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NEB

Nebraska 24 at Tennessee 38

TENN
2016 · Postseason · Dec 30, 2016 · Nissan Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:46 · Zack Darlington pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 2 yds to the Neb 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 182Home team on offense+27.6Pregame prior+0.1Score differential+9.2Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.7Time remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:36: Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 38 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +11.2 pts (now 35%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:26: Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +12.9 pts (now 23%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:09: Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +9.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:02: Ryker Fyfe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:45: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 59 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +10.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:38TENN 4th & 11 at NEB 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    59.6%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:47NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:13NEB 4th & 13 at NEB 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:20NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:48TENN 4th & 6 at NEB 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:47TENN 4th & 1 at NEB 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−2.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:12NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−2.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:52TENN 4th & 5 at NEB 28, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:06NEB 4th & 13 at TENN 28, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:24NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:52TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:27TENN 4th & 4 at NEB 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:46NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 13:20TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:36TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:36NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:09TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:26NEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:09TENN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:02NEB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:45TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:1260% → 60%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-7
59.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 8 yds to the Tenn 40 TENNESSEE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Ethan Wolf) to the Tenn 25Similar
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
59.8%
Jauan Jennings run for 9 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
59.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 5 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+29
59.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 29 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
60.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
60.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin KamaraSimilar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 11
OPP 33
0
59.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 32 yds, downed at the Neb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4340% → 40%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
60.0%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
59.9%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+10
60.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
59.8%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
59.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly, broken up by Rashaan GauldenSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
60.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
60.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5060% → 59%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
60.4%
Kamara, Alvin rush for loss of 2 yards to the TENNESSEE43, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Richmond, Drew) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+6
59.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 14
OWN 41
-5
59.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Brett Kendrick) to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+5
59.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 5 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
59.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+5
59.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 4:1141% → 41%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
59.5%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
59.5%
Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
59.3%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
58.8%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 4:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
58.6%
Ryker Fyfe run for 3 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.5%
Stanley Morgan Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
58.7%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
59.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Terrell NewbySimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
59.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4760% → 59%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
59.6%
John Kelly run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 4
OWN 15
0
59.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
59.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin KamaraSimilar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 4
OWN 15
0
58.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 50 yds, downed at the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:1742% → 40%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
58.5%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
58.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for no gain to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 0:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-5
59.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Cole Conrad) to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
59.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
59.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 1:1860% → 67%
Q2 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+31
59.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 31 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
61.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 11 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
61.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
67.0%
John Kelly run for 28 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5535% → 34%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.0%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
65.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
66.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:3966% → 76%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
66.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+12
66.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
67.6%
John Kelly run for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
67.9%
Tyler Byrd run for 9 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 1
OPP 33
-1
68.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+4
68.0%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
68.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan Wolf, broken up by Chris JonesSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
68.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+14
68.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 14 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
69.9%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
76.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 10 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0426% → 24%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
74.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for 11 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
74.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-El, broken up by Malik ForemanSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
74.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-7
74.8%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by LaTroy Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
76.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3277% → 78%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
76.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin KamaraSimilar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
76.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+10
76.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 10 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
77.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 14 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-11
78.2%
Josh Smith run for a loss of 11 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 21
OWN 38
0
78.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 21
OWN 38
+15
77.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 15 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 2:48
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
78.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0423% → 35%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
77.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 33 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
76.6%
Cethan Carter run for 9 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+38
65.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 38 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:2170% → 80%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
70.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
71.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
71.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
70.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 12 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
72.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 9 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+14
72.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 14 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
73.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 8 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+4
72.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
78.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3920% → 20%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
79.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
79.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 6 yds De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, forced by Malik Foreman, recovered by Tenn Malik ForemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2083% → 82%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan Jennings, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
82.5%
Jauan Jennings run for 5 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
82.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
82.1%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:3019% → 16%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
81.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
81.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 1 yd to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
81.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Rashaan Gaulden) to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 10:56
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
81.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
81.4%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Corey Vereen for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & 14
OWN 43
0
83.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 14
OWN 43
0
83.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete, broken up by Derek BarnettSimilar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
84.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:1385% → 91%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
85.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 7 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
85.9%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.1%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+28
87.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 28 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
87.9%
Alvin Kamara run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+6
88.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
87.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
91.2%
Aaron Medley 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1910% → 23%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
90.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 19 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+42
90.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 42 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
89.5%
Mikale Wilbon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+6
90.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
77.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:5982% → 95%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
81.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 7 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+11
82.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 11 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
83.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
83.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 15 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
84.1%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+30
84.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 30 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
85.2%
John Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
85.9%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:566% → 9%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+39
94.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 39 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
93.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
93.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
94.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
94.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
90.7%
Drew Brown 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:5411% → 25%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
88.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 11 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
88.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
89.2%
Devine Ozigbo run for 9 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
89.5%
Ryker Fyfe run for 2 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.7%
Ryker Fyfe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23TD
5 plays · 77 yds · 1:0085% → 95%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
85.3%
Alvin Kamara run for 7 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
85.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+11
84.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
95.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 59 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:097% → 7%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
92.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-5
92.7%
Ryker Fyfe run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 10 Ryker Fyfe fumbled, recovered by Neb Ryker FyfeSimilar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 15
OWN 10
0
93.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+1
93.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 52 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2296% → 96%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.8%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
95.8%
John Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
96.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+47
95.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the TENNESSEE 27 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Lamar Jackson) to the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26DOWNS
15 plays · 31 yds · 2:206% → 3%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
94.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-5
94.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Nick Gates) to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 5:37
2ND & 15
OWN 12
+16
94.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 16 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
93.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
94.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
94.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+15
96.3%
Fyfe, Ryker pass incomplete to Reilly, Brandon, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Osborne, Marquill) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
96.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+24
96.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 24 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Gabe RahnSimilar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-16
96.6%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Jonathan Kongbo for a loss of 16 yards to the Tenn 43 NEBRASKA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 26
OPP 43
-9
97.2%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 35
OWN 48
0
97.2%
Zack Darlington pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5398% → 98%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
98.0%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
98.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
98.4%
John Kelly run for no gain to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
98.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 40 yds, downed at the Neb 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:353% → 2%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
97.5%
Zack Darlington pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 12 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.4%
Zack Darlington pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly, broken up by Rashaan GauldenSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
97.5%
Zack Darlington pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
97.6%
Zack Darlington pass incomplete to Bryan ReimersSimilar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+2
97.6%
Zack Darlington pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:02
Ryker Fyfe run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q3 3:26
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-12.9
TD · Q2 1:36
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 38 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com