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IDHO

Idaho 61 at Colorado State 50

CSU
2016 · Famous Idaho Potato Bowl · Dec 22, 2016 · Albertsons Stadium
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Win probability · CSU
modelCSU aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playCSU scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Mason Petrino run for 12 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:59: Isaiah Saunders run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +8.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:24: Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +14.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:12: Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +21.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:13: Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 74 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +10.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:43: Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 12 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK) — CSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:27CSU 4th & 1 at IDHO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:47IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:18CSU 4th & 6 at CSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:06IDHO 4th & 13 at IDHO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:15CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:03IDHO 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:55CSU 4th & 4 at CSU 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:08CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:45IDHO 4th & 1 at CSU 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    36.5%−2.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    36.5%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:07IDHO 4th & 6 at CSU 33, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:31CSU 4th & 5 at CSU 41, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:10CSU 4th & 11 at CSU 38, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:09IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 32, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:03IDHO 4th & 7 at midfield, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:16IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 23, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q2 14:35CSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:03IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:59IDHO Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:24IDHO Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:12IDHO Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:13IDHO Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:16IDHO Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:43CSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:56IDHO Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:21CSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:27IDHO Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:06CSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 7:40IDHO Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 5:29CSU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 1:07CSU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 0:29CSU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:0382% → 82%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
82.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 9 yds to the ColSt 49Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+21
82.3%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 21 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
82.3%
Detrich Clark run for 1 yd to the Idaho 29Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
82.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 4 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
81.9%
Nick Stevens run for 4 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
81.6%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2119% → 19%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
81.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Jamal Hicks for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 13Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 18
OWN 13
0
81.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q1 10:30
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+8
81.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
81.3%
Austin Rehkow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the ColSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3181% → 81%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.3%
Izzy Matthews run for no gain to the ColSt 42Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Nick Stevens pass intercepted Jayshawn Jordan return for no gain to the Idaho 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2320% → 20%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
80.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-3
80.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Toby McBride for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 42Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
80.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:47
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
80.4%
Austin Rehkow punt for 18 yds, downed at the ColSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2281% → 80%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
80.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 7 yards to the ColSt 33 Dalyn Dawkins fumbled, recovered by ColSt Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+11
80.0%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 11 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
80.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
79.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:5420% → 20%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-8
79.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 23 IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Rose) to the Idaho 12Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+5
79.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 13
OWN 17
0
79.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+47
79.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Robert Ruiz at the COLOST 46 COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ColSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4080% → 79%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
79.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Detrich Clark for 2 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
79.6%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
79.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd to the ColSt 42Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
78.7%
Hayden Hunt punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:5721% → 22%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
78.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
78.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
77.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
77.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 6
50
0
76.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 6
50
0
76.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 6
50
0
77.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 34 yds, downed at the ColSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 1:2078% → 82%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
78.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 19Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
78.1%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+11
77.6%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 11 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
78.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 39Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+9
78.8%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 9 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
82.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 52 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 10TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1419% → 24%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
80.8%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+8
80.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
50
+9
79.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 9 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
79.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+36
79.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 36 yds to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0178% → 77%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Olabisi JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.7%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Michael Gallup) to the ColSt 20Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalton FackrellSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+11
77.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 11 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
76.8%
Hayden Hunt punt for 35 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 4 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12TD
3 plays · 62 yds · 0:5123% → 32%
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
76.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+35
76.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 35 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
68.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:3271% → 67%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
70.6%
Detrich Clark run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
70.3%
Nick Stevens run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+13
69.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 13 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
69.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
69.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
68.0%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Danny NwosuSimilar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
67.2%
Hayden Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14TD
21 plays · 85 yds · 6:3634% → 58%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
66.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 14 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
65.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 11 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
63.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 7 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
63.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 4 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
61.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
61.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Lloyd HightowerSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+6
61.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 6 yds to the ColSt 40Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+3
62.1%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 3 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
59.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
59.7%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
59.4%
Denzal Brantley run for no gain to the ColSt 33Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+9
61.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 9 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
57.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 9 yds to the ColSt 15Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+2
57.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
56.9%
Callen Hightower run for 4 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
56.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the ColSt 6Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
42.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
51.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 12 yds to the ColSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:3353% → 80%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
46.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+13
45.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 13 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+27
43.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 27 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
41.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the ColSt 23Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
39.9%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+10
42.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 10 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
41.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the ColSt 9Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
40.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the ColSt 7Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
19.6%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:2927% → 24%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
26.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 20Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+2
25.5%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 2 yds to the ColSt 22Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+14
24.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 14 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
24.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 5 yds to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
25.1%
Dalyn Dawkins run for no gain to the ColSt 41Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
24.4%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Robert RuizSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
23.6%
Hayden Hunt punt for 38 yds, downed at the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:1283% → 94%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
16.6%
Saunders, Isaiah rush for loss of 2 yards to the IDAHO19, PENALTY COLOST offside (Thompson, Darnell) 5 yards to the IDAHO26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 5
OWN 26
+74
6.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 74 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5010% → 9%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
9.7%
Izzy Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 38Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
8.8%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Nolan PeraltaSimilar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
8.6%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Dalyn DawkinsSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
9.0%
Hayden Hunt punt for 53 yds, downed at the Idaho 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:5195% → 97%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
5.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+20
4.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 20 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
3.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-1
3.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Darnell Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 9
OWN 32
-4
3.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 50 yds , Robert Ruiz returns for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 14 Robert Ruiz fumbled, recovered by Idaho Kendrick TrotterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21TD
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:4497% → 98%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
2.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the ColSt 11Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
2.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 11
-5
2.5%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (Deon Watson) to the ColSt 16Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 12
OPP 16
+16
1.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 1:074% → 8%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+47
3.8%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 47 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
4.3%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 24 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
2.1%
Izzy Matthews run for 5 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
2.1%
IDAHO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (8 Yards) to the Idaho 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.5%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Danny NwosuSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
2.5%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
7.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 12 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:3398% → 99%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
2.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 8 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
2.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
1.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+2
1.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+5
0.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 5 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+42
0.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 42 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 86 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
0.6%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 13 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
1.0%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 73 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:3899% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
0.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 5 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+7
0.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
0.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 54 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
0.5%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 60 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 27TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
0.4%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 26Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+14
0.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down COLORADO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (12 Yards) to the ColSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 12 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 28TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:010% → 0%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.3%
Izzy Matthews run for 9 yds to the ColSt 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 3 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Robert RuizSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+25
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Robert Ruiz for 10 yds to the COLOST 42 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Roughing Holder (15 Yards) to the Idaho 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.3%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Michael GallupSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+11
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 11 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Izzy Matthews for 5 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+8
0.2%
Izzy Matthews run for 8 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Michael Gallup for 3 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
0.2%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 45 Matt Linehan fumbled, recovered by IdahoSimilar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+4
0.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+1
0.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 7
50
0
0.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 33 yds, downed at the ColSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 30INT
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass incomplete to Danny NwosuSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+28
0.2%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 13 yds to the ColSt 30 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Nick Stevens pass intercepted D.J. Hampton return for no gain to the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:19100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
0.2%
David Ungerer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
0.2%
Austin Rehkow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tyree Simmons at the ColSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 32TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:030% → 1%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
0.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 27 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
0.1%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalyn Dawkins for 5 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
0.1%
Izzy Matthews run for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+22
0.7%
Dalyn Dawkins run for 22 yds for a TD, (Wyatt Bryan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 33TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:161% → 5%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
0.7%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Olabisi Johnson for 39 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
0.9%
Nick Stevens pass complete to Dalton Fackrell for 14 yds to the Idaho 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.0%
Stevens, Nick pass incomplete to Gallup, Michael, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference 0 yards to the IDAHO1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COLOST.Similar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.9%
Izzy Matthews run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Stevens pass to Olabisi Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 34END OF GAME
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
2.1%
Mason Petrino run for 12 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:12
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-21.1
TD · Q2 0:24
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-14.1
TD · Q3 8:13
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 74 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com