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IDHO

Idaho 47 at Texas State 14

TXST
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:53 · Lumi Kaba punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Home team on offense−15.9Score differential−8.2Pregame prior−11.0Garbage-time factor−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:19: Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 48 yds for a TD, (Marcus Ripley KICK) — TXST win probability +4.5 pts (now 37%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:41: Denzal Brantley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +6.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:29: Isaiah Saunders run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +8.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:39: Austin Rehkow 25 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +3.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:26: Matt Linehan 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick), (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:35TXST 4th & 4 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:19IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:06TXST 4th & 14 at IDHO 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:39IDHO 4th & 7 at TXST 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:53TXST 4th & 19 at TXST 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:01IDHO 4th & 3 at TXST 37, up 24
    Close callPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.7
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:32IDHO 4th & 1 at TXST 33, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:28IDHO 4th & 27 at TXST 48, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TXST 4th & 12 at TXST 39, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 43, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 17, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:50TXST 4th & 8 at IDHO 49, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IDHO made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:34TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:27IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:19TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:33IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:41IDHO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:29IDHO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:26IDHO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:33IDHO Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
29.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
29.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+16
29.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 51 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 16 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:1830% → 33%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
29.7%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
29.7%
Stedman Mayberry run for 10 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
29.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 18 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
29.8%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
29.8%
Tyler Jones run for no gain to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+11
29.7%
Jones, Tyler slant pass incomplete to King, Elijah (Banks, Desmond), PENALTY IDAHO illegal use of hands (Lupeamanu, Tueni) 11 yards to the IDAHO12, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
29.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the Idaho 9Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
29.8%
Jones, Tyler middle pass incomplete to Watts, Tyler (Graham, Ty), QB hurry by Akanno, Charles, PENALTY IDAHO face mask (Banks, Desmond) 5 yards to the IDAHO4, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
29.8%
Jones, Tyler rush over left tackle for 2 yards to the IDAHO2 (Hall, Ed), PENALTY IDAHO face mask (Hall, Ed) 2 yards to the IDAHO2, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
29.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marcus Ripley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:5967% → 68%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+57
32.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 57 yds to the TexSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
31.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the TexSt 13Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+2
31.9%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the TexSt 11Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
32.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the TexSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
31.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the TexSt 7Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
31.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 6 yds Alfonso Onunwor fumbled, forced by Jordan Eastling, recovered by Idaho Isaiah SaundersSimilar
Q1 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
31.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 6 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:0133% → 37%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
32.5%
Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 24Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+28
32.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 28 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
36.9%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 48 yds for a TD, (Marcus Ripley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:3964% → 67%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
36.1%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+7
36.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 7 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+10
36.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
35.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 19 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
35.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 12 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
34.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for no gain to the TexSt 35Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
34.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Denzal Brantley for 3 yds to the TexSt 32Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+13
35.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 13 yds to the TexSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
34.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+2
34.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the TexSt 17Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+13
35.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 13 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
34.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the TexSt 1Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.1%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:2536% → 35%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
35.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+5
35.9%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive offside (Glen Antoine) to the TexSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-9
36.0%
Tyler Jones sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 5
+10
35.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 10 yds to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
35.0%
Lumi Kaba punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:0165% → 71%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
35.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 21 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
34.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+1
33.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the TexSt 34Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
34.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
33.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 25 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the TexSt 3Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
33.6%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the TexSt 3Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.7%
Linehan, Matt DRAG ROUTE pass incomplete to Watson, Deon, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Taylor, Anthony J.) 1 yards to the TXST2, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.1%
Denzal Brantley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
31.2%
Tyler Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 18Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
31.1%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+26
30.5%
Tyler Jones run for 11 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tony Lashley) to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
32.5%
Stedman Mayberry run for 7 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
33.3%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:35
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-1
33.0%
Stedman Mayberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:35
4TH & 4
50
0
32.0%
Lumi Kaba punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
30.2%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 15Similar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
30.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+2
30.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+13
30.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 13 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
29.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Aaron Duckworth IDAHO Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-2
30.5%
Matt Linehan sacked by Gabe Loyd for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 23Similar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 17
OWN 23
+2
30.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+36
31.4%
Austin Rehkow punt for 47 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 36 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1433% → 29%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
33.4%
Jones, Tyler sideline pass complete to King, Elijah for 18 yards to the IDAHO18, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TXST illegal touching (King, Elijah) 0 yards to the IDAHO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
33.4%
Tyler Watts run for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
32.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 1 yd to the Idaho 35Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
29.3%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 40Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
28.6%
Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:2771% → 82%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
28.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 29 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
26.7%
Matt Linehan run for 18 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
26.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 9 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
17.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:4582% → 85%
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
17.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the TexSt 2Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
17.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the TexSt 2Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
18.0%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Callen Hightower) to the TexSt 7Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
14.6%
Austin Rehkow 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 21%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
19.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 6 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
19.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Mason Hays for 10 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
20.7%
Tyler Jones sacked by Tueni Lupeamanu for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
17.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 17 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-16
17.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the TexSt 18Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 26
OWN 18
+15
16.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 15 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 33
-8
16.9%
Tyler Jones sacked by Tueni Lupeamanu for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 25Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 19
OWN 25
0
16.7%
Lumi Kaba punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:1886% → 94%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
13.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+13
13.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 13 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
13.5%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+11
13.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
6.0%
Matt Linehan 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick), (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
7.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 14 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
7.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for no gain to the TexSt 46Similar
Q3 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
7.3%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Thurman MorbleySimilar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+5
7.2%
IDAHO Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the Idaho 49Similar
Q3 10:16
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+5
7.5%
Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 44 Tyler Jones fumbled, forced by Charles Akanno, recovered by Idaho Aikeem Coleman , return for 5 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
4.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 7 yds to the TexSt 37Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
4.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-2
4.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 37Similar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
5.3%
Austin Rehkow punt for 28 yds, downed at the TexSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19SF
1 play · -9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-9
2.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 4:0498% → 98%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
2.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 9 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+12
2.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
2.2%
Linehan, Matt slant pass incomplete to Duckworth, Aaron, PENALTY TXST pass interference (London, Bryan) 4 yards to the TXST42, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
2.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 6 yds to the TexSt 36Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
2.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
2.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the TexSt 33Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
2.4%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
2.2%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-15
1.3%
Linehan, Matt deep out pass complete to Hightower, Callen for 28 yards to the TXST0, clock 02:28, PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Hightower, Callen) 15 yards to the TXST43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 22
OPP 43
+1
1.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the TexSt 42Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 21
OPP 42
-6
1.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Gabe Loyd for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 48Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 27
OPP 48
+21
1.6%
Austin Rehkow punt blocked by Anthony D. Taylor blocked by Anthony D. Taylor Dila Rosemond return for 6 yds to the TexSt 42 TEXAS STATE Penalty, illegal block (Brandon McDowell) to the TexSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:472% → 1%
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
1.6%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
1.5%
Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
1.5%
Tyler Jones sacked by Glen Antoine for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+6
1.3%
Lumi Kaba punt for 46 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 6 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2299% → 100%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
1.2%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+18
1.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 18 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
1.1%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (Charles Akanno) to the Idaho 38Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-3
1.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 12 yds to the 50 yard line IDAHO Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 18
OWN 35
0
1.2%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson IDAHO Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 18
OWN 35
+8
0.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 8 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
0.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
0.5%
Connor White run for 1 yd to the TexSt 14Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+8
0.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 8 yds to the TexSt 22Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 1
OWN 22
-5
0.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 17 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSt Connor WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+13
0.5%
Lumi Kaba punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 45 , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 13 yds to the TexSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
0.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 7 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+11
0.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 11 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+14
0.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 14 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
0.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 9 yds to the TexSt 1Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Tueni Lupeamanu run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
0.2%
Eddie Printz pass complete to Mason Hays for 10 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
0.2%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Anthony D. Taylor run for no gain to the Idaho 46Similar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
Eddie Printz run for 3 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+11
0.1%
Eddie Printz pass complete to Chris French for 11 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Eddie Printz run for no gain to the TexSt 39Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
0.1%
Lumi Kaba punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
0.1%
Doug Coman run for 2 yds to the Idaho 19Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
0.1%
Gunnar Amos run for 2 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-5
0.1%
IDAHO Penalty, delay of game (Gunnar Amos) to the Idaho 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:29
Isaiah Saunders run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-8.4
TD · Q3 10:26
Matt Linehan 10 Yd Run (Austin Rehkow Kick), (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 9:41
Denzal Brantley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com