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CLEM

Clemson 35 at Alabama 31

ALA
2016 · CFP National Championship Game · Jan 9, 2017 · Raymond James Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadCLEM aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreCLEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:21 · Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Alab 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior+8.8Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:53: O.J. Howard 68 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +16.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:00: Mike Williams 4 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +20.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:38: Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +40.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:07: Jalen Hurts 30 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +53.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:01: Hunter Renfrow 2 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick) — CLEM win probability +63.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 10 of 13CLEM made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 13:24ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21CLEM 4th & 1 at ALA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.5%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:26CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:30ALA 4th & 13 at ALA 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:07ALA 4th & 17 at CLEM 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:06CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 31, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:42ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:24ALA 4th & 9 at CLEM 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:28CLEM 4th & 17 at CLEM 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:19CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:25ALA 4th & 3 at CLEM 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%−0.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−8.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:14CLEM 4th & 1 at ALA 43, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−4.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:13ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:00ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:54CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 39, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:14ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:30CLEM 4th & 9 at CLEM 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−2.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:00ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−0.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:36CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−2.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 6:33ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−3.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:11ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.3%−9.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:23ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:42ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:09CLEM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:10CLEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:53ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:00CLEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:38CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:07ALA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−2.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:01CLEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3060% → 60%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
59.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-1
59.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+3
59.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+3
59.5%
JK Scott punt for 55 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 3 yds to the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:0340% → 41%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
59.6%
Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
59.5%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Da'Ron Payne and Jonathan Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+20
59.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 5 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Reuben Foster) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
50
+1
59.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 1 yd to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+5
59.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
59.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 3 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
59.5%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:5860% → 63%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
60.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 20 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+15
60.7%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete to Dieter, Gehrig, PENALTY CLEMSON roughing passer (Ferrell, Clelin) 15 yards to the CLEMSON20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.Similar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
60.7%
Hurts, Jalen pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal shift 5 yards to the CLEMSON25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+25
62.5%
Bo Scarbrough 25 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5238% → 37%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.7%
Artavis Scott run for no gain to the Clem 29Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
61.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 8 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+6
61.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 6 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
62.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
61.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
62.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
62.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gehrig Dieter at the Alab 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:5663% → 64%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
63.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+7
63.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 7 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+3
63.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
63.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Bo ScarbroughSimilar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
63.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+13
63.4%
Joshua Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
64.7%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+8
64.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-10
64.9%
Hurts, Jalen rush for 3 yards to the CLEMSON49 (Boulware, Ben), PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Hentges, Hale) 10 yards to the ALABAMA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
64.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+25
63.9%
JK Scott punt blocked by Tanner Muse, downed at CLEMSON 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4036% → 36%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
63.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
63.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+2
63.9%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Clem 37 Deshaun Watson fumbled, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson , return for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:4366% → 65%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
66.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-2
65.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 42Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 17
OPP 42
0
65.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
65.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
64.5%
JK Scott punt for 41 yds, downed at the Clem 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:0135% → 32%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
65.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 4Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+5
65.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ryan Anderson) to the Clem 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+1
65.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 10
+4
65.8%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
65.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 5 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+7
65.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
65.6%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+2
66.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
67.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
68.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:2467% → 76%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
67.2%
ArDarius Stewart run for 25 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
68.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+8
68.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 8 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
68.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+37
76.3%
Bo Scarbrough 37 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1326% → 25%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
73.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
73.0%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
74.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
74.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gehrig Dieter at the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4076% → 76%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
76.3%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
76.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
77.8%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 47Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
77.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
76.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
76.0%
JK Scott punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 1:3324% → 33%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
76.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+43
76.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 43 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
74.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
74.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+26
75.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 26 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
74.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 5 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+8
66.8%
Deshaun Watson 8 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3971% → 70%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
70.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+15
71.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
72.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
72.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 5
OPP 40
-4
71.7%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
70.2%
JK Scott punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5629% → 27%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+20
70.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 20 yds to the Clem 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
70.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 46Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
70.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-8
71.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Reuben Foster for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 38Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 17
OWN 38
+9
72.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 33 yds , Gehrig Dieter returns for 9 yds to the Alab 38 Gehrig Dieter fumbled, forced by Jadar Johnson, recovered by AlabSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2472% → 70%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
72.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
72.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-3
71.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 38Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
70.2%
JK Scott punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:4527% → 26%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
72.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Ray-Ray McCloudSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+4
73.0%
Wayne Gallman run for 4 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+19
74.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 19 yds to the Clem 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
72.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
72.9%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Sean Pollard) to the Clem 23Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
73.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+3
73.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 3 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
74.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
72.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5931% → 31%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
69.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+8
69.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 8 yds to the Clem 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
69.1%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Clem 34 Wayne Gallman fumbled, forced by Ryan Anderson, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson at the Clem 28, return for 12 yds to the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2974% → 76%
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
73.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Cam Robinson) to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+3
73.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 12
OPP 18
0
73.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 12
OPP 18
+9
72.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 9 yds to the Clem 9Similar
Q3 12:25
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
76.0%
Adam Griffith 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:0824% → 23%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
75.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+14
75.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 14 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
75.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
74.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
74.6%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+6
74.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
74.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
76.6%
Deshaun Watson punt for 38 yds, downed at the Alab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0177% → 76%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
77.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
77.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+4
76.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q3 8:13
4TH & 3
OWN 12
0
76.1%
JK Scott punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:0325% → 41%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
75.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 14 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
74.1%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
74.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
58.9%
Hunter Renfrow 24 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:0365% → 63%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
65.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
65.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for no gain to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
63.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
63.0%
JK Scott punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:0637% → 35%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
63.3%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 17Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+13
63.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 13 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
62.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-7
63.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 25Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+14
66.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 14 yds to the Clem 39Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
64.9%
Andy Teasdall punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:0165% → 81%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
65.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+5
66.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
65.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+68
81.4%
O.J. Howard 68 Yd pass from Jalen Hurts (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:4721% → 42%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
79.5%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Williams, Mike, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Humphrey, Marlon) 15 yards to the CLEMSON43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
78.6%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
79.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 11 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.7%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
78.0%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 12 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
76.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 17 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
77.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
77.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Alab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.8%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Alab 4Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.8%
Mike Williams 4 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4669% → 70%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
69.4%
Damien Harris run for 13 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
72.0%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
71.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+5
69.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 5 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
69.5%
JK Scott punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4434% → 30%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
66.0%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Rashaan Evans and Jonathan Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 14Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
67.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+7
68.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 7 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
69.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, downed at the Alab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3073% → 71%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
73.5%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
72.4%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
70.6%
JK Scott punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Clem 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 1:2434% → 30%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
65.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
65.2%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Artavis ScottSimilar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+7
69.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 7 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
65.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
67.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
69.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Andy Teasdall punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0372% → 70%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
71.7%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
71.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
70.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
69.9%
JK Scott punt for 56 yds, downed at the Clem 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:5532% → 81%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
68.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 9 yds to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+5
66.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 5 yds to the Clem 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
68.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 17 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+41
61.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 26 yds to the ALABAMA 31 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Da'Ron Payne) to the Alab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
58.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 15 yds to the Alab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.6%
Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 33TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:3133% → 88%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
32.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-6
32.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+15
28.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 15 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
31.1%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
34.6%
ArDarius Stewart pass complete to O.J. Howard for 24 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
88.3%
Jalen Hurts 30 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 34TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 2:0027% → 95%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
72.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 5 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+24
70.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 24 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
65.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 33 to Wayne Gallman for 10 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+1
62.7%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
68.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
64.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+17
66.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 17 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
68.4%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
68.4%
Watson, Deshaun pass incomplete to Williams, Mike, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Averett, Anthony) 7 yards to the ALABAMA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
5.0%
Hunter Renfrow 2 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 35END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:01
Hunter Renfrow 2 Yd pass from Deshaun Watson (Greg Huegel Kick)
-63.4
TD · Q4 2:07
Jalen Hurts 30 Yd Run (Adam Griffith Kick)
+53.7
TD · Q4 4:38
Wayne Gallman 1 Yd Run (Greg Huegel Kick)
-40
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com