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COLO

Colorado 10 at Washington 41

WASH
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2016 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:56 · Jake Browning sacked by Jimmie Gilbert and Timothy Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Home team on offense+2.5Pregame prior+15.5Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:49: Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK) — COLO win probability +4.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:38: Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +6.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:44: Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Taylor Rapp return for 35 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +8.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:27: Cameron Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +2.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:21: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:02COLO 4th & 4 at WASH 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:56WASH 4th & 8 at COLO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    69.5%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:16WASH 4th & 5 at COLO 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%−0.4
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:57COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:50COLO 4th & 9 at WASH 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:59WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:00COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 1 at COLO 49, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:27WASH 4th & 7 at COLO 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:27COLO 4th & 8 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:30WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:22COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:43COLO 4th & 7 at WASH 7, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:47WASH 4th & 8 at COLO 41, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:07WASH 4th & 2 at COLO 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−1.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:09COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:05COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:53WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49COLO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:38WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:44WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:21WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:23WASH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0169% → 70%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
69.0%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Ross, John, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference (Thompson, Tedric) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Colo 49Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+11
69.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+26
69.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 26 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
69.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
69.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Will DisslySimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:4331% → 30%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
69.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
69.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+25
69.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 25 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
69.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-5
69.4%
Sefo Liufau sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 9:28
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+9
70.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
69.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 18 yds · 5:0070% → 71%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
70.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
70.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
70.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-10
71.0%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 4 yards to the COLORADO43, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Harris, Nick) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 16
OWN 43
0
70.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+19
70.5%
Jake Browning run for 19 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
71.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Kenneth Olugbode and Timothy Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 18
OPP 46
-1
71.2%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 47Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 19
OPP 47
+11
70.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 11 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 8
OPP 36
-9
71.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Jimmie Gilbert and Timothy Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0130% → 36%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 46Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+10
70.4%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Lindsay, Phillip, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Bartlett, Tevis) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADO.Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
69.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
69.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kyle Evans for 13 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+21
69.0%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 21 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
69.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:1967% → 68%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
66.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+12
67.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
67.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
68.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
68.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
68.2%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
67.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
67.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 31 yds, downed at the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1234% → 33%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
66.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
66.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
66.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
66.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7TD
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:5768% → 76%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
68.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
68.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
68.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
69.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+2
69.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
68.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
69.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+10
69.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
76.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:3826% → 25%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.0%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
73.7%
Steven Montez run for 5 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
73.6%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
73.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
74.0%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+16
74.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
72.3%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-4
72.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+5
74.6%
Jay MacIntyre run for 5 yds to the Wash 47 Jay MacIntyre fumbled, forced by Sidney Jones, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
74.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3475% → 73%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
75.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
75.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
74.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q2 1:59
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+50
73.4%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 40 yds, downed at the WASHINGTON 41 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5026% → 24%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
74.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 1 yd to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
74.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
75.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Jay MacIntyreSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+18
76.0%
Alex Kinney punt for 44 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 18 yds to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5677% → 75%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
76.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 9 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
77.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
76.8%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
74.7%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
83.5%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Taylor Rapp return for 35 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:0216% → 16%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 12 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
83.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
83.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+23
83.7%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Taylor Rapp return for 23 yds to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5186% → 88%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
85.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+7
85.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
85.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
86.3%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 11:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
88.3%
Cameron Van Winkle 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:4812% → 12%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
88.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 25 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
87.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 8
50
0
87.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 8
50
0
88.1%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Bryce Bobo, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 8
50
0
88.4%
Alex Kinney punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5291% → 91%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
90.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
90.6%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+3
90.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 62 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 3 yds to the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:0311% → 9%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
89.3%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 9Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+15
90.1%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Ento, Kabion (Turner, Ezekiel), PENALTY WASHINGTON personal foul (Potoa'e, Benning) 15 yards to the COLORADO24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLORADO.Similar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
89.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
89.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+1
90.2%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Colo 24Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
91.2%
Alex Kinney punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:5493% → 97%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
92.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 12 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
93.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 24 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
97.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FG
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:174% → 4%
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 4Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
96.7%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Keeney, Dylan, PENALTY COLORADO holding (Haigler, Aaron) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+7
96.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 7 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
96.5%
Chris Graham 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4197% → 98%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.0%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+10
97.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 10 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+19
97.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
98.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Drew SampleSimilar
Q3 0:47
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
97.8%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:422% → 2%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.8%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+5
98.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
98.2%
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted Ezekiel Turner return for no gain to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4898% → 99%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
98.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 8 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 2
OPP 3
0
98.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
98.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Ahkello WitherspoonSimilar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+20
98.5%
Cameron Van Winkle 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:512% → 1%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-2
98.4%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 34Similar
Q4 13:16
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Phillip LindsaySimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
98.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 8:3799% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+11
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+5
99.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
99.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 8 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+1
99.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Colo 15Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
99.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Chico McClatcher run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
99.9%
Sefo Liufau run for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 18 Sefo Liufau fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 18
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Myles BryantSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 18
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 12 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:44
Sefo Liufau pass intercepted for a TD Taylor Rapp return for 35 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 6:38
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 15 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q1 0:49
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds for a TD, (Davis Price KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com