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MD

Maryland 30 at Boston College 36

BC
2016 · Quick Lane Bowl · Dec 26, 2016 · Ford Field
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:29: Jeff Smith pass complete to Patrick Towles for 20 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +11.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:35: Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 49 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll PAT MISSED) — BC win probability +9.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:24: P. Hills run for -7 yds,P. Hills fumbled, forced by N. Merritt, recovered by BC K. Kavalec,for a TD, (M. Knoll KICK) — BC win probability +11.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:48: P. Hills pass,to T. Morgan for 63 yds for a TD, (A. Greene KICK) — MD win probability +11.9 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:05: P. Hills pass,to L. Jacobs for 52 yds for a TD, (A. Greene KICK) — MD win probability +10.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 7 of 12MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:26MD 4th & 4 at MD 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:53BC 4th & 7 at BC 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:22MD 4th & 16 at MD 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15MD 4th & 16 at MD 5, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:44BC 4th & 13 at MD 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    58.2%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:27MD 4th & 15 at MD 7, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:25BC 4th & 1 at MD 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−1.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:32BC 4th & 4 at MD 4, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58BC 4th & 14 at BC 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−2.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:50BC 4th & 12 at MD 30, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    69.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:47MD 4th & 13 at MD 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:33BC 4th & 2 at BC 33, up 16
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:38BC 4th & 18 at BC 15, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:01BC 4th & 1 at BC 40, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:43MD 4th & 8 at MD 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:48BC 4th & 10 at MD 45, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:10MD 4th & 27 at MD 37, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:55BC 4th & 3 at MD 21, up 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−8.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:39MD 4th & 1 at BC 40, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−5.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−4.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:55MD 4th & 5 at BC 5, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%−4.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−7.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:48BC 4th & 5 at BC 36, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:25MD 4th & 10 at MD 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 6:47BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:40BC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:20MD Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:29BC Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:36MD Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:35BC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:24BC Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:48MD Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:05MD Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2747% → 47%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.0%
D.J. Moore run for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
53.0%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
53.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+5
53.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
53.2%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1853% → 53%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
53.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Korab Idrizi for 13 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
53.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BC 36Similar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 5
OWN 36
0
53.5%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-2
53.5%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 34Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
53.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
53.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1347% → 46%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
53.3%
Perry Hills sacked by Ray Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the Mary 17Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 20
OWN 17
+4
53.5%
Wes Brown run for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 16
OWN 21
0
53.7%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 16
OWN 21
+1
53.9%
Wade Lees punt for 39 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 1 yd to the Mary 22 MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:2354% → 57%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
54.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
54.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (Roman Braglio) to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+5
54.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
54.6%
Patrick Towles run for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+3
54.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 3 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+7
54.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
54.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 14 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.8%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.9%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Knoll PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:5044% → 42%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
56.5%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 12Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
56.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to DeAndre LaneSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-7
57.0%
Perry Hills sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 16
OWN 5
0
57.6%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the Mary 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1458% → 57%
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
58.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
-4
58.8%
Patrick Towles sacked by Kingsley Opara and Brett Kulka for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 13
OPP 45
0
58.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 13
OPP 45
0
57.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0743% → 42%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
57.4%
Perry Hills run for 3 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
57.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-8
58.2%
Perry Hills sacked by Matt Milano for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 7Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 15
OWN 7
+4
58.4%
Wade Lees punt for 43 yds , Tyler Rouse returns for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8TD
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:4059% → 68%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
59.3%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
59.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 5 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
0
59.4%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
59.0%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+24
60.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 24 yds to the Mary 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
60.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 6 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
60.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Tommy Sweeney for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2535% → 34%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
65.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 8 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 19
-6
65.3%
Teldrick Morgan run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 13Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+9
66.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 9 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
66.3%
Perry Hills sacked by Kevin Kavalec for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 15 Perry Hills fumbled, forced by Kevin Kavalec, recovered by BC Truman Gutapfel, return for 7 yds to the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1370% → 73%
Q2 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
69.9%
Patrick Towles run for 4 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
70.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
71.4%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Davon JonesSimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
73.2%
Mike Knoll 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5329% → 35%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
70.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 18 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
71.3%
D.J. Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 38 D.J. Moore fumbled, recovered by Mary D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+62
64.7%
Ty Johnson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3164% → 78%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
64.3%
Myles Willis run for 31 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
66.1%
Jeff Smith run for 5 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
66.2%
Jeff Smith run for 1 yd to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+8
66.5%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the Mary 20 Patrick Towles fumbled, recovered by BC Patrick Towles for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
77.5%
Jeff Smith pass complete to Patrick Towles for 20 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:3328% → 36%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
72.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 11 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
71.4%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+30
64.0%
Ty Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1767% → 66%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
66.5%
Tyler Rouse run for 6 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
67.5%
Tyler Rouse run for no gain to the BC 25 Tyler Rouse fumbled, forced by Jesse Aniebonam, recovered by BC Tyler RouseSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-5
66.3%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BC 20Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 14
OWN 20
0
66.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Michael WalkerSimilar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 14
OWN 20
+4
65.6%
Mike Knoll punt for 37 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 4 yds to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15INT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:0133% → 30%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
66.7%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
67.3%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
67.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 6 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
67.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Motion (D.J. Moore) to the BC 47Similar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 15
OPP 47
-3
68.1%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 18
50
0
69.3%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 18
50
+20
70.3%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Harold Landry return for 20 yds to the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5572% → 69%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
71.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-2
71.9%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 12
OPP 30
0
70.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 12
OPP 30
0
69.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Tommy SweeneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3929% → 27%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.6%
Ty Johnson run for 7 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-10
69.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
71.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 13
OWN 28
0
72.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 13
OWN 28
0
73.1%
Wade Lees punt for 42 yds , Gabriel McClary returns for no gain to the BC 30 Gabriel McClary fumbled, recovered by BC Tyler RouseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:0772% → 85%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
71.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 21 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
84.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 49 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
78.4%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1781% → 80%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
81.5%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 33Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
80.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Jeff SmithSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
80.0%
Mike Knoll punt for 54 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
91.0%
P. Hills run for -7 yds,P. Hills fumbled, forced by N. Merritt, recovered by BC K. Kavalec,for a TD, (M. Knoll KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:199% → 21%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
91.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 15 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
79.2%
P. Hills pass,to T. Morgan for 63 yds for a TD, (A. Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4882% → 83%
Q3 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
82.2%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 22Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+3
82.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-10
82.5%
Patrick Towles sacked by Jermaine Carter Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the BC 15Similar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
82.9%
Mike Knoll punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:2319% → 29%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
81.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 13 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
70.7%
P. Hills pass,to L. Jacobs for 52 yds for a TD, (A. Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5975% → 76%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
74.6%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 14Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+17
75.0%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 17 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
76.2%
Patrick Towles sacked by Alvin Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 30Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+3
76.2%
Jeff Smith run for 3 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+7
75.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Charlie Callinan for 7 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 7:01
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
76.1%
Mike Knoll punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1224% → 21%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.9%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
76.5%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-3
77.0%
Perry Hills sacked by Wyatt Ray for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 29 Perry Hills fumbled, recovered by Mary Perry Hills , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:43
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
78.6%
Wade Lees punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:4278% → 79%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
77.9%
Patrick Towles run for 11 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+11
80.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Michael Walker for 11 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
80.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, False Start (Jimmy Lowery) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 15
50
+6
80.5%
Jeff Smith run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
81.1%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-1
81.0%
Patrick Towles sacked by Chandler Burkett for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
79.2%
Mike Knoll punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Teldrick Morgan at the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:3021% → 18%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
79.5%
Ty Johnson run for 16 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for no gain to the Mary 35Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
80.8%
Perry Hills run for 19 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
77.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
77.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 49Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 15
OWN 49
-5
79.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Terrance Davis) to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 20
OWN 44
+1
79.8%
Perry Hills run for 1 yd to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 19
OWN 45
-8
80.9%
Perry Hills sacked by Zach Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 37Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 27
OWN 37
0
82.4%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Rouse at the BC 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 29MISSED FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:0582% → 83%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
81.8%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+43
81.8%
Myles Willis run for 43 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
83.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Charlie CallinanSimilar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
83.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+4
83.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jeff Smith for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
82.5%
Mike Knoll 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30DOWNS
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:5616% → 17%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
84.1%
Ty Johnson run for 29 yds to the BC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
80.8%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the BC 49Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
81.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Kenneth Goins Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 11
50
+10
83.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to Ty Johnson for 10 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 1
OPP 40
-1
83.0%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 31INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 1:0886% → 86%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
86.0%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-3
86.3%
Patrick Towles sacked by Azubuike Ukandu for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 40Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+30
85.6%
Patrick Towles pass intercepted Darnell Savage Jr. return for 30 yds to the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 32FUMBLE
12 plays · 15 yds · 4:3819% → 13%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
80.7%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the BC 16Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+14
80.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 14 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
81.3%
Brown, Wes rush for 1 yard to the BOSTCOLL1, PENALTY MARYLAND holding (Moore, Brendan) 10 yards to the BOSTCOLL12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
83.3%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-7
83.3%
Perry Hills sacked by Harold Landry for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-10
88.7%
Hills, Perry rush for 5 yards to the BOSTCOLL12, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the BOSTCOLL27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 27
+14
89.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Personal Foul (14 Yards) to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
86.6%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
86.7%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+12
88.5%
D.J. Moore run for 12 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to Derrick Hayward for no gain to the BC 1Similar
Q4 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
87.1%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 2 Perry Hills fumbled, recovered by BCSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 33FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3491% → 94%
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
91.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 3 yds to the BC 5Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
92.5%
Jon Hilliman run for no gain to the BC 5Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+1
93.7%
Jon Hilliman run for 1 yd to the BC 5 Jon Hilliman fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Mary Azubuike UkanduSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 34FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1310% → 18%
Q4 3:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
90.3%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
91.5%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
81.6%
Adam Greene 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 35PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:0093% → 94%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.2%
Jon Hilliman run for 2 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
94.1%
Jon Hilliman run for 4 yds to the BC 37Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-1
94.3%
Jon Hilliman run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 36Similar
Q4 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+10
94.3%
Mike Knoll punt for 39 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 10 yds to the Mary 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 36DOWNS
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:1811% → 9%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.9%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
89.7%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
90.6%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:25
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-7
90.8%
Perry Hills sacked by Harold Landry and Matt Milano for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 37END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:4597% → 96%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:48
P. Hills pass,to T. Morgan for 63 yds for a TD, (A. Greene KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q2 7:29
Jeff Smith pass complete to Patrick Towles for 20 yds for a TD, (Mike Knoll KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 13:24
P. Hills run for -7 yds,P. Hills fumbled, forced by N. Merritt, recovered by BC K. Kavalec,for a TD, (M. Knoll KICK)
+11
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com