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UL

Louisiana 33 at Georgia Southern 26

GASO
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2016 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:29 · Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense−8.9Score differential−3.8Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:09: Dion Ray 16 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +13.3 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:18: Myles Campbell 10 Yd pass from Seth Shuman (Younghoe Koo Kick) — GASO win probability +14.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:34: Keenan Barnes 48 Yd pass from Al Riles (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +22.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:05: L.A. Ramsby 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GASO win probability +17.5 pts (now 32%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:23: L.A. Ramsby 1 Yd Run (Younghoe Koo Kick) — GASO win probability +22.6 pts (now 32%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 10:44GASO 4th & 5 at UL 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:36UL 4th & 8 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:48GASO 4th & 8 at UL 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:48UL 4th & 2 at GASO 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, up 8
    Close callPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:29GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:51UL 4th & 4 at GASO 17, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.7%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−8.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 22, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:28GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:36UL 4th & 11 at GASO 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:50GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 21, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%−0.8
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 1 at UL 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.2%−3.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−13.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:05UL 4th & 11 at GASO 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    85.3%−1.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:23GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:54UL 4th & 7 at GASO 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−1.0
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 3:15UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:09UL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:18GASO Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:06UL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:34UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:05GASO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:23GASO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:1680% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
80.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
80.1%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+15
80.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 15 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+13
80.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Myles Campbell for 13 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
80.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
80.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Montay Crockett for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
80.1%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Montay Crockett, broken up by Karmichael DunbarSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
80.1%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+39
79.4%
Younghoe Koo 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
79.3%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+38
79.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 38 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
79.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+2
79.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+5
79.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 8
50
0
79.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 8
50
0
79.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
78.7%
Seth Shuman run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+6
78.8%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Myles Campbell for 6 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
78.8%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-3
78.7%
Seth Shuman run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
78.5%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Montay Crockett, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
78.4%
Matt Flynn punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:5622% → 26%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
78.0%
Raymond Calais run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
77.8%
Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+10
77.8%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete to Haynes, Gary, PENALTY GS holding (Jessie Liptrot) 10 yards to the GS32, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
77.6%
Dion Ray run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+9
77.5%
Dion Ray run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
77.5%
Dion Ray run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.1%
Elijah McGuire 1 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
75.1%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
75.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+1
74.8%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
74.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:1826% → 28%
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+28
74.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 28 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
73.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+15
73.2%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete to Fuselier, Gabe, PENALTY GS pass interference (Christian Matthew) 15 yards to the GS26, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
72.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jay Bowdry) to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
72.0%
Jordan Davis run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 9 Jordan Davis fumbled, forced by Monquavion Brinson, recovered by GeoSo Joshua MoonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:0373% → 74%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
73.3%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 11 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
73.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
73.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+53
72.8%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 53 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
75.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
75.3%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+12
74.7%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 12 yds to the LaLaf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
75.3%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
75.3%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
74.7%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
73.9%
Younghoe Koo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3928% → 42%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
72.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 6 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+28
72.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 28 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
70.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
70.9%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+5
71.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+3
72.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
70.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
70.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Gary HaynesSimilar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
70.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
57.6%
Dion Ray 16 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:4460% → 72%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
60.1%
Seth Shuman run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
60.1%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+7
59.3%
Seth Shuman run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
60.5%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 15 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
62.6%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Malik Henry for 15 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
63.7%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+11
63.6%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Hampton McConnell for 11 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
63.7%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
63.7%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Malik HenrySimilar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+6
57.5%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 6 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.8%
Myles Campbell 10 Yd pass from Seth Shuman (Younghoe Koo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 1:0534% → 53%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+16
66.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+17
65.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
63.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 19 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
61.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 8 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+22
60.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 22 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
47.5%
Anthony Jennings 10 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
51.6%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
52.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
53.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 10 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
52.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
51.8%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
51.8%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Kevon PerrySimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
50.6%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Simeon ThomasSimilar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
50.0%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:3953% → 59%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
46.8%
Dion Ray run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
46.1%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
46.3%
Dion Ray run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+15
46.3%
Dion Ray run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
45.9%
Darius Hoggins run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+3
45.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
43.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
41.2%
Stevie Artigue 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
41.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
41.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+2
40.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
39.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 26 yds, downed at the GeoSo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
17.0%
Keenan Barnes 48 Yd pass from Al Riles (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
22.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 6 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
23.4%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
23.0%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
22.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
15.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+7
15.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
15.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-6
14.8%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
15.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
16.6%
Steven Coutts punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
17 plays · 86 yds · 4:4518% → 19%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
18.3%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson III, broken up by Trev MillerSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
18.2%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Montay Crockett for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
18.4%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to BJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+26
18.3%
Matt Flynn pass complete to Ross Alexander for 26 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
20.4%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Ross Alexander) to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 18
OWN 39
+7
19.0%
Seth Shuman run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+13
19.7%
Seth Shuman pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for 13 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
20.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Montay Crockett for 11 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
16.3%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
15.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Myles Campbell for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
15.7%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
15.6%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Myles Campbell for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
16.6%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Mike Jackson, PENALTY UL pass interference (Wright, Jordan) 14 yards to the UL2, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.6%
L.A. Ramsby 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 0
OPP 3
0
27.0%
Otha Peters Defensive PAT ConversionSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
18.8%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Otha Peters) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by William Bussey Jr.Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
8.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
8.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 11 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
8.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
7.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
7.9%
Raymond Calais run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
8.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
8.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Troy McCollumSimilar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+29
9.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 34 yds, downed at the GeoSo 11 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Reginald Miles) to the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
11.0%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-2
10.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Matt Breida for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
10.6%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 10
OWN 16
-5
10.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 15
OWN 11
0
10.6%
Matt Flynn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
4.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+1
4.2%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+1
4.0%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-5
4.4%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+66
4.6%
TEAM punt , Ironhead Gallon returns for 66 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:589% → 32%
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
8.7%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.7%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
9.0%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.6%
L.A. Ramsby 1 Yd Run (Younghoe Koo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24END OF GAME
13 plays · 47 yds · 3:2082% → 96%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
17.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 12 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
17.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
15.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+21
16.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
14.6%
Tracy Walker run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-1
4.5%
Dion Ray run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+9
4.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 14
OPP 30
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:34
Keenan Barnes 48 Yd pass from Al Riles (Stevie Artigue Kick)
-22.7
TD · Q4 4:23
L.A. Ramsby 1 Yd Run (Younghoe Koo Kick)
+22.6
TD · Q4 13:05
L.A. Ramsby 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+17.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com