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UGA

Georgia 31 at TCU 23

TCU
2016 · Postseason · Dec 30, 2016 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:57 · Brandon Hatfield 47 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense−2.7Pregame prior−0.5Garbage-time factor−1.6Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:13: Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 33 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +7.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:08: Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +17.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:07: John Diarse 9 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Brandon Hatfield Kick) — TCU win probability +26.8 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:27: Rodrigo Blankenship 30 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +7.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:48: Nick Chubb run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +22.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 13:40UGA 4th & 3 at UGA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20TCU 4th & 9 at TCU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:11UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:44TCU 4th & 17 at UGA 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 17, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50TCU 4th & 1 at UGA 46, up 2
    Close callPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−1.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:11UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 12, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:55UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 36, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:25TCU 4th & 14 at UGA 24, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−5.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:55UGA 4th & 6 at TCU 21, down 2
    Close callWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−8.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:19TCU 4th & 1 at UGA 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−5.8
    88% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−21.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:27UGA 4th & 13 at TCU 13, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−3.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    25.3%−13.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:57TCU 4th & 20 at UGA 30, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−8.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−7.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:14TCU 4th & 4 at UGA 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−1.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:32UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:02TCU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15TCU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:13UGA Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:08UGA Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:07TCU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:48UGA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−2.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0654% → 54%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
46.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+5
46.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 5 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
46.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac Nauta, broken up by Nick OrrSimilar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
46.3%
Brice Ramsey punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0746% → 47%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.3%
Sewo Olonilua run for no gain to the TCU 35Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
46.5%
Kenny Hill run for 5 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
46.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Kyle HicksSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+1
46.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 47 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 1 yd to the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
5 plays · 86 yds · 2:4853% → 55%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
46.6%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
46.7%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+77
47.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 77 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
46.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.6%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0345% → 45%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.2%
KaVontae Turpin run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
45.0%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
44.7%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Kyle HicksSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
44.5%
Adam Nunez punt for 38 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 36 Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by GeoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5856% → 56%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
44.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
44.0%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 6:43
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
43.9%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
44.0%
Brice Ramsey punt for 43 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:1944% → 46%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
44.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+8
44.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 8 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
44.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
45.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
44.6%
Kyle Hicks run for 20 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
45.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 9 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 3:54
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+3
46.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Darius Anderson for 3 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
46.4%
Darius Anderson run for 5 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
46.5%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Geo 23Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+8
45.9%
Kenny Hill run for 8 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
46.1%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Geo 14Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+1
46.1%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Geo 13Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-9
45.4%
Kenny Hill sacked by TEAM for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 22 TCU Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kenny Hill) to the Geo 22Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 17
OPP 22
+40
46.4%
Brandon Hatfield 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
46.8%
Jacob Eason sacked by Tipa Galeai for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 21 Jacob Eason fumbled, forced by Tipa Galeai, recovered by TCU Mat Boesen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 21 yds · 0:2049% → 53%
Q1 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
49.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 1 yd to the Geo 20 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Trenton Thompson) to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
53.3%
Kenny Hill run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Hatfield PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:1849% → 48%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
50.7%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
50.9%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
51.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 13:44
4TH & 8
OWN 22
-5
52.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Shattle Fenteng) to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
52.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4153% → 53%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
53.1%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
52.7%
Kenny Hill sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 44Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+10
52.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ty Slanina for 10 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
53.1%
Adam Nunez punt for 36 yds, downed at the Geo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3448% → 46%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
51.8%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 10Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
52.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 2 yds to the Geo 12Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
53.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 8
OWN 12
0
53.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 0:5155% → 63%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
55.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 17 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
56.5%
John Diarse pass incomplete to Kenny Hill, broken up by David MarshallSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+18
56.5%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Lorenzo Carter) to the Geo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
56.8%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Isaiah GrahamSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
63.4%
Kenny Hill pass complete to John Diarse for 10 yds for a TD, (Brandon Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0938% → 37%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
62.3%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-9
62.6%
Jacob Eason sacked by L.J. Collier for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+15
64.4%
Jacob Eason run for 15 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
63.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 29 yds, fair catch by KaVontae Turpin at the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:1864% → 64%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
64.2%
Kenny Hill run for 45 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
66.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-7
66.6%
Kenny Hill sacked by Trenton Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
65.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
63.7%
Brandon Hatfield 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:0634% → 42%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
66.3%
Herrien, Brian rush for 2 yards to the GEORGIA26, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal formation 5 yards to the GEORGIA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+3
67.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 3 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+13
67.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 13 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
66.8%
Sony Michel run for 12 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
66.2%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Godwin, Terry, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the TCU43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
65.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Christian PayneSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
65.9%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+6
64.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 6 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
64.5%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
63.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-5
65.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+33
58.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 33 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2360% → 60%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
59.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 5 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
60.3%
Kenny Hill sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 48 Kenny Hill fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo Aaron Davis , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:2342% → 44%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
58.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
58.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+12
59.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 12 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
56.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+53
56.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by L.J. CollierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:1156% → 58%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.2%
Kenny Hill run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
56.7%
Hicks, Kyle rush for 4 yards to the TCU33, PENALTY GEORGIA offside 5 yards to the TCU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
58.4%
Kyle Hicks run for 18 yds to the Geo 48 Kyle Hicks fumbled, forced by Lorenzo Carter, recovered by Geo Dominick SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19TD
12 plays · 52 yds · 6:3048% → 66%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
52.4%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
52.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 1 yd to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
52.6%
Jacob Eason run for 8 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
52.2%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+10
50.8%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
50.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
51.0%
Jacob Eason run for 1 yd to the TCU 21Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
52.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+11
55.4%
Brice Ramsey run for 11 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
51.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
51.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 4 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:4142% → 64%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
41.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 2 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
42.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+15
41.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 15 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
43.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+6
44.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trevorris Johnson for 6 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+9
42.0%
Kenny Hill run for 9 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
44.2%
Darius Anderson run for 9 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 1
OPP 10
-1
44.1%
Darius Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 11Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
41.9%
KaVontae Turpin run for 1 yd to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
37.6%
Kenny Hill run for 1 yd to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
64.4%
John Diarse 9 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Brandon Hatfield Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21FG
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:2044% → 55%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
55.8%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+10
53.3%
Nick Chubb run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
50
-5
52.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Greg Pyke) to the Geo 45Similar
Q3 0:14
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+48
55.4%
Nick Chubb run for 48 yds to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
49.9%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Christian PayneSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
52.0%
Jacob Eason sacked by Chris Bradley for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
44.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22MISSED FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:1647% → 44%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
46.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Jarrison Stewart for 5 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
46.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 7 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
47.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
46.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 8 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+12
49.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Isaiah Graham for 12 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
52.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Desmon White for 14 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
54.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
54.8%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 3 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+5
52.9%
Kenny Hill run for 5 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.5%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
55.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Cole HuntSimilar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-10
52.8%
Kenny Hill sacked by Trenton Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 20
OPP 30
+47
44.4%
Brandon Hatfield 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 5:0361% → 95%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
38.8%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+5
34.6%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
34.0%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
31.7%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
31.9%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the TCU 42Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
31.7%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q4 4:02
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+20
30.7%
Sony Michel run for 20 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
27.1%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
5.0%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:2111% → 9%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
11.1%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the TCU 37Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
8.9%
Kenny Hill run for 7 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
10.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
50
0
10.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jarrison StewartSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
50
0
10.0%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Jaelan AustinSimilar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 10
50
+6
9.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
8.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Taj Williams, broken up by Deandre BakerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:4197% → 97%
Q4 1:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+27
3.4%
Nick Chubb run for 27 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-1
3.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:07
John Diarse 9 Yd pass from Kenny Hill (Brandon Hatfield Kick)
+26.8
TD · Q4 2:48
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-22.1
TD · Q3 7:08
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 4 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
-17
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com