Try the model
PRES

Presbyterian 7 at South Alabama 31

USA
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDEnd of GameMISSED FG-1.1USA 96.6%Brett Norton 30 yd FG MISSEDAWAY 0 - HOME 0 · Q1 8:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:13 · Brett Norton 30 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Pregame prior+45.3Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.5Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q1 8:13: Brett Norton 30 yd FG MISSED — PRES win probability +1.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: PRES has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:07: Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 8:29: Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Maaseiah Francis fumbled, forced by Ryan Brown, recovered by Presb Rock Ya-Sin , return for 61 yds, (Brett Norton KICK) — PRES win probability +2.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:58: Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20 — USA win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:24: Jalen Thompson 30 Yd Interception Return (Gavin Patterson Kick) — USA win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PRES has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8PRES made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00PRES 4th & 1 at USA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:13PRES 4th & 11 at USA 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03PRES 4th & 15 at PRES 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56USA 4th & 10 at USA 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:16PRES 4th & 3 at PRES 8, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:04PRES 4th & 12 at PRES 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:46USA 4th & 6 at USA 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:48PRES 4th & 5 at USA 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:25USA 4th & 2 at PRES 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 7 at USA 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:07PRES 4th & 25 at PRES 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:29USA 4th & 4 at PRES 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:05PRES 4th & 2 at USA 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:58USA 4th & 7 at USA 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00PRES 4th & 5 at PRES 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:57USA 4th & 2 at PRES 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:24PRES 4th & 12 at PRES 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:23USA 4th & 3 at USA 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:53PRES 4th & 6 at PRES 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:03USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04USA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:07USA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:24USA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRESDrive 1MISSED FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 6:472% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Ben Cheek run for 6 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
97.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense (Devon Earl) to the Presb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DarQuez Watson for 16 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to DarQuez Watson, broken up by Neiko RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Kyle Goddard for 5 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
97.6%
CHEEK, B. pass incomplete to WATSON, D., PENALTY USA offside defense (Forde, Wade) 5 yards to the USA34, 1ST DOWN PC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
97.6%
Ben Cheek run for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+4
97.6%
DaShawn Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 26 DaShawn Davis fumbled, forced by Jeremy Reaves, recovered by Presb Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
97.6%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+1
97.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
97.6%
Ben Cheek run for 12 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Kyle GoddardSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-1
97.6%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
97.6%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
96.6%
Brett Norton 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:1097% → 97%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.6%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
96.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 70 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
96.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 22Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
96.8%
Ben Cheek run for 2 yds to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+11
96.8%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Joseph Purter for 11 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 39Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
96.7%
Zola Davis run for 6 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
96.7%
Zola Davis run for 1 yd to the Presb 46Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
96.7%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-1
96.8%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 45Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 45
-5
96.8%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Brett Norton punt for 38 yds, downed at the SAlab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.2%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+15
96.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 15 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
96.3%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
96.2%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
96.1%
Brandon McKee punt for 57 yds, downed at the Presb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
96.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 4Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
96.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 6Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+2
96.1%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Zola Davis for 2 yds to the Presb 8Similar
Q1 0:16
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
95.9%
Brett Norton punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:0696% → 97%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
95.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 10 yds to the Presb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
95.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 9 yds to the Presb 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+21
95.9%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 21 yds to the Presb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
96.3%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 17Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+2
96.3%
Ben Cheek run for 2 yds to the Presb 19Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+3
96.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-2
96.4%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DaShawn Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 20Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Brett Norton punt for 45 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for no gain to the SAlab 33 Dami Ayoola fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-12
96.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 22
OWN 21
+19
96.3%
Cole Garvin run for 4 yds to the SAlab 25 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, personal foul (Grant Beidel) to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
96.5%
Dami Ayoola run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 4
OWN 46
-3
96.5%
Dami Ayoola run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 44 Dami Ayoola fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dami AyoolaSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
96.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
96.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 41 yds, downed at the Presb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
95.9%
Ben Cheek run for 19 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
95.8%
Zola Davis run for 9 yds to the Presb 43Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-5
95.6%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 38Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
95.7%
Zola Davis run for 4 yds to the Presb 42Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+10
95.7%
Ben Cheek run for 10 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
95.6%
Zola Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
95.6%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Joseph Purter for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
95.6%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Shadarius HarveySimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
95.7%
Brett Norton punt for 38 yds, downed at the SAlab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 4:1895% → 99%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
95.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+8
95.2%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 8 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
95.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+5
95.4%
Cole Garvin run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+5
95.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+43
95.5%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Josh Magee for 43 yds to the Presb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
95.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
95.8%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 4 yds to the Presb 18Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
95.6%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+10
95.5%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 10 yds to the Presb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
95.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the Presb 4Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:072% → 2%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 38Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
97.7%
Ben Cheek run for 7 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
97.7%
Ben Cheek run for 13 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
97.5%
Ben Cheek pass complete to DarQuez Watson for 10 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
97.4%
Ben Cheek pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
97.4%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+49
97.8%
Brett Norton 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Randy Allen N/A return for no gain to the SAlab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Josh Magee for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
98.3%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 35 yds, downed at the Presb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
98.0%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the Presb 38Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
98.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
98.0%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 8 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 48Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
97.9%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
98.0%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Daryl Wilson, broken up by Chris HendersonSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 10
OWN 48
-15
98.1%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Damien McGhee) to the Presb 33Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 25
OWN 33
0
98.1%
Brett Norton punt for 42 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for no gain to the SAlab 23 Dami Ayoola fumbled, recovered by SAlab Dami AyoolaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14FUMBLE TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:4599% → 96%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.5%
Cole Garvin run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+31
98.5%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 31 yds to the Presb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the Presb 41Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
98.6%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 2 yds to the Presb 39Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+7
98.6%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 7 yds to the Presb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+61
95.9%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Maaseiah Francis fumbled, forced by Ryan Brown, recovered by Presb Rock Ya-Sin , return for 61 yds, (Brett Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
95.7%
Dami Ayoola run for 27 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the Presb 44Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
95.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the Presb 42Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
95.7%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Quinton LaneSimilar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
95.4%
Brandon McKee punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Kyle Goddard at the Presb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 16FUMBLE
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:365% → 5%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
94.9%
Ben Cheek run for 14 yds to the Presb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
94.6%
Obinna Ntiasagwe run for 15 yds to the Presb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
94.4%
Ben Cheek run for 6 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
94.1%
Ben Cheek run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+6
95.1%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Kyle Goddard for 6 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+19
95.0%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Kyle Goddard for 19 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.5%
Zola Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+1
94.5%
Ben Cheek pass complete to Joseph Purter for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+6
95.1%
Ben Cheek run for 6 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 2
OPP 15
-4
95.4%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 17 Darrell Bridges fumbled, forced by Bull Barge, recovered by SAlab Tyree TurnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
97.1%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Dami AyoolaSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Tyrone WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
96.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kyle Goddard at the Presb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:114% → 4%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.1%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.4%
Ben Cheek run for 5 yds to the Presb 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
96.2%
Brett Norton punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:1997% → 98%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
97.1%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Josh Magee for 17 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
97.3%
Deonta Moore run for 7 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+9
97.3%
Deonta Moore run for 9 yds to the Presb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
97.3%
Cole Garvin run for 5 yds to the Presb 32Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+11
97.4%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Milton Revell for 11 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.4%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.4%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Josh Magee for 6 yds to the Presb 15Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+2
97.3%
Milton Revell run for 2 yds to the Presb 13Similar
Q4 10:57
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
98.1%
Gavin Patterson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 20INT TD
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:332% → 1%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.8%
Ben Cheek run for no gain to the Presb 16Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-3
97.8%
Ben Cheek sacked by Finess Middleton for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 13Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+30
99.5%
Jalen Thompson 30 Yd Interception Return (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
99.5%
Ben Cheek run for 25 yds to the Presb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Zola Davis run for no gain to the Presb 46Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.4%
Zola Davis run for 2 yds to the Presb 48Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-4
99.4%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 44Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Brett Norton punt for 35 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for no gain to the SAlab 44 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.6%
Deonta Moore run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
99.6%
Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
99.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 56 yds, downed at the Presb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 3Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
99.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 5Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 6
OWN 5
0
99.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to DarQuez WatsonSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 6
OWN 5
+11
99.7%
Brett Norton punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 37 , Dami Ayoola returns for 11 yds to the Presb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.7%
Milton Revell run for 4 yds to the Presb 33Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
99.7%
Cole Garvin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+11
99.7%
Milton Revell run for 11 yds to the Presb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
99.7%
Milton Revell run for 5 yds to the Presb 17Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
99.7%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 5 yds to the Presb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.7%
Milton Revell run for 2 yds to the Presb 10Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
99.7%
Carlos Robinson II run for 2 yds to the Presb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:07
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)
+2.8
FUMBLE · Q3 8:29
Cole Garvin pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for a loss of 2 yards for a TD Maaseiah Francis fumbled, forced by Ryan Brown, recovered by Presb Rock Ya-Sin , return for 61 yds, (Brett Norton KICK)
-2.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:58
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com