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TEM

Temple 34 at Navy 10

NAVY
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NAVY
modelNAVY aheadTEM aheadconfidence bandkey playNAVY scoreTEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-1.8NAVY 0.5%Ryquell Armstead run for 30 yds for aTD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)AWAY 34 - HOME 10 · Q4 3:04
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:04 · Ryquell Armstead run for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense−52.8Score differential−30.1Garbage-time factor−10.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.9Pregame prior−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:01: Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 22 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +4.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:44: Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 56 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +6.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:12: Bennett Moehring 23 yd FG GOOD — NAVY win probability +6.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:22: Aaron Boumerhi 48 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +2.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:18: Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK) — NAVY win probability +11.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: NAVY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NAVY made the numbers' call on 3 of 8TEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:11TEM 4th & 7 at NAVY 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    43.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:18NAVY 4th & 7 at TEM 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    53.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:57NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:57TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:12NAVY 4th & 4 at TEM 6, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.9%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:59TEM 4th & 14 at NAVY 33, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:22TEM 4th & 10 at NAVY 31, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:09NAVY 4th & 3 at TEM 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    20.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:46TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 39, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:45NAVY 4th & 5 at NAVY 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:21TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:17TEM 4th & 6 at NAVY 25, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−5.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:10NAVY 4th & 1 at NAVY 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:08NAVY 4th & 14 at TEM 45, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:33TEM 4th & 7 at TEM 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:05NAVY 4th & 2 at NAVY 36, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NAVY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:43TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:01TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:44TEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:18NAVY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:04TEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:1256% → 57%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
44.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 4 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
44.8%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 4 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
44.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
44.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+9
45.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 9 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
45.1%
Adonis Jennings run for 20 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
45.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Navy 28Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
45.0%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Romond DeloatchSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
45.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+13
45.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 13 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
43.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1244% → 43%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.9%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 35Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+3
43.6%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 38Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+15
43.7%
Toneo Gulley run for 15 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
44.1%
Will Worth run for 2 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
44.1%
Will Worth pass incomplete to Darryl BonnerSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+1
43.8%
Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+3
43.2%
Toneo Gulley run for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:0958% → 63%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
42.0%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
41.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
50
+11
41.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 11 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
41.3%
Adonis Jennings run for 16 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
40.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 1 yd to the Navy 22Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+22
36.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 22 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5938% → 38%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
37.6%
Will Worth run for 3 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
37.9%
Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Navy 41Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+34
37.5%
Will Worth pass complete to Dishan Romine for 34 yds to the Temp 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
37.9%
Darryl Bonner run for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 30 Darryl Bonner fumbled, forced by Sean Chandler, recovered by Temp Avery WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:0064% → 72%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
35.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
35.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for 6 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
34.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
34.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 44Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+56
27.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 56 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3928% → 27%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.0%
Dishan Romine run for 4 yds to the Navy 29Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
27.7%
Will Worth run for 4 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
27.5%
Will Worth run for 1 yd to the Navy 34Similar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
26.7%
Alex Barta punt for 35 yds, downed at the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5474% → 74%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
25.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
26.0%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
25.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Keith KirkwoodSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
26.1%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Calvin Cass Jr. at the Navy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 8FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 5:3825% → 28%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
25.4%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 5 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, Personal Foul (Avery Williams) to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down. Avery Williams ejected for targetingSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
26.4%
Zach Abey run for 9 yds to the Temp 45Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+22
25.4%
Zach Abey pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 22 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
25.2%
Shawn White run for 5 yds to the Temp 18Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+2
24.4%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Temp 16Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+4
24.4%
Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Temp 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
24.1%
Shawn White run for 4 yds to the Temp 8Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+1
23.7%
Shawn White run for 1 yd to the Temp 7Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+1
23.0%
Tre Walker run for 1 yd to the Temp 6Similar
Q2 5:12
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
27.6%
Bennett Moehring 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9MISSED FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:0679% → 81%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
20.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
20.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+25
20.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 25 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
18.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 16 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
17.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 33Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 14
OPP 33
-5
16.6%
TEMPLE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Navy 38Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 19
OPP 38
0
16.6%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+5
18.9%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 5 yds to the Navy 33Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 14
OPP 33
+50
19.5%
Aaron Boumerhi 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
28.6%
Zach Abey pass intercepted Nate Hairston return for 8 yds to the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:2482% → 85%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+20
18.4%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 20 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
17.3%
Phillip Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
17.2%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
17.9%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
15.3%
Aaron Boumerhi 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.3%
Shawn White run for 3 yds to the Navy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:4217% → 18%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
16.9%
Zach Abey pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 29 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
18.5%
Shawn White run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
18.0%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+7
17.7%
Chris High run for 7 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+2
17.5%
Zach Abey run for 2 yds to the Temp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1987% → 89%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
12.7%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
11.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
10.3%
Phillip Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
10.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:5515% → 10%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
14.7%
Chris High run for 1 yd to the Navy 19Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+8
14.3%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 8 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+7
13.5%
Zach Abey run for 7 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
12.6%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Navy 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
10.9%
Zach Abey sacked by Freddie Booth-Lloyd for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 31Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 31
+8
10.0%
Zach Abey pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 8 yds to the Navy 39Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
10.0%
Alex Barta punt for 44 yds, downed at the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1992% → 95%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
7.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-5
7.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Temp 14Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 13
OWN 14
-3
7.0%
Adonis Jennings run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+8
5.1%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Jahad Thomas for 8 yds to the Temp 19Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
5.0%
Alex Starzyk punt for 45 yds, downed at the Navy 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 17TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:477% → 18%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+47
6.8%
Zach Abey run for 47 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
7.4%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Jamir TillmanSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+6
7.3%
Calvin Cass Jr. run for 6 yds to the Temp 11Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
6.9%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Temp 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
6.5%
Zach Abey run for 3 yds to the Temp 3Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
6.3%
Chris High run for 2 yds to the Temp 1Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.8%
Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 18FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 6:5387% → 94%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
13.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
12.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
11.7%
Phillip Walker sacked by Amos Mason for a loss of 10 yards to the Temp 36Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+19
12.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 19 yds to the Navy 45Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+5
10.5%
Nick Sharga run for 5 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
9.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for no gain to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
9.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Navy 37Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-5
9.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, False Start (Dion Dawkins) to the Navy 42Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+13
8.7%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 13 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
7.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the Navy 27Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-4
7.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 31Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+6
7.2%
Phillip Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 6 yds to the Navy 25Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
5.8%
Aaron Boumerhi 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 32 yds · 3:576% → 4%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
5.9%
Zach Abey pass complete to Jamir Tillman for 12 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.9%
Shawn White run for 5 yds to the Navy 40Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-4
6.2%
Zach Abey sacked by Jarred Alwan for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+8
5.6%
Zach Abey pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 8 yds to the Navy 44Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
5.9%
Tre Walker run for 2 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
5.8%
Zach Abey run for 5 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+8
5.9%
Zach Abey pass complete to Calvin Cass Jr. for 8 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
5.9%
Zach Abey run for no gain to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
5.3%
Zach Abey sacked by Jared Folks and Averee Robinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 45Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
4.2%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Calvin Cass Jr.Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
4.1%
Zach Abey pass incomplete to Tre WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2797% → 97%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
3.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
3.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 47Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-4
2.6%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q4 4:33
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
2.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 37 yds , Calvin Cass Jr. returns for no gain to the Navy 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 21INT
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
1.2%
Zach Abey pass complete to Brandon Colon for 17 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
1.2%
Zach Abey pass intercepted Haason Reddick return for 5 yds to the Navy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 22TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:4198% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
2.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Navy 30Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
0.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAVYDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
0.4%
Myles Swain run for 6 yds to the Navy 34Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
0.3%
Myles Swain run for no gain to the Navy 34Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+2
0.3%
Myles Swain run for 2 yds to the Navy 36Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
0.2%
Alex Barta punt for 63 yds, downed at the Temp 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+25
0.4%
Nick Sharga run for 25 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:18
Zach Abey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bennett Moehring KICK)
+11.5
TD · Q2 13:44
Phillip Walker pass complete to Keith Kirkwood for 56 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-6.9
FG · Q2 5:12
Bennett Moehring 23 yd FG GOOD
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com