Try the model
OSU

Ohio State 0 at Clemson 31

CLEM
2016 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2016 · State Farm Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:00 · Andy Teasdall punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Home team on offense+19.9Score differential+10.3Garbage-time factor+9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:16: Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +4.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:21: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the OhSt 22 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Artavis Scott) to the OhSt 32 — CLEM win probability +3.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:21: Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 30 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +12.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:32: Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 20 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST down — CLEM win probability +3.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:06: Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK) — CLEM win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:37OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52OSU 4th & 7 at CLEM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:16CLEM 4th & 8 at OSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:59OSU 4th & 18 at CLEM 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 49, down 10
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:02CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 20, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:38OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 19, down 10
    Close callPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:05OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:58OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−2.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12CLEM 4th & 1 at CLEM 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:43CLEM 4th & 4 at CLEM 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:02CLEM 4th & 14 at OSU 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:40OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:00CLEM 4th & 14 at OSU 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:09OSU 4th & 25 at OSU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−3.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:51CLEM 4th & 11 at OSU 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:25OSU 4th & 27 at OSU 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:48OSU 4th & 1 at CLEM 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:09CLEM 4th & 5 at OSU 30, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:16CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:21CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:06CLEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:51CLEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0250% → 50%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
49.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 4 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-2
49.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
50.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
50.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:2050% → 50%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
50.1%
Artavis Scott run for 1 yd to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
50.1%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted Gareon Conley return for no gain to the Clem 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0550% → 50%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
49.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+7
49.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Terry McLaurin for 7 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 24
-6
50.0%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
50.2%
Tyler Durbin 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:3151% → 52%
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.5%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
50.5%
Deshaun Watson run for 3 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+37
50.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 37 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
51.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the OhSt 29Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+1
51.5%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
51.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
51.6%
Greg Huegel 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 12 yds · 3:0449% → 47%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
51.1%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
51.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-5
51.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Billy Price) to the Clem 38Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+16
51.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 16 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
50.9%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 8 yards to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 18
OPP 30
0
51.8%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Clem 30Similar
Q1 6:04
3RD & 18
OPP 30
0
52.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Terry McLaurinSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 18
OPP 30
+47
53.1%
Tyler Durbin 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:3753% → 59%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
52.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 31Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+13
52.9%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 13 yds to the Clem 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
53.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 26 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
54.5%
Artavis Scott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 4:03
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
54.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+9
54.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Deon Cain for 9 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
54.9%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+5
55.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 5 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+9
54.7%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 9 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0742% → 40%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
58.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 1:39
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+21
58.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Binjimen Victor for 21 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
58.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-3
58.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+1
59.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 49Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
59.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4160% → 60%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
59.6%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 6 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
59.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 1
OWN 20
0
59.8%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the Clem 20Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
59.6%
Andy Teasdall punt for 67 yds, downed at the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2438% → 37%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
61.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Pat Elflein) to the OhSt 8Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+8
62.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to K.J. Hill for 8 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+3
61.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 3 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
62.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
63.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 55 yds , Artavis Scott returns for no gain to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:0762% → 65%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
61.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+4
63.2%
Deshaun Watson run for 4 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
63.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 7 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
64.3%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
50
0
64.5%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
50
+10
64.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Wayne Gallman for 10 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.0%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
64.9%
C.J. Fuller run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
64.8%
Deshaun Watson pass intercepted. Malik Hooker return for no gain. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1235% → 34%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
64.8%
Mike Weber run for 5 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
64.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Binjimen VictorSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
65.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
64.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 8 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-1
64.0%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
65.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
66.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:3965% → 81%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
65.2%
Wayne Gallman run for 8 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
65.7%
Wayne Gallman run for no gain to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+11
65.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
66.9%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 34Similar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+33
66.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 33 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
69.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Hunter Renfrow for 11 yds to the OhSt 22 CLEMSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Artavis Scott) to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 9
OPP 32
+2
70.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+30
82.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 30 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
81.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalyn Holmes) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1321% → 20%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
77.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Mike WeberSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-10
78.0%
Barrett, J.T. rush for 2 yards to the OHIOST36, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Brown, Noah) 10 yards to the OHIOST24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
79.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 4 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
80.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:4283% → 80%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
82.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 4 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+10
82.8%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 10 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.1%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Mike WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
81.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Artavis Scott for 9 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
81.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Jordan LeggettSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
80.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 44 yds, downed at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
79.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1081% → 80%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.1%
Ray-Ray McCloud run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
81.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Jordan Leggett for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
80.9%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Hunter RenfrowSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+42
80.2%
Andy Teasdall punt for 42 yds , Curtis Samuel returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:2518% → 20%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
81.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Noah Brown for 9 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
80.5%
Mike Weber run for 6 yds to the OhSt 41 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Kendall Joseph, recovered by Clem Christian WilkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:0383% → 88%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
83.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 19 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
83.4%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
84.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 3 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
85.2%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Mike Williams for 8 yds to the OhSt 4Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+2
85.4%
Artavis Scott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
87.6%
Deshaun Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 3Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
87.9%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 4Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-10
88.1%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Raekwon McMillan for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 14Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
87.9%
Greg Huegel 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1414% → 13%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
85.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-2
85.8%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
87.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+16
87.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 61 yds , Artavis Scott returns for 16 yds to the Clem 40 OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Chris Worley) to the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:3290% → 90%
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
90.1%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 20 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Wayne GallmanSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
90.3%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-7
90.4%
Deshaun Watson sacked by Tyquan Lewis and Sam Hubbard for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 43Similar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
89.5%
Andy Teasdall punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4411% → 9%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
89.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
89.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
90.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-12
90.7%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Clelin Ferrell for a loss of 12 yards to the OhSt 8Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 25
OWN 8
+32
91.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Artavis Scott at the CLEMSON 45 OHIO ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Terry McLaurin) to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:5592% → 98%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
92.0%
Deshaun Watson run for 17 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
92.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 12 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
92.4%
Wayne Gallman run for 6 yds to the OhSt 5Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 4
OPP 5
-2
92.6%
Wayne Gallman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 7Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+7
97.6%
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:573% → 3%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.1%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Victor, Binjimen (Edmond, Marcus), PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Edmond, Marcus) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
50
+15
97.1%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to McLaurin, Terry (Fields, Mark), PENALTY CLEMSON pass interference (Fields, Mark) 15 yards to the CLEMSON35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
96.8%
Mike Weber run for 8 yds to the Clem 27 Mike Weber fumbled, forced by Van Smith, recovered by OhSt A.J. AlexanderSimilar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+18
96.9%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Cordrea Tankersley return for 18 yds to the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 3:5898% → 98%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
97.7%
Wayne Gallman run for 1 yd to the Clem 20Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Garrett WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 20
-10
97.9%
Watson, Deshaun rush for 11 yards to the CLEMSON31, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Hyatt, Mitch) 10 yards to the CLEMSON10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 19
OWN 10
+20
97.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 20 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
98.1%
Wayne Gallman run for 18 yds to the Clem 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.3%
Deshaun Watson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
50
+3
98.4%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to Ray-Ray McCloud for 3 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+5
98.5%
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 5 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.5%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incomplete to Deon CainSimilar
Q4 11:59
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Deshaun Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Andy Teasdall punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Curtis Samuel at the OhSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25INT
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:142% → 1%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+64
98.5%
Curtis Samuel run for 64 yds to the Clem 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
98.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Jamarco Jones) to the Clem 21Similar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 15
OPP 21
0
98.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Marcus BaughSimilar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 15
OPP 21
-2
98.3%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 23Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 17
OPP 23
-10
98.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Carlos Watkins for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 27
OWN 33
+79
98.9%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Van Smith return for 86 yds to the OhSt 14 OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:2999% → 100%
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.0%
Deshaun Watson run for no gain to the OhSt 7Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Wayne Gallman run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel, broken up by Trayvon MullenSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 5 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Corey Smith for 9 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+18
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Corey Smith for 18 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Noah BrownSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Mike Weber for 2 yds to the Clem 32Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-2
99.9%
Mike Weber run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 5:33100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 28Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Nick Schuessler run for 19 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the Clem 48Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
99.9%
Nick Schuessler pass complete to Garrett Williams for 6 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+11
100.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 11 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
100.0%
Tavien Feaster run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-1
100.0%
Tavien Feaster run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
Adam Choice run for 1 yd to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 30
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
100.0%
Mike Weber run for 7 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:21
Deshaun Watson pass complete to C.J. Fuller for 30 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+12
TD · Q3 2:06
Deshaun Watson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+5
TD · Q1 2:16
Deshaun Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Huegel KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com