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WASH

Washington 7 at Alabama 24

ALA
2016 · Postseason · Dec 31, 2016 · Georgia Dome
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:12 · Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds, downed at the Alab 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+4.7Home team on offense+25.3Score differential+9.6Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:01: Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 16 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +2.0 pts (now 23%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 2:10: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Wash 34 — ALA win probability +2.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Anderson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +9.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Tristan Vizcaino kickoff for 65 yds , ArDarius Stewart return for 25 yds to the Alab 25 — WASH win probability +2.6 pts (now 18%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:56: Bo Scarbrough run for 68 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +8.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:30WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:53ALA 4th & 15 at ALA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55ALA 4th & 5 at WASH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41WASH 4th & 18 at WASH 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:20WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:48ALA 4th & 12 at WASH 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:44WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:16ALA 4th & 26 at WASH 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10ALA 4th & 8 at WASH 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.8%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:04WASH 4th & 15 at WASH 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:05ALA 4th & 13 at ALA 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:31WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−2.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:12WASH 4th & 13 at WASH 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:07ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 30, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:35WASH 4th & 20 at WASH 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:53ALA 4th & 1 at WASH 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:24WASH 4th & 17 at ALA 34, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:01WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:01ALA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:13ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:56ALA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2519% → 19%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
81.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 4 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
81.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
81.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 13:30
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+3
81.0%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 65 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 3 yds to the Alab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:3181% → 80%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
80.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. Howard, broken up by Budda BakerSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-5
80.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Alab 14Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+4
80.8%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 11
OWN 18
-4
80.6%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 14Similar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 15
OWN 14
+49
80.3%
JK Scott punt for 49 yds , Dante Pettis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:4020% → 23%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
80.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 4 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
80.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+13
80.1%
Jake Browning run for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
79.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 20 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.4%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+9
79.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 9 yds to the Alab 18Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
78.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
76.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 16 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 2:4477% → 79%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
77.3%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+16
77.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 16 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
77.3%
Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
77.4%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
77.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
77.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 12 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
77.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+3
77.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Wash 18Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+18
79.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 18 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FUMBLE
6 plays · 32 yds · 2:1322% → 24%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
78.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+14
77.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 14 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
77.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
76.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
76.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 6 yds John Ross fumbled, forced by Anthony Averett, recovered by Alab Jonathan Allen , return for 10 yds to the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1579% → 78%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
78.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 6 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
78.8%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
78.7%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
78.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
78.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Gehrig Dieter) to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+1
77.9%
ArDarius Stewart run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+41
77.8%
Adam Griffith 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:0323% → 22%
Q2 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
77.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-3
77.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 17Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
78.1%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 62 yds, downed at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:3677% → 75%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
76.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 7 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
77.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 7 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Alab 35Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
76.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 36Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+10
76.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
77.5%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Vita Vea for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+5
76.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
76.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
75.4%
JK Scott punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2524% → 23%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
76.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 7 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 16
-4
76.0%
Jake Browning sacked by Joshua Frazier for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
76.5%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
77.0%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2778% → 75%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
77.9%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Tevis Bartlett for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
77.0%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
76.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q2 5:48
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
74.7%
JK Scott punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0025% → 24%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
75.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Ronnie HarrisonSimilar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
75.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Myles GaskinSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
76.1%
Jake Browning run for no gain to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 4:44
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
76.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 36 yds, downed at the Alab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2177% → 73%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+16
76.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 16 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
77.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 12 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-16
77.6%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Budda Baker for a loss of 16 yards to the Wash 44 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jalen Hurts) to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 26
OPP 44
+3
76.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 3 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 23
OPP 41
-3
75.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q2 2:16
4TH & 26
OPP 44
0
73.2%
JK Scott punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wash 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13INT TD
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:4726% → 17%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+16
74.3%
Chico McClatcher run for 16 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.9%
Jake Browning run for 4 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
73.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 5 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
74.4%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 3 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John Ross, broken up by Marlon HumphreySimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+26
83.3%
Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Anderson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:5017% → 15%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
82.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
82.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
83.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
83.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-5
84.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Nick Harris) to the Wash 38Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 15
OWN 38
+1
84.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:4083% → 84%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+33
83.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 33 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
84.6%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
84.6%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
84.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 13:04
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-5
84.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 17
OPP 49
+9
83.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 9 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
83.7%
JK Scott punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5616% → 15%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
83.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-9
84.4%
Jake Browning sacked by Tim Williams and Tony Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 15Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
85.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 52 yds, downed at the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:5585% → 84%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
84.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-1
85.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 41Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+7
84.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-8
85.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cam Robinson) to the Alab 40Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 18
OWN 40
-2
84.9%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 38 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Elijah Qualls, recovered by Alab Jonah WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 20
OWN 38
-5
84.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 33Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 25
OWN 33
+12
84.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 12 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
84.1%
JK Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1415% → 13%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
84.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 13
0
84.8%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 13
-7
86.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 6 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wash Jake BrowningSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 13
OWN 6
+42
86.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 48 ALABAMA Penalty, Running Into Kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:1687% → 87%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
87.1%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
87.2%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
-3
86.5%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3415% → 13%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.9%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
85.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+11
86.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 11 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
84.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
85.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
85.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
86.6%
Jake Browning punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
6 plays · 98 yds · 2:4987% → 97%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
87.2%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 2Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
86.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 3Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+12
86.4%
Bo Scarbrough run for 12 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
87.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 16 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
88.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+68
96.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for 68 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:184% → 3%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
96.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 1 yd to the Wash 18Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
96.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 7 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+3
96.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 3 yds to the Wash 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
96.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-5
96.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 13
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 13
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds, downed at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5997% → 97%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
96.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
96.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
97.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+6
96.9%
JK Scott punt for 55 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 6 yds to the Wash 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:253% → 2%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
97.0%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete, PENALTY WASHINGTON 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WASHINGTON16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
97.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+15
97.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 15 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
97.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 3 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-13
97.8%
Jake Browning sacked by Anthony Averett for a loss of 13 yards to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 20
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2798% → 99%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
97.9%
ArDarius Stewart run for 9 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
98.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
98.2%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
98.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Wash 47Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+5
98.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 1:53
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-3
98.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26INT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:222% → 1%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
98.4%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 16 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.0%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
98.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
97.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Aaron Fuller, broken up by Tony BrownSimilar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-7
98.1%
Jake Browning sacked by Rashaan Evans for a loss of 7 yards to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 17
OPP 34
+28
99.4%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Minkah Fitzpatrick return for 28 yds to the Alab 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -22 yds · 0:1499% → 99%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
98.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tony Brown) to the Alab 14Similar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
98.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Brannon Satterfield) to the Alab 7Similar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:13
Jake Browning pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Anderson return for 26 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q4 11:56
Bo Scarbrough run for 68 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+8.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Tristan Vizcaino kickoff for 65 yds , ArDarius Stewart return for 25 yds to the Alab 25
-2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com