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WMU

Western Michigan 29 at Ohio 23

OHIO
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 2, 2016 · Ford Field
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:31 · Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior−26.0Home team on offense−7.8Garbage-time factor−2.5Score differential−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:08: Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 70 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK) — WMU win probability +5.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:55: Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED) — OHIO win probability +7.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:09: Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 31 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK) — OHIO win probability +16.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 1:24: Butch Hampton 34 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +6.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:19WMU 4th & 16 at OHIO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    83.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:35WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:26WMU 4th & 3 at OHIO 10, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.1%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:40OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:40WMU 4th & 1 at OHIO 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:37WMU 4th & 3 at OHIO 4, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    76.8%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:03OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:10WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 42, up 9
    Close callPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:31OHIO 4th & 18 at OHIO 7, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−2.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:38WMU 4th & 20 at OHIO 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:00OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:28WMU 4th & 5 at OHIO 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−7.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:29WMU 4th & 6 at OHIO 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:26OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:14OHIO 4th & 11 at WMU 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−3.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−11.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:24WMU 4th & 7 at OHIO 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−20.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:08OHIO Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:49WMU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:36WMU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:55OHIO Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:09OHIO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:5411% → 12%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
11.2%
Quinton Maxwell run for 9 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+1
11.5%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
11.7%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-5
11.9%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (Josh Cooper) to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-3
12.1%
Quinton Maxwell sacked by TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 33 Quinton Maxwell fumbled, recovered by WMich Andre Turner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3188% → 87%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
12.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
12.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
12.6%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 11
OPP 34
-5
12.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 16
OPP 39
0
12.8%
James Coleman punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5613% → 14%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
12.8%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 10
0
13.1%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+1
13.3%
Quinton Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Ohio 11Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
13.6%
Michael Farkas punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:2587% → 85%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
13.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Donnie Ernsberger for 5 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+19
13.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 19 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
13.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+7
14.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jamauri Bogan for 7 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
14.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
14.6%
Butch Hampton 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5886% → 86%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
14.2%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
14.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+7
14.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
14.2%
Butch Hampton 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2015% → 15%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
14.7%
Quinton Maxwell run for no gain to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
14.9%
Maleek Irons run for 3 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
15.1%
Quinton Maxwell pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+10
15.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 53 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 10 yds to the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 8:4685% → 84%
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
15.0%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+5
14.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
15.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 8 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+11
14.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 11 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
14.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
15.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
15.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
16.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
15.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 9 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+3
15.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
15.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+9
15.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 9 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+6
15.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
15.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+2
15.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 2Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-2
16.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
16.0%
Butch Hampton 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:0216% → 23%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+67
15.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 67 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
17.5%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
17.6%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 8Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
23.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
14.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 70 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:2716% → 15%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
15.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
15.9%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
14.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 13 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.1%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
16.0%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
15.5%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Kyle BelackSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
15.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:4584% → 84%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
15.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
15.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+7
15.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-8
15.2%
D'Wayne Eskridge run for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 26Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 18
OWN 26
-5
16.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (John Keenoy) to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 23
OWN 21
0
16.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to D'Wayne EskridgeSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 23
OWN 21
+21
16.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 21 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 3:10
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
16.4%
James Coleman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 1:2816% → 16%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
16.1%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+2
16.3%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 3
OWN 22
-11
16.0%
Windham, Greg pass complete to Smith, Sebastian for 10 yards to the OHIO32, PENALTY OHIO personal foul (Wood, Durrell) 11 yards to the OHIO11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 14
OWN 11
-4
16.5%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 7Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & 18
OWN 7
0
16.3%
Michael Farkas punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:4785% → 92%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
15.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 22 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
14.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 13 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
13.8%
Terrell, Zach pass incomplete to Watson, Keishawn, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Okorafor, Chukwuma) 10 yards to the OHIO29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
14.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+21
14.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 21 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
7.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 8 yds for a TD, (Butch Hampton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.5%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the Ohio 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:4890% → 90%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
10.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q3 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
10.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 16Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+32
10.2%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Bradd Ellis return for 32 yds to the WMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
18.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
14 plays · 35 yds · 7:0184% → 83%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
16.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
15.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+3
16.1%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
15.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 12 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
15.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
15.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
15.6%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
50
+2
15.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+9
15.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 9 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
15.7%
Zach Terrell sacked by Kent Berger and Tarell Basham for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 20
OPP 49
-6
16.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Kurt Laseak for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 26
OWN 45
+6
16.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 20
OPP 49
0
17.3%
James Coleman punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2815% → 14%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
15.2%
Dorian Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 16Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
15.3%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Mason MorganSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-3
14.6%
Greg Windham pass complete to Dorian Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+43
14.0%
Michael Farkas punt for 51 yds , Darius Phillips returns for 43 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2287% → 90%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
13.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+1
13.4%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the Ohio 16Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
13.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael HenrySimilar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
9.8%
Butch Hampton 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:0713% → 31%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
13.1%
Windham, Greg pass incomplete to Smith, Sebastian, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Phillips, Darius) 15 yards to the OHIO34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
13.6%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
13.2%
Maleek Irons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+18
13.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 18 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
14.5%
Greg Windham run for 11 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
31.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 31 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:1678% → 79%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
21.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 20Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+27
21.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 27 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
19.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+3
19.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 13:37
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
19.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
20.6%
James Coleman punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5826% → 24%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
26.2%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
26.2%
Maleek Irons run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
25.1%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 11
OWN 14
0
24.4%
Michael Farkas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Darius Phillips at the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 4:5928% → 33%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
27.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
27.4%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 9 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
29.9%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.4%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
27.1%
Greg Windham run for 1 yd to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+16
25.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Kyle Belack for 16 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
28.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 11 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
30.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
30.6%
Greg Windham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+10
27.8%
Windham, Greg pass incomplete to White, Papi, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Ginwright, Davontae) 10 yards to the WESTMICH19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
30.9%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
31.1%
Maleek Irons run for no gain to the WMich 20Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
26.7%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:14
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
32.6%
Louie Zervos 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 24FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 5:3276% → 95%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
24.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+14
23.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Carrington Thompson for 14 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
19.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the OHIO 43 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Carrington Thompson) to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 9
OWN 47
+11
19.8%
Zach Terrell run for 11 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
18.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+6
16.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
15.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 6 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+4
14.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
13.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-1
8.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OPP 15
-5
9.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Carrington Thompson) to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+4
9.7%
Zach Terrell run for 4 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+34
5.4%
Butch Hampton 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:2811% → 14%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
11.4%
Greg Windham pass complete to Elijah Ball for 18 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
13.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
13.9%
Greg Windham pass complete to Maleek Irons for 10 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
14.9%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
14.2%
Greg Windham pass intercepted Robert Spillane return for no gain to the WMich 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2395% → 94%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-2
5.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:09
Greg Windham pass complete to Papi White for 31 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q3 13:55
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos PAT MISSED)
+7.9
TD · Q2 8:08
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds for a TD, (Louie Zervos KICK)
+6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com