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USA

South Alabama 31 at Idaho 38

IDHO
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:46 · Austin Rehkow punt for 46 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 1 yd to the SAlab 26 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SAlab 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense+30.6Score differential+23.2Garbage-time factor+12.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Pregame prior+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:10: Trent Cowan 32 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick) — IDHO win probability +3.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:47: Maaseiah Francis 6 Yd pass from Cole Garvin (Gavin Patterson Kick) — IDHO win probability +5.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 6:40: Austin Rehkow 24 Yd Field Goal — IDHO win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:29: Maaseiah Francis 75 Yd pass from Dallas Davis (Gavin Patterson Kick) — USA win probability +3.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:52: Dallas Davis 2 Yd Run (Gavin Patterson Kick) — IDHO win probability +3.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:38USA 4th & 8 at USA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:35IDHO 4th & 3 at USA 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    71.5%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 8 at USA 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:40IDHO 4th & 7 at USA 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−5.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 8 at IDHO 30, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.3%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:12USA 4th & 10 at IDHO 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:27USA 4th & 9 at USA 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:43USA 4th & 14 at IDHO 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:46IDHO 4th & 9 at IDHO 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:46USA 4th & 13 at USA 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:46IDHO 4th & 3 at USA 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:06USA 4th & 10 at IDHO 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:48IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:10IDHO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
54.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 3 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+10
54.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
54.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
54.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
54.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
54.6%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
54.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Sam Harris) to the SAlab 21Similar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+7
54.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 7 yds Tyrone Williams fumbled, forced by D.J. Hampton, recovered by SAlab Sam HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
54.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
55.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams, broken up by Desmond BanksSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
55.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Tony Lashley blocked by Tony LashleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:4756% → 58%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
55.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+5
55.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
57.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 14 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4INT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.9%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
56.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 9 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
56.9%
Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
56.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 13 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
56.4%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the Idaho 47Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
56.5%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+12
56.7%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted Kaden Elliss return for 12 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:1559% → 63%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
58.9%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Watson, Deon, PENALTY USA pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 15 yards to the USA32, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
62.6%
Trent Cowan 32 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2335% → 31%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 12 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
65.2%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+12
65.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 12 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
65.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+32
64.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 32 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
64.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 3 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
64.0%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the Idaho 6Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
69.4%
Maaseiah Francis 6 Yd pass from Cole Garvin (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0870% → 71%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
70.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
70.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
71.0%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Cowan, Trent, PENALTY USA holding (Reaves, Jeremy) 10 yards to the USA49, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
72.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
71.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
71.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Sean GrayerSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
71.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 34 yds, downed at the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2927% → 25%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
73.5%
Dami Ayoola run for 3 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+9
73.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to James Bynes for 9 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.1%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-9
73.3%
Dallas Davis sacked by Ty Graham for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+11
75.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
75.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
77.7%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Roman Buchanan return for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
75.5%
Dami Ayoola run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+13
75.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to James Bynes for 13 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
74.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
75.3%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted Ty Graham return for 1 yd to the Idaho 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 6:1479% → 86%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
79.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 16 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
80.1%
Denzal Brantley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+6
80.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+1
79.6%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
80.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
79.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 10 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
80.2%
Matt Linehan run for 10 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
80.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
80.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 11 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
79.5%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
79.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 6:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
85.7%
Austin Rehkow 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
83.3%
Maaseiah Francis 75 Yd pass from Dallas Davis (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:1487% → 91%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
86.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
86.9%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
86.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+5
86.8%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-10
87.2%
Saunders, I rush for 2 yards to the 50 yardline (Robinson, Neiko), PENALTY IDAHO holding 10 yards to the IDAHO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+20
87.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 20 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
90.4%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+41
90.5%
Callen Hightower 41 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 1:5113% → 12%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
86.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
86.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+21
87.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 21 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
86.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 14 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (D.J. Hampton) to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
85.1%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive offside (Glen Antoine) to the Idaho 9Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 5
OPP 9
-5
85.3%
Davis, Dallas pass complete to Francis, Mseiah for 9 yards to the IDAHO0, clock 01:00, PENALTY USA ineligible downfield on pass (Alexander, Ryan) 5 yards to the IDAHO14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
85.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 12 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
85.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.3%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.3%
James Bynes 1 Yd pass from Dallas Davis (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-30
87.7%
Patterson,Gavin kickoff 40 yards to the IDAHO25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USA illegal kicking 30 yards to the IDAHO35, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:0810% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
89.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 7 yds Kevin Kutchera fumbled, forced by Kaden Elliss, recovered by SAlab Harrison LoudenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+13
89.2%
Dallas Davis run for 13 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
89.0%
Dallas Davis run for 23 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
87.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
87.7%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
88.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sa'Mory CollierSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+22
89.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sa'Mory Collier for 22 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
87.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 6 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.0%
Dallas Davis 2 Yd Run (Gavin Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3294% → 95%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
93.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 6 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
93.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+8
93.5%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Cowan, Trent, PENALTY USA pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 8 yards to the IDAHO42, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
93.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 38 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
94.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 19 yds to the SAlab 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Isaiah Saunders 1 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
93.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
93.1%
Dallas Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
93.1%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
93.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Milton Revell for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+16
93.4%
Dallas Davis run for 16 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
93.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Maaseiah FrancisSimilar
Q3 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
93.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
93.1%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 9:12
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
93.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:4496% → 98%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
95.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
95.4%
Linehan, Matt pass incomplete to Onunwor, A, PENALTY USA pass interference (Robinson, Neiko) 10 yards to the IDAHO30, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
95.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 28Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 28
0
95.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent Cowan, broken up by Roman BuchananSimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+13
95.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 13 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 8 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
95.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
95.8%
Matt Linehan run for 12 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
95.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
95.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 2 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
95.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
98.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+7
98.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the SAlab 12 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Randy Allen) to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 14:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.2%
Isaiah Saunders 7 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Deonta Moore for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
97.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.7%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.7%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
97.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
98.4%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Jalen Thompson return for no gain to the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:272% → 1%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+22
98.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 22 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
98.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
98.0%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the Idaho 10Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 5
OPP 10
-9
98.2%
Dallas Davis sacked by Ed Hall for a loss of 9 yards to the Idaho 19Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+36
98.7%
Gavin Patterson 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Sir Calvin Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+2
98.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David UngererSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Austin Rehkow punt for 46 yds , Dami Ayoola returns for 1 yd to the SAlab 26 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the SAlab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+11
98.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 11 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
98.8%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 13
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
98.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:0999% → 100%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
99.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 12 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
99.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+13
99.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 13 yds to the IDAHO 46 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.6%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+3
99.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
99.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 35 yds, downed at the SAlab 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 63 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
99.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. HamptonSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+16
99.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 16 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Dami Ayoola for 2 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
99.3%
Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 32 Dallas Davis fumbled, forced by Tueni Lupeamanu, recovered by SAlab Dallas Davis for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.3%
Davis, Dallas pass incomplete, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Banks, Desmond) 16 yards to the USA48, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 5 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+14
99.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 14 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-14
99.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, intentional grounding (Dallas Davis) to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 24
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin Kutchera, broken up by D.J. HamptonSimilar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 24
OPP 47
+14
99.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 14 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Russell SiaviiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:40
Austin Rehkow 24 Yd Field Goal
+6.7
TD · Q1 3:47
Maaseiah Francis 6 Yd pass from Cole Garvin (Gavin Patterson Kick)
+5.4
TD · Q1 7:10
Trent Cowan 32 Yd pass from Matt Linehan (Austin Rehkow Kick)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com