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IU

Indiana 24 at Utah 26

UTAH
2016 · Foster Farms Bowl · Dec 28, 2016 · Levi's Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:22 · Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 11 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 193Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense+13.1Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:14: Tyler Huntley 1 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +4.6 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:38: Nick Westbrook 36 Yd pass from Zander Diamont (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +13.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 0:30: Andy Phillips 41 Yd Field Goal — UTAH win probability +7.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:10: Devine Redding 3 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +25.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:24: Andy Phillips 27 Yd Field Goal — UTAH win probability +32.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 9:30UTAH 4th & 5 at IU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:15IU 4th & 10 at IU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36IU 4th & 6 at IU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:49UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14UTAH 4th & 1 at IU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23IU 4th & 15 at IU 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:51UTAH 4th & 16 at UTAH 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:33IU 4th & 7 at UTAH 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:13UTAH 4th & 10 at UTAH 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:19UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:50IU 4th & 9 at IU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:40UTAH 4th & 7 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:27IU 4th & 14 at IU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:30UTAH 4th & 12 at IU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.5%−11.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48IU 4th & 10 at IU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−2.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:34IU 4th & 10 at UTAH 23, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−3.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−21.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:24UTAH 4th & 9 at IU 9, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%−22.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−40.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22IU 4th & 10 at IU 30, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.2%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:08IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:41UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:14UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:38IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:10IU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:4333% → 34%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
66.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
66.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+8
66.5%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Westbrook, Nick, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Porter, Reginald) 8 yards to the UTAH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
66.5%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Coy Cronk) to the Utah 7Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
66.3%
Mitchell Paige 7 Yd pass from Richard Lagow (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:3366% → 66%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
66.3%
Williams, Joe rush for 2 yards to the UTAH27, PENALTY UTAH holding (Bolles, Garett) 10 yards to the UTAH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
66.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
66.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kenric Young for 5 yds to the Utah 20Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+21
65.7%
Troy Williams run for 21 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
65.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+23
65.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 23 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
65.7%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+11
65.7%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
65.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+2
65.2%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
64.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+30
65.6%
Andy Phillips 30 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:2235% → 35%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
65.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-6
65.0%
Richard Lagow sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 16 Richard Lagow fumbled, forced by Pita Taumoepenu, recovered by Utah Hunter Dimick , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
67.3%
Joe Williams 16 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:1233% → 33%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
66.8%
Ricky Brookins run for 20 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
66.3%
Ricky Brookins run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
66.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete, broken up by Pasoni TasiniSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
66.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Chase HansenSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+8
67.0%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 46 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 8 yds to the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:3267% → 67%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
66.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 7 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
66.6%
Troy Williams pass intercepted Rashard Fant return for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5233% → 33%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.6%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
66.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
66.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+3
67.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 45 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 3:4266% → 65%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
66.4%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+2
66.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
66.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 6 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
66.5%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
67.1%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-10
66.4%
Troy Williams sacked by Nile Sykes for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:0235% → 36%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
65.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
65.6%
Devonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
65.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 15 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
64.9%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Williams, Devonte, PENALTY UTAH holding (Tasini, Pasoni) 10 yards to the UTAH28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
64.3%
Devine Redding run for 11 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
64.2%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+4
64.2%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
64.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-1
63.8%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 5 Devine Redding fumbled, forced by Pasoni Tasini, recovered by Utah Chase HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 5:2466% → 72%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
65.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 7Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+56
65.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for 56 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+36
67.5%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 36 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 0
OPP 1
-4
68.4%
UTAH Penalty, Illegal Shift (-4 Yards) to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
67.7%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 0
OPP 8
+4
68.5%
Williams, Troy pass sacked for loss of 0 yards to the INDIANA8 (Green III, Ralph), PENALTY INDIANA face mask (Green III, Ralph) 4 yards to the INDIANA4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-9
67.8%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 3 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaac Asiata) to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 11:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+3
67.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
67.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 8 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.2%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.8%
Tyler Huntley 1 Yd Run (Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:3728% → 26%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
72.2%
Ricky Brookins run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+6
71.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 6 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-5
72.0%
Ricky Brookins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
73.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+2
74.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 46 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2273% → 72%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.6%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
72.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-6
71.8%
Troy Williams sacked by Chris Covington for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 16
OWN 15
+4
71.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 50 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13FG
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:0828% → 30%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+53
72.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 53 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
70.3%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 7Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
70.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
70.5%
Griffin Oakes 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1772% → 71%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Joe WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
71.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
70.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:3129% → 45%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
70.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Sunia TauteoliSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
71.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+6
69.8%
Ricky Brookins run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
50
+5
69.0%
Richard Lagow run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
69.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Danny FriendSimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
69.5%
Ricky Brookins run for 6 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
68.5%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+36
54.9%
Nick Westbrook 36 Yd pass from Zander Diamont (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16END OF HALF
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:0863% → 64%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
62.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 12 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
62.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 14 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Joe WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
64.6%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+4
65.0%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
65.7%
Troy Williams sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 14
OPP 45
-7
63.9%
Troy Williams sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:3141% → 44%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
59.3%
Devine Redding run for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
58.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
50
0
56.1%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for no gain to the Utah 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5163% → 61%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
62.5%
Joe Williams run for 13 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
62.8%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
63.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
61.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi Wilson, broken up by Marcelino BallSimilar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+8
60.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 56 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 8 yds to the Ind 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2441% → 39%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
59.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
59.3%
Devonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
60.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for no gain to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+2
61.4%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 42 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:0563% → 68%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
62.9%
Kyle Fulks run for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
62.6%
Tyler Huntley run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+15
63.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 15 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
65.6%
UTAH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Garett Bolles) to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
64.0%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+3
63.2%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+22
63.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 22 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.5%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
66.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
65.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
68.4%
Andy Phillips 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:0234% → 31%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
65.7%
Redding, Devine rush for 3 yards to the INDIANA24, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Feeney, Dan) 10 yards to the INDIANA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 20
OWN 11
-7
66.0%
Richard Lagow sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 27
OWN 4
+5
66.5%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 22
OWN 9
+8
68.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 8 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 14
OWN 17
+20
69.3%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 37 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 20 yds to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22FG
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:4972% → 77%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
72.0%
Troy Williams sacked by Dawson Fletcher for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 13
OPP 37
-5
69.7%
UTAH Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
69.2%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+21
67.9%
Joe Williams run for 21 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.2%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Ind 21 Troy Williams fumbled, forced by Nate Hoff, recovered by UtahSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-2
72.2%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
69.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+41
77.2%
Andy Phillips 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3129% → 26%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
71.1%
Ricky Brookins run for no gain to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
72.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete, broken up by Hunter DimickSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
73.6%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:4279% → 82%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
78.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 5 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+13
79.5%
Joe Williams run for 13 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
80.9%
Tyler Huntley run for 9 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
81.8%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Ind 42 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Tyler Green, recovered by Ind Chase DutraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:4430% → 59%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
69.8%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
68.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 7 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
69.2%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 44
0
68.5%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+11
69.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Brookins for 11 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
67.3%
Ricky Brookins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
68.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+19
72.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 19 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
66.7%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+13
66.8%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.0%
Devine Redding 3 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:5751% → 57%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
50.9%
Joe Williams run for 18 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
55.7%
Joe Williams run for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
57.4%
Joe Williams run for 17 yds to the Ind 29 Joe Williams fumbled, forced by Tyler Green, recovered by IndSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27MISSED FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 3:2453% → 59%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
46.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ian Thomas for 20 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
42.8%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-5
39.5%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 9
50
+15
42.3%
Lagow, Richard pass incomplete to Jones, Ricky, PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Taumoepenu, Pita) 15 yards to the UTAH35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
38.2%
Ricky Brookins run for 7 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
37.5%
Ricky Brookins run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
38.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
34.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
35.5%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
37.4%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
41.5%
Griffin Oakes 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:0449% → 86%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
49.3%
Joe Williams run for 21 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
54.3%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
54.7%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
55.7%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-10
55.5%
McCormick, Troy rush for 2 yards to the INDIANA40, PENALTY UTAH holding (Nowakowski, Nick) 10 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+10
48.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 10 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+32
52.6%
Joe Williams run for 32 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
57.7%
Troy McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 11Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
57.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
55.7%
Tyler Huntley run for 1 yd to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
85.5%
Andy Phillips 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29END OF GAME
10 plays · 18 yds · 1:1027% → 16%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-9
72.7%
Richard Lagow sacked by Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
76.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick Westbrook, broken up by Chase HansenSimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+9
77.4%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 9 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+11
81.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 11 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
74.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Camion PatrickSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+12
76.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 12 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
80.0%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Coy Cronk) to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
84.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 1:24
Andy Phillips 27 Yd Field Goal
+32.2
TD · Q4 10:10
Devine Redding 3 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)
-25.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com