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GT

Georgia Tech 33 at Kentucky 18

UK
2016 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2016 · EverBank Stadium
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-4UK 3.5%Harrison Butker 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 23 - HOME 3 · Q3 2:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:15 · Harrison Butker 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Home team on offense−38.7Score differential−21.6Garbage-time factor−8.7Pregame prior−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:49: Justin Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +8.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 2:15: Harrison Butker 44 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:40: Stephen Johnson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +15.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:57: Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson pass to C.J. Conrad for Two-Point Conversion) — UK win probability +16.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:18: Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:53UK 4th & 8 at UK 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:30GT 4th & 5 at UK 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−2.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:36UK 4th & 9 at GT 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−3.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:59GT 4th & 11 at GT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:18UK 4th & 1 at GT 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−2.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−9.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:06GT 4th & 1 at GT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.5%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:24UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:06GT 4th & 10 at UK 44, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%
    27% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:01GT 4th & 7 at GT 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35UK 4th & 11 at GT 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−1.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:15GT 4th & 16 at UK 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    84.5%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:13GT 4th & 8 at UK 8, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:59UK 4th & 3 at GT 38, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:23UK 4th & 2 at UK 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:43UK 4th & 1 at UK 47, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 0 of 2GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:49GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 13:40UK Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:57UK Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:18GT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:3538% → 38%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
38.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 18 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
38.3%
Dorian Baker run for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
38.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 5 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+38
38.3%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Patrick Gamble for a loss of 13 yards Stephen Johnson fumbled, recovered by GTech P.J. Davis , return for 38 yds Touchdown, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:0238% → 38%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.0%
Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
38.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 4 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
38.0%
Stephen Johnson run for 9 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
38.3%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
38.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
38.1%
Stephen Johnson run for no gain to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
37.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds, downed at the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FG
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:0062% → 63%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
38.0%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+13
37.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
37.5%
Qua Searcy run for 7 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-15
37.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+10
37.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+36
37.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 36 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
36.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+9
36.7%
J.J. Green run for 9 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
36.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+6
36.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
36.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Kent 9Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
36.6%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.8%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
37.0%
Harrison Butker 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 6:3037% → 39%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.6%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
36.4%
Stanley Williams run for 6 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
36.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 6 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
36.7%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 44Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+10
36.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 10 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
37.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+9
37.0%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
37.8%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
37.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 5 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+4
36.5%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
37.3%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-1
37.0%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
35.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
38.5%
Austin MacGinnis 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:0663% → 62%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
36.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-2
35.9%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
36.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 6
OWN 36
-5
37.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Meiko Dotson) to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
37.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Charles Walker at the Kent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6DOWNS
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:1538% → 38%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
37.6%
Stanley Williams run for 9 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+19
38.7%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anree Saint-Amour) to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
39.5%
Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
38.6%
Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+25
38.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 25 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
39.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
39.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
38.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-1
37.9%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 4:2564% → 80%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
36.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+1
35.7%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the GTech 11Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+4
35.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+3
35.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
33.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Will Bryan) to the GTech 9Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+7
33.0%
Justin Thomas run for 7 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+35
33.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 20 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Derrick Baity) to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
30.0%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
29.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton LynchSimilar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+14
30.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 14 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
28.7%
J.J. Green run for 11 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
20.5%
Justin Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:1923% → 25%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.1%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Stanley Williams for 8 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
23.9%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+15
24.5%
Austin MacGinnis punt blocked by Victor Alexander for a 1ST down blocked by Victor Alexander for a 1ST down for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9END OF HALF
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:2079% → 84%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
21.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
21.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for no gain to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
20.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 10
OPP 44
+10
21.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 10 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+52
16.2%
Harrison Butker 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3982% → 83%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
18.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+6
18.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
17.7%
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-2
17.0%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+3
16.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 3 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
17.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt blocked by Nico Firios for a 1ST down blocked by Nico Firios for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -16 yds · 1:2621% → 18%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
20.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
19.9%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+2
19.6%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
19.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-5
19.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 44Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
18.1%
Grant McKinniss punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2884% → 85%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
16.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
15.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+5
16.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
15.7%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 26 Qua Searcy fumbled, recovered by GTech Justin ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+3
15.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 3 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
3 plays · 1 yds · 1:1516% → 15%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.7%
Stephen Johnson run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
15.2%
Benny Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
14.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14FG
11 plays · 18 yds · 3:0088% → 97%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
11.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+4
11.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
10.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
10.5%
Marcus Allen run for 11 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
10.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+5
10.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
7.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to J.J. GreenSimilar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-6
7.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-6 Yards) to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
7.6%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+44
3.5%
Harrison Butker 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:115% → 20%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
5.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 7 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Greg HartSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
5.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 11 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.3%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
5.3%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Stanley WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+16
5.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 16 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
5.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 8 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
5.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
4.6%
Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds to the GTech 20Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
4.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
19.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 6:5689% → 97%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
10.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
10.6%
Justin Thomas run for 9 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
9.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+27
8.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 27 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
8.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
7.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
7.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+1
6.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
6.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+1
6.2%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the Kent 14 Justin Thomas fumbled, forced by Courtney Love, recovered by GTech Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+9
5.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
3.9%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 6:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
2.6%
Harrison Butker 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:086% → 21%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.5%
Stephen Johnson run for 11 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
5.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 19 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
6.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
5.5%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+7
5.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 7 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+5
4.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 5 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
4.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 6 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+6
4.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Charles Walker for 6 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
21.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson pass to C.J. Conrad for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 1:3592% → 99%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
7.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+2
7.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+42
6.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 42 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
4.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
4.3%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Kent 3Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
0.9%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Patrick Gamble for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 22Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+11
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Benny Snell Jr. for 11 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 5 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to David BouvierSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
0.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to David Bouvier for 9 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
0.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to David BouvierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
0.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:57
Stephen Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD, (Stephen Johnson pass to C.J. Conrad for Two-Point Conversion)
+16.6
TD · Q4 13:40
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Dorian Baker for 20 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)
+15
TD · Q2 0:49
Justin Thomas run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
-8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com