2%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
59.2%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
60.9%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 2 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+4
60.7%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
58.6%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
64.8%
Skyler Simcox 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:4740% → 38%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.7%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
61.1%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Nick Dawson-Brents for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 18Similar
Q3 4:53
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
62.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:3967% → 83%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
66.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 25 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
82.6%
Anthony Wales 15 Yd Run (Skyler Simcox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FUMBLE
17 plays · 77 yds · 4:3623% → 33%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
76.8%
Boston Scott run for 1 yd to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
77.0%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+12
78.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 12 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
76.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Outlaw) to the LaTch 24Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+3
77.1%
Ryan Higgins run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+16
77.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 16 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 1:36
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+7
76.0%
Boston Scott run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
50
+13
75.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 13 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
75.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
72.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+19
73.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 14 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
73.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
73.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
74.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
67.5%
Jonathan Barnes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 1:3431% → 28%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
69.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
66.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 1 yd to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+7
67.1%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.1%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
67.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
68.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Darrell Brown) to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
70.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
72.2%
Gerald Shouse punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:4973% → 88%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
73.1%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for 10 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
73.4%
Anthony Wales run for 12 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
75.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Joe Manley) to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+31
73.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 31 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
77.8%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+13
77.7%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 13 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
77.8%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 8
OPP 14
-5
78.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Nicholas Norris) to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+2
80.0%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 11
OPP 17
0
80.1%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 11
OPP 17
+34
88.0%
Skyler Simcox 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:3115% → 13%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
84.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
85.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Conner Smith for 9 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
83.5%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.1%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
84.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
87.1%
Gerald Shouse punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 4:0990% → 99%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
90.2%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+11
90.5%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
92.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
93.4%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
93.9%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+33
94.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 33 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.1%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the LaTch 19Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
96.2%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
98.6%
Anthony Wales run for 13 yds for a TD, (Skyler Simcox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -18 yds · 0:4898% → 99%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 25
OWN 13
-1
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 26
OWN 12
-1
98.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 27
OWN 11
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:05
Anthony Wales 15 Yd Run (Skyler Simcox Kick)
+15.8
TD · Q3 10:17
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-12.7
TD · Q3 13:15
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kam McKnight for 53 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-11.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com