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CLEM

Clemson 42 at Virginia Tech 35

VT
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:06 · Mitchell Ludwig punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior−14.8Home team on offense−6.0Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:17: Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:27: Travon McMillian run for 27 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +10.3 pts (now 16%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:35: Jerod Evans run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +19.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:33: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 15 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +12.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:43: Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 26 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +20.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:03VT 4th & 17 at VT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:59VT 4th & 10 at VT 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:49VT 4th & 8 at VT 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:07CLEM 4th & 6 at CLEM 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:16CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:06VT 4th & 3 at VT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:11VT 4th & 16 at VT 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−2.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:55VT 4th & 15 at CLEM 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:48VT 4th & 11 at VT 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:50CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:59CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:03CLEM 4th & 17 at CLEM 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−4.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:11VT 4th & 6 at CLEM 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    12.1%−4.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−7.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:47CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:57CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:51VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:09VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:17CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:45CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:27VT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:35VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:33CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:43VT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0377% → 76%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
23.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
23.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 13 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
23.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 11 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
24.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 2 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+8
24.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
24.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 13 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
24.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 15 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.8%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:2724% → 24%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
24.2%
Jerod Evans sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+2
24.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 10:32
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-5
24.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (Jonathan McLaughlin) to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 17
OWN 20
0
24.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 17
OWN 20
-3
24.2%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 60 yds , Artavis Scott returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:5376% → 78%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
24.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+15
24.5%
Watson, Deshaun pass left sideline incomplete to Scott, Artavis thrown to the CLEMSON37, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Alexander, Adonis) 15 yards to the CLEMSON34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
24.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-5
24.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hyatt) to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
24.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 6 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+14
24.3%
Watson, Deshaun pass left sideline incomplete to Leggett, Jordan thrown to the VATECH40, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Edmunds, Terrell) 14 yards to the VATECH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
24.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 8 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-2
24.1%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
24.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
24.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
24.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
21.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 21 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4TD
15 plays · 77 yds · 4:4923% → 28%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
22.8%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 24
-1
22.7%
Jerod Evans sacked by Dexter Lawrence for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+15
22.6%
Evans, Jerod pass right screen complete to Rogers, Sam for no gain to the VATECH23 (caught at the VATECH23), PENALTY CLEMSON personal foul (O'Daniel, Dorian) 15 yards to the VATECH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. Dorian O'Daniel ejected for targeting.Similar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
23.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
23.1%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-2
22.2%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+20
21.9%
Mitchell Ludwig pass complete to Terrell Edmunds for 20 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
22.7%
Rogers, Sam pass deep right post incomplete to Hodges, Bucky thrown to the CLEMSON6, PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Tankersley, Cordrea) 15 yards to the CLEMSON27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
23.4%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
23.4%
Cam Phillips run for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+17
23.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 17 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
23.4%
Jerod Evans run for 2 yds to the Clem 1Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.1%
Travon McMillian run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5474% → 75%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
26.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 9 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+27
25.6%
C.J. Fuller run for 27 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
25.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan Leggett, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
25.1%
C.J. Fuller run for no gain to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+15
25.2%
Watson, Deshaun pass deep right post incomplete to Leggett, Jordan thrown to the VATECH14, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Clark, Chuck) 15 yards to the VATECH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
24.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 8 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 16
0
25.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
25.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
25.1%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
25.2%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
25.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 10 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK), Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4721% → 21%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
20.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+6
20.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+8
20.8%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 8 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
21.3%
Jerod Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
20.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for no gain to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+6
20.3%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
20.5%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 27 yds, downed at the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:3380% → 79%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
19.6%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-4
20.3%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+15
20.1%
Watson, Deshaun pass deep right sideline incomplete to McCloud, Ray-Ray thrown to the VATECH35, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Facyson, Brandon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
19.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+3
18.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Trevion Thompson for 3 yds to the Clem 48Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
20.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
20.8%
Andy Teasdall punt for 22 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:4121% → 32%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+53
20.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 53 yds to the Clem 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
22.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 8 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+3
22.5%
Jerod Evans run for 3 yds to the Clem 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
22.5%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
22.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Clem 11Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
31.6%
Jerod Evans run for 11 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:4473% → 74%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
26.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
26.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
25.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
25.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
25.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 36Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
25.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
26.5%
Teasdall, Andy punt 42 yards to the VATECH22, Carroll, C.J. return 0 yards to the VATECH22, PENALTY CLEMSON kick catching interference (Scott, Cameron) off-setting, PENALTY VATECH Holding (Alexander, Adonis) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+2
26.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds , C.J. Carroll returns for 2 yds to the VTech 26 C.J. Carroll fumbled, recovered by VTech C.J. CarrollSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0628% → 26%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
27.8%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
27.3%
Sam Rogers run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+7
26.5%
Sam Rogers run for 7 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
26.0%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
25.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:3926% → 25%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
26.4%
Jerod Evans sacked by Dexter Lawrence for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
26.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
25.3%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Cordrea TankersleySimilar
Q3 14:11
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
24.9%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2076% → 76%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
24.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
23.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Andrew Motuapuaka return for no gain to the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:4130% → 26%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
29.7%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Sam RogersSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
29.6%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q3 13:27
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-5
28.6%
Jerod Evans sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
25.5%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:3275% → 88%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
25.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 12 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
25.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 10 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
24.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 19 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
22.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
22.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+20
23.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
22.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 6 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+6
22.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the VTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
12.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1715% → 14%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.2%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
15.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
14.2%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 11
OWN 19
-2
14.1%
Mitchell Ludwig punt for 55 yds , Artavis Scott returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4087% → 88%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
13.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
11.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete, broken up by Vinny MihotaSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
12.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike Williams, broken up by Greg StromanSimilar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
12.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 36 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2615% → 15%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
15.2%
Travon McMillian run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
14.5%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 1:0589% → 98%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.0%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 49Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+39
10.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 39 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
10.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 10 yds to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:035% → 16%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.0%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
5.1%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 2 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
5.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Augie Conte) to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+42
4.6%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 42 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
5.5%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
15.8%
Travon McMillian run for 27 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2190% → 90%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
10.0%
C.J. Fuller run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
9.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to C.J. FullerSimilar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
9.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 5 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
9.8%
Andy Teasdall punt for 33 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1512% → 33%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
12.4%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to Henri Murphy, broken up by Ryan CarterSimilar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
12.2%
Jerod Evans run for 9 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
13.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 1 yd to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
13.4%
Cam Phillips run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
50
+6
13.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
13.8%
Jerod Evans run for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
13.5%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 10 yds to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
14.6%
Travon McMillian run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
14.3%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+10
13.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the Clem 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
14.1%
Jerod Evans run for 15 yds to the Clem 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
33.2%
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0278% → 96%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
21.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mike Williams) to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-4
22.6%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 16Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+31
22.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 31 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
19.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+4
17.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
15.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 6 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-5
15.2%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hyatt) to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-5
15.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jordan Leggett) to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
16.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+30
17.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 30 yds to the VTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
4.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 15 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:376% → 27%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+32
6.0%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Sam Rogers for 32 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
6.9%
Jerod Evans pass complete to C.J. Carroll for 5 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
7.2%
Travon McMillian run for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+8
7.1%
Jerod Evans run for 8 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
7.3%
Cam Phillips run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
27.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 26 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 1:4084% → 84%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
15.8%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Mitch Hyatt) to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
14.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
13.9%
Watson, Deshaun pass left slant complete to Renfrow, Hunter for 5 yards to the CLEMSON30 (caught at the CLEMSON29), PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Hyatt, Mitch) 10 yards to the CLEMSON15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
14.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
15.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 4:03
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
15.7%
Andy Teasdall punt for 42 yds, fair catch by C.J. Carroll at the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26INT
10 plays · 36 yds · 2:4823% → 16%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
22.9%
Jerod Evans pass incomplete to C.J. CarrollSimilar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
21.4%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 1
50
+1
24.6%
Jerod Evans run for 1 yd to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
24.7%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 8 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+14
25.2%
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
26.7%
Travon McMillian run for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
22.6%
Jerod Evans run for 4 yds to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 23
0
22.8%
Jerod Evans run for no gain to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 1:11
4TH & 6
OPP 23
0
16.3%
Jerod Evans pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for no gain to the Clem 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:3994% → 95%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
5.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+26
5.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 11 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mook Reynolds) to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:43
Jerod Evans pass complete to Cam Phillips for 26 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+20.2
TD · Q4 11:35
Jerod Evans run for 5 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+19
TD · Q4 7:33
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 15 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com