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TULN

Tulane 6 at UCF 37

UCF
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFUMBLETDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:55 · Andrew DiRocco 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+31.7Home team on offense−2.7Score differential−1.0Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:39: McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 7:23: Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by UCF Drico Johnson , return for 30 yds, (Matthew Wright PAT MISSED) — UCF win probability +6.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:34: Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Shaquill Griffin return for 33 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +8.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:12: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 10 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down — UCF win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:23: Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Drico Johnson return for 86 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:48TULN 4th & 5 at TULN 47, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43UCF 4th & 4 at TULN 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55TULN 4th & 17 at UCF 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55UCF 4th & 15 at UCF 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:42TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 25, up 6
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:39TULN 4th & 2 at UCF 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:38UCF 4th & 10 at UCF 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:52UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35UCF 4th & 1 at TULN 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−3.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−4.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:34TULN 4th & 1 at UCF 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−1.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:55UCF 4th & 5 at TULN 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−3.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:23TULN 4th & 7 at UCF 21, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:23TULN 4th & 1 at TULN 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:23TULN 4th & 2 at UCF 45, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:23TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:39UCF Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:34UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:23UCF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:09UCF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
89.3%
Adrian Killins run for 4 yds to the UCF 42 Adrian Killins fumbled, forced by Robert Kennedy, recovered by Tulan Parry NickersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 42 yds · 2:3011% → 12%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
89.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
89.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
89.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
89.3%
Terren Encalade run for 16 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
88.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew DiRocco PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3INT
10 plays · 37 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
88.3%
Adrian Killins run for no gain to the UCF 17Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+17
88.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 2 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jarrod Franklin) to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
88.3%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Jordan FranksSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
88.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Franks for 7 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+15
88.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 15 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
88.5%
MILTON, M. pass complete to WILSON, Dont. for no gain to the TLN44, out-of-bounds (MARLEY, Nico;SMART, Tanzel), PENALTY TLN offside (KENNEDY, Robert) 5 yards to the TLN39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 5
OPP 39
0
88.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 39
-7
88.5%
Dontravious Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
88.4%
McKenzie Milton pass intercepted Parry Nickerson return for no gain to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
87.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+15
87.4%
CUIELLETTE, G. pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY UCF pass interference (KILLINGS, D.J.) 15 yards to the TLN42, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
87.2%
Josh Rounds run for 5 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
87.2%
Glen Cuiellette run for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
87.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
87.4%
Zachary Block punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0086% → 87%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the UCF 20Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
86.4%
McKenzie Milton run for 9 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+21
86.4%
Dontravious Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jarrod Franklin) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
50
+6
86.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dontravious Wilson for 6 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
86.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
86.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
86.6%
Caleb Houston punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Parry Nickerson at the Tulan 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:1714% → 18%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
85.8%
Josh Rounds run for 8 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
85.6%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
85.7%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+18
85.7%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 18 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
85.4%
Sherman Badie run for 3 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
85.4%
Sherman Badie run for 11 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.3%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
85.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 7 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+3
85.3%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
85.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 3 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+8
85.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 8 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
85.2%
Josh Rounds run for 1 yd to the UCF 18Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
85.2%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 9
OPP 18
-8
85.4%
Terren Encalade run for 7 yds to the UCF 11 TULANE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+44
81.8%
Andrew DiRocco 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
81.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 4 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+24
82.0%
Jawon Hamilton run for 24 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 5 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-10
82.9%
McKenzie Milton sacked by Daren Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 15
OWN 49
0
81.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dontravious WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
81.5%
Caleb Houston punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Parry Nickerson at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
79.7%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+8
79.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 8 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+2
79.8%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Zachary Block punt for 33 yds, downed at the UCF 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:0480% → 85%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
79.6%
Jawon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+6
80.0%
Adrian Killins run for 6 yds to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
80.1%
McKenzie Milton run for 6 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+28
80.2%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 28 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
80.7%
Adrian Killins run for 10 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.7%
Jawon Hamilton run for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.5%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.4%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
82.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Terren Encalade for 20 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
81.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
80.9%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+2
81.1%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 2 yds to the UCF 46Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
81.8%
Glen Cuiellette punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
81.7%
Dontravious Wilson run for 4 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+14
81.8%
Dontravious Wilson run for 14 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
82.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre'Quan Smith for 4 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+6
82.2%
Dontravious Wilson run for 6 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
82.2%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
81.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
80.9%
Caleb Houston punt for 60 yds, downed at the Tulan 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
80.4%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+7
80.6%
Sherman Badie run for 7 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+14
81.1%
Sherman Badie run for 14 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.1%
Sherman Badie run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
79.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 24Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
79.4%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-10
80.1%
CUIELLETTE, G. pass complete to ENCALADE, T. for 10 yards to the TLN34, out-of-bounds (KILLINGS, D.J.), PENALTY TLN holding (ARDOIN, Kendall) 10 yards to the TLN14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 19
OWN 14
+6
80.3%
Glen Cuiellette run for 6 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+5
80.9%
UCF Penalty, Defensive offside (Kyle Gibson) to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
80.7%
Glen Cuiellette punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chris Johnson at the UCF 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
79.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Jordan Franks for 6 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 4
OWN 32
-3
79.9%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 29Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+1
78.2%
McKenzie Milton run for 1 yd to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
77.4%
Caleb Houston punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Parry Nickerson at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
76.0%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
75.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Darnell Mooney, broken up by T.J. MutchersonSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-2
76.4%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 42 Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by UCF Seyvon LowrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
80.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+4
79.3%
Jawon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the Tulan 40Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+7
79.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 7 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
79.0%
Dontravious Wilson run for no gain to the Tulan 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:1424% → 17%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
75.8%
Glen Cuiellette run for 1 yd to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+30
82.6%
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by UCF Drico Johnson , return for 30 yds, (Matthew Wright PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4917% → 9%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
83.2%
Sherman Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 24 TULANE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+33
91.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Shaquill Griffin return for 33 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 0:009% → 10%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.2%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
90.5%
Glen Cuiellette run for 5 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.7%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+26
90.5%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 26 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
89.9%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 3 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
89.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 6 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
89.6%
Lazedrick Thompson run for no gain to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-1
90.0%
Josh Rounds run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 28 TULANE Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:1795% → 96%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
94.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 10 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
94.7%
McKenzie Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 37Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+11
94.5%
Taj McGowan run for 11 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
94.8%
Taj McGowan run for 1 yd to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+24
94.8%
Adrian Killins run for 24 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Adrian KillinsSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
94.9%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Jordan AkinsSimilar
Q3 2:12
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+5
94.7%
Dontravious Wilson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
95.9%
Matthew Wright 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21INT TD
16 plays · 54 yds · 3:324% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.9%
BLOCK, Zachary punt 25 yards to the 50 yardline, fair catch by JOHNSON, Chris, PENALTY UCF face mask 15 yards to the TLN40, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Larry DaceSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
95.5%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
95.6%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. OwensSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+15
95.6%
UCF Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (T.J. Mutcherson) to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
95.4%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 33
0
94.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+9
95.1%
Josh Rounds run for 9 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to Chris JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
95.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 3 yds to the UCF 21Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
95.1%
Glen Cuiellette pass incomplete to D.J. Owens, broken up by Shaquill GriffinSimilar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+86
98.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Drico Johnson return for 86 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22INT
16 plays · 57 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Trey Scott run for no gain to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Josh Rounds run for no gain to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.0%
BLOCK, Zachary punt 43 yards to the UCF28, fair catch by JOHNSON, Chris, PENALTY UCF roughing the kicker (MCDONALD, J.) 5 yards to the TLN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Glen Cuiellette run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
98.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.9%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
98.9%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+1
98.9%
Sherman Badie run for 1 yd to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+4
99.0%
Lazedrick Thompson run for 4 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
98.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Sergio Medina) to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+8
98.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Devin Glenn for 8 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+17
98.9%
Glen Cuiellette pass complete to Devin Glenn for 17 yds to the UCF 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
98.8%
Josh Rounds run for 3 yds to the UCF 18Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
98.8%
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted, touchback. Shaquill Griffin return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:4499% → 100%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+50
99.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Hayden Jones for 50 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
99.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Adrian Killins for 14 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
99.4%
Justin Holman run for 12 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.4%
Taj McGowan run for 2 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.4%
Justin Holman pass complete to Cal Bloom for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Justin Holman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
100.0%
Dontrell Hilliard run for 6 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
100.0%
Josh Rounds run for 11 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
100.0%
Josh Rounds run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Sherman Badie run for 8 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:34
Glen Cuiellette pass intercepted for a TD Shaquill Griffin return for 33 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
+8.3
FUMBLE · Q3 7:23
Glen Cuiellette run for a loss of 4 yards Glen Cuiellette fumbled, recovered by UCF Drico Johnson , return for 30 yds, (Matthew Wright PAT MISSED)
+6.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:12
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins for 10 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com