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WVU

West Virginia 14 at Miami 31

MIA
2016 · Russell Athletic Bowl · Dec 28, 2016 · Camping World Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:17 · Justin Vogel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Home team on offense−3.5Score differential−1.0Pregame prior+6.0Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:30: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 51 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +12.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:11: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +9.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:27: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 26 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +8.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:04: Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +10.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:50: Skyler Howard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +11.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:13MIA 4th & 18 at WVU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:42MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:36MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19WVU 4th & 14 at MIA 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.5%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    48.6%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:18MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 20, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11WVU 4th & 2 at MIA 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:17MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:18WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:26MIA 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:44WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:29WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−2.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:19WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−3.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:26MIA 4th & 10 at WVU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−7.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:41WVU 4th & 4 at MIA 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−1.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:20MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:23WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 49, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:42MIA 4th & 17 at WVU 22, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:54WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 15, down 17
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:40WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:30MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:11MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:27MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:04MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:50WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5342% → 42%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.4%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
58.4%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
58.4%
Skyler Howard run for 10 yds to the WVirg 40 Skyler Howard fumbled, forced by Chad Thomas, recovered by MiaFl Kendrick NortonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0859% → 58%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
58.7%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-2
58.7%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-5
58.5%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Kc McDermott) to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 18
OPP 48
0
58.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
58.4%
Justin Vogel punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 10 yds · 3:4242% → 41%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
58.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
58.3%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
58.4%
Skyler Howard run for 8 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
58.3%
Justin Crawford run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
58.0%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+11
58.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 11 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
57.9%
Skyler Howard sacked by Shaquille Quarterman for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 19
OWN 45
-13
58.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by Courtel Jenkins for a loss of 13 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 32
OWN 32
+3
58.7%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 29
OWN 35
-5
58.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Rushel Shell) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 34
OWN 30
-5
58.9%
Billy Kinney punt for 57 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3658% → 58%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
58.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Danny Isidora) to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+7
58.3%
Mark Walton run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
58.3%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
58.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Mark WaltonSimilar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 7
OWN 11
+28
57.8%
Justin Vogel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the MIAMI 46 MIAMI FL Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Travis Homer) to the MiaFl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:5743% → 46%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
57.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+9
57.4%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+24
57.4%
Skyler Howard run for 24 yds to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.7%
Kennedy McKoy run for 6 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5455% → 54%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
54.7%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
54.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 6 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
53.9%
Justin Vogel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1247% → 47%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+20
53.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 20 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
52.8%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-3
52.5%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-5
52.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WVirg Skyler HowardSimilar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
53.5%
Billy Kinney punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5053% → 52%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
53.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 5 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-1
52.8%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+5
52.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 5 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q1 0:18
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
51.6%
Justin Vogel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5949% → 49%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
50.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 2 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
50.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+6
50.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
51.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4952% → 51%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
51.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
51.7%
Brad Kaaya run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 16 Brad Kaaya fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Brad Kaaya Brad Kaaya run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
50.9%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
50.5%
Justin Vogel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3650% → 49%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
49.7%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
49.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
49.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 49
-5
50.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Justin Arndt) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+11
51.3%
Billy Kinney punt for 35 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 11 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:3451% → 49%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
51.4%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
51.0%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+15
50.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toyous Avery) to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
52.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 15 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
52.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alex Gall) to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
52.2%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
51.9%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 8
50
0
50.1%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Malcolm LewisSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 8
50
0
48.7%
Justin Vogel punt for 45 yds, downed at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:0451% → 52%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
48.8%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+5
49.0%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-5
47.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Shelton Gibson) to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 8
OWN 7
-3
47.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Motion (Shelton Gibson) to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 11
OWN 4
0
47.7%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
48.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
60.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 51 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:5345% → 43%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
55.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tony Matteo) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-2
55.5%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+3
55.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
56.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 7 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
57.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:5060% → 71%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.4%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+30
59.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 30 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
62.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 8 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+16
62.2%
Mark Walton run for 16 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
62.0%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
71.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:3732% → 30%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
67.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-13
68.0%
Skyler Howard sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 13 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+5
70.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 48 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 5 yds to the MiaFl 22 MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Block (Jaquan Johnson) to the MiaFl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 0:4771% → 82%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
70.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 4 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
70.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
72.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
72.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 16 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
73.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 12 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
81.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 26 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
78.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3681% → 94%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.0%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
81.3%
Mark Walton run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
81.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Toyous Avery) to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 8 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
83.2%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
83.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 5 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
83.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 12 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
84.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 9 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+23
94.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+15
93.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian Brown) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:057% → 19%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
92.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 15 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Targeting: Michael Pinckney) to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.4%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+13
92.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 13 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
92.8%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+26
93.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 26 yds to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
92.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 4 yds to the MiaFl 2Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
93.2%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.4%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:2486% → 92%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Xavier Preston) to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.1%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+10
87.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 10 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
87.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 12 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
87.7%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+11
87.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 11 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
88.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 11 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
88.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Ahmmon RichardsSimilar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
88.3%
Gus Edwards run for 6 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-6
88.1%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Christian Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
91.7%
Michael Badgley 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:298% → 8%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
91.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 6 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+29
91.4%
Skyler Howard run for 29 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
91.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
91.6%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
91.9%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 4
OPP 38
-7
92.3%
Skyler Howard sacked by RJ McIntosh and Darrion Owens for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0894% → 94%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
93.8%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-5
94.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
94.1%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+10
94.2%
Joseph Yearby run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
94.2%
Justin Vogel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:536% → 4%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
93.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
94.5%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+15
94.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jamal Carter Sr.) to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
94.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kennedy McKoy for 5 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+6
94.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
94.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the WVirg 49 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Shelton Gibson) to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 20
OWN 34
+2
95.0%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 18
OWN 36
0
95.1%
Martell Pettaway run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+13
95.9%
Martell Pettaway run for 13 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
95.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 33 yds · 7:2696% → 99%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
96.3%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
96.3%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+7
96.9%
Mark Walton run for 7 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
97.1%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
97.3%
Gus Edwards run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 6:19
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+8
97.4%
Gus Edwards run for 8 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
97.8%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+15
97.8%
Mark Walton run for 15 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
98.1%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-5
98.1%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 17
OPP 22
0
98.3%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 17
OPP 22
+6
99.1%
Mark Walton run for 6 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:182% → 2%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Martell Pettaway for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 14
OWN 12
0
98.0%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+3
98.1%
Martell Pettaway run for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Billy Kinney punt for 63 yds, downed at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:1299% → 99%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 12
OWN 20
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:30
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 51 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+12.7
TD · Q3 7:50
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
-11.7
TD · Q3 11:04
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com