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UL

Louisiana 30 at UL Monroe 3

ULM
2016 · Week 14 · Dec 3, 2016 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:38 · Jordan Wright run for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:22: Craig Ford 23 Yd Field Goal — ULM win probability +2.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 10:28: Trev Miller 73 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +7.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:10: Otha Peters 29 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +7.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:51: Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30 — UL win probability +3.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:08: Stevie Artigue 35 Yd Field Goal — UL win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 10UL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UL 4th & 11 at UL 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:22ULM 4th & 4 at UL 7, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22UL 4th & 17 at UL 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28ULM 4th & 5 at UL 17, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:28ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:15UL 4th & 3 at ULM 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:10ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:46UL 4th & 2 at ULM 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.6%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:08UL 4th & 6 at ULM 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:23UL 4th & 9 at ULM 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 15, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:45ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 39, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:45ULM 4th & 8 at UL 44, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:45ULM 4th & 4 at UL 25, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:53UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28UL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:10UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
27.7%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for no gain to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Steven Coutts punt, downed at the LaMon 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
28.5%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Savion Brown return for no gain to the LaMon 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:2772% → 72%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
28.3%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 15
OWN 47
0
28.4%
Dion Ray run for no gain to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 15
OWN 47
+18
28.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 18 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
28.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
28.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+4
28.2%
Dion Ray run for 4 yds to the LaMon 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
28.2%
Darius Hoggins run for 9 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.1%
Elijah McGuire 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:3129% → 32%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.0%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+13
29.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
29.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
29.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
29.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+2
29.5%
Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+1
29.3%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+23
31.5%
Craig Ford 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
31.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 15
OWN 13
-2
31.1%
Jordan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 17
OWN 11
+5
31.1%
Jordan Davis run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 12
OWN 16
-8
31.3%
Davis, Jordan rush for 11 yards to the ULL27 (Backus, Justin), PENALTY ULL holding (Hunt, Robert) 8 yards to the ULL8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 20
OWN 8
+3
31.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
31.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
33.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-8
33.1%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 8 yards to the LaLaf 48 Caleb Evans fumbled, recovered by LaMon Caleb EvansSimilar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+2
31.9%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Tracy Walker return for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7INT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3468% → 68%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.9%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
32.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
31.9%
Dion Ray run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
31.6%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+1
31.9%
Dion Ray run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+18
32.2%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Justin Backus return for 18 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 10 yds · 3:1435% → 28%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
34.9%
Austin Vaughn run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
35.6%
Ben Luckett run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+6
34.8%
Ben Luckett run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
35.6%
Ben Luckett run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+3
35.6%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+1
34.8%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 5
OPP 17
-73
27.7%
Trev Miller 73 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
27.0%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
27.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
26.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Ajalen HolleySimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
26.3%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
26.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Kevin Dotson) to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+10
26.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 5
50
+14
26.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 14 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
25.9%
Jordan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 32
-7
25.8%
Dion Ray run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+5
26.4%
Dion Ray run for 5 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+5
26.7%
Jennings, A. pass incomplete, PENALTY ULM offside (Sisco, Cortez) 5 yards to the ULM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+1
26.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4126% → 18%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
25.8%
Ben Luckett run for no gain to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-29
18.4%
Otha Peters 29 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
18.8%
Ben Luckett run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
19.3%
Ben Luckett run for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
19.1%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
18.7%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 32 yds, downed at the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:5185% → 91%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
14.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
14.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
14.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+15
13.8%
Darius Hoggins run for 15 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
14.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, personal foul (Shaquille Warren) to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
13.5%
Darius Hoggins run for 8 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+5
13.5%
Jordan Wright run for 5 yds to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
11.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-5
10.6%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 6Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
10.8%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 9Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
8.8%
Stevie Artigue 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
12.2%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
12.1%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
12.0%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+25
12.0%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 40 yds, downed at the ULMONROE 39 UL MONROE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Alec Osborne) to the LaMon 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FG
11 plays · 28 yds · 6:3891% → 95%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
9.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
9.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
9.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
9.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
9.3%
Darius Hoggins run for 6 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
9.5%
Darius Hoggins run for no gain to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+4
10.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
9.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
9.1%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 2
OPP 14
-4
9.5%
Jordan Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
4.6%
Stevie Artigue 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
5.2%
Marcus Green run for 5 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+9
5.2%
Thomas Koufie run for 9 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
5.2%
Thomas Koufie run for 8 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
5.3%
Thomas Koufie run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
5.4%
Thomas Koufie run for 1 yd to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-3
5.3%
Thomas Koufie run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32 Thomas Koufie fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Simeon ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 4:0197% → 98%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
3.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-1
3.0%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+9
3.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 9 yds to the LaMon 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
3.0%
Darius Hoggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+2
3.0%
Darius Hoggins run for 2 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
3.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
2.3%
Stevie Artigue 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:234% → 3%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
3.5%
Caleb Evans run for 2 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 16
-1
3.3%
Marcus Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
3.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
3.2%
Dayton Balvanz punt for 53 yds, downed at the LaLaf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT
13 plays · 57 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
0.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
0.7%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
0.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
0.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 10 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
0.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
0.7%
Jordan Wright run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
0.7%
Jordan Wright run for 8 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+3
0.6%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
0.6%
Darius Hoggins run for 19 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.6%
Jordan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
0.5%
Al Riles run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 6Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 0
OPP 6
-5
0.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 11Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
0.7%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted, touchback. Garrett Smith return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 55 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.3%
Marcus Green run for 7 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+9
0.3%
Nathan Meadors Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.3%
Nathan Meadors Jr. run for no gain to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+15
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Nathan Meadors Jr. for 15 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete, broken up by Jarvis JeffriesSimilar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
0.3%
Nathan Meadors Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Craig Ford, broken up by Savion BrownSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+13
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Tre' Perrier for 13 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
0.3%
Nathan Meadors Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Denarius HowardSimilar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+3
0.3%
Caleb Evans run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 4
OPP 25
0
0.3%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Alec OsborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
Jordan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
0.1%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-12
0.1%
Jordan Wright run for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:10
Otha Peters 29 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-7.4
TD · Q2 10:28
Trev Miller 73 Yd Fumble Return (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-7.1
FG · Q3 7:08
Stevie Artigue 35 Yd Field Goal
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com