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APP

App State 34 at Georgia Southern 10

GASO
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2016 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFUMBLETDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-4.7GASO 46.8%Michael Rubino 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 10 · Q2 1:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:15 · Michael Rubino 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense−2.5Score differential−2.5Garbage-time factor+0.1Pregame prior−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q1 0:58: TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Ukeme Eligwe , return for 90 yds, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +5.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:22: Taylor Lamb run for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +10.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 3:03: Michael Rubino 28 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +5.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:45: Taylor Lamb run for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +16.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:53: Marcus Cox run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +10.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:00GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02GASO 4th & 15 at APP 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:17APP 4th & 1 at GASO 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−2.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:45APP 4th & 6 at APP 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:46APP 4th & 9 at GASO 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:00GASO 4th & 13 at GASO 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:53GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 19, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15APP 4th & 8 at GASO 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−6.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:41APP 4th & 11 at APP 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:20GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−1.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:31APP 4th & 4 at GASO 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.4%−1.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−3.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:03APP 4th & 5 at GASO 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−13.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:07GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:53APP 4th & 1 at GASO 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−3.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−12.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:31GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:22APP 4th & 9 at GASO 32, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 6:22APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 1:45APP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:53APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:26APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4544% → 45%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
44.4%
Matt Breida run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
44.6%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-1
44.8%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
44.9%
Matt Flynn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:0155% → 55%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
44.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 13 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
44.9%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+22
44.9%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Darius Jones Jr. return for 22 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3446% → 47%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
45.9%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+21
46.1%
Matt Breida run for 15 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
46.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for no gain to the AppSt 6Similar
Q1 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
46.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-14
46.3%
- Team run for a loss of 14 yards to the AppSt 15 - Team fumbled, recovered by GeoSoSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
46.5%
Younghoe Koo 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FUMBLE TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 7:4853% → 47%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.8%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
46.9%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
46.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 30 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
46.3%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
46.4%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+1
46.9%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
47.5%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-2
46.8%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 12
OPP 22
+16
47.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 16 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
47.1%
Marcus Cox run for no gain to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
47.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+7
47.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+90
53.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards TEAM fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Ukeme Eligwe , return for 90 yds, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0546% → 44%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
54.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
54.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 2 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
55.6%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q2 14:45
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
56.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5056% → 56%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
56.2%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+6
55.9%
Wesley Fields run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-1
56.4%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Wesley Fields for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 8
OWN 48
+32
55.6%
Matt Flynn punt for 39 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for 32 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4844% → 42%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
55.7%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+6
55.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to T.J. Watkins for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
55.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
55.9%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
56.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
58.1%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:3558% → 59%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
57.9%
Matt Breida run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+4
58.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 4 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+14
57.7%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Myles Campbell for 14 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.2%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
59.1%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Myles CampbellSimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
58.4%
Seth Shuman pass complete to BJ Johnson III for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
58.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:2740% → 51%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
59.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+9
59.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 9 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+30
59.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 30 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
49.1%
Taylor Lamb run for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1453% → 52%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
53.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+3
53.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+3
52.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
51.8%
Matt Flynn punt for 32 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for no gain to the AppSt 49 Jaquil Capel fumbled, recovered by AppStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
50.8%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Jay Bowdry return for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:5454% → 53%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.8%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Mike JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
53.7%
Seth Shuman sacked by Caleb Fuller for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+2
52.7%
Seth Shuman pass intercepted Eric Boggs return for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:2150% → 53%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
49.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-10
49.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 16
OPP 35
+18
54.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 18 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
50.2%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
50.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
51.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
46.8%
Michael Rubino 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4553% → 52%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
52.6%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+2
52.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
51.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
51.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:0651% → 58%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
48.7%
Jalin Moore run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
44.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+53
42.4%
Michael Rubino 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jonathan Battle Jr. Logan Hunt return for 4 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:5352% → 50%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
47.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 5 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+9
46.6%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
45.7%
Marcus Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 40 Marcus Cox fumbled, recovered by AppSt Parker CollinsSimilar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 13
OWN 40
-4
47.9%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+6
50.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 6 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
50.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1152% → 50%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
51.7%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+4
51.7%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
50.5%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
49.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 7:1154% → 60%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
45.8%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+9
45.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 9 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
45.6%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+7
45.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-22
45.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 22 yards to the AppSt 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AppSt Taylor LambSimilar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 24
OWN 46
+15
51.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
45.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 5
OPP 34
-7
44.0%
Ike Lewis run for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
46.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil CapelSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+8
48.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+17
48.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 17 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
43.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
43.5%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
45.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil CapelSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
40.0%
Michael Rubino 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:2344% → 44%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.7%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
43.5%
Seth Shuman pass intercepted A.J. Howard return for no gain to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3462% → 79%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
37.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 22 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
20.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2524% → 22%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
23.7%
Wesley Fields run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
24.3%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+1
23.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 0:07
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
21.8%
Matt Flynn punt for 51 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for no gain to the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 3:0776% → 93%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
23.6%
Jalin Moore run for 19 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+28
20.9%
Jalin Moore run for 13 yds to the GASOUTHERN 47 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
20.4%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
19.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
19.8%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+6
18.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q4 11:53
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+12
7.4%
Marcus Cox run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:067% → 6%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
7.3%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-4
7.1%
Seth Shuman pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+6
6.8%
Seth Shuman pass complete to L.A. Ramsby for 6 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 10:31
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
5.8%
Matt Flynn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:5995% → 96%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
5.5%
Jalin Moore run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
5.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
5.1%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 6
OPP 29
-10
5.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+7
4.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Marcus Cox for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 9
OPP 32
0
3.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 12 yds, downed at the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25INT
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:105% → 5%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
5.1%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 19 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.5%
Kevin Ellison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+13
5.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 13 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
5.2%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Myles Campbell for 3 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
5.2%
Kevin Ellison pass intercepted Clifton Duck return for no gain to the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 2:0997% → 100%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
2.9%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+11
2.8%
Marcus Cox run for 11 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
2.4%
Marcus Cox run for 42 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
2.1%
Jalin Moore run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
0.4%
Jalin Moore run for 15 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:221% → 1%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
1.0%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Montay Crockett for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Wesley Fields for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.9%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
0.9%
Seth Shuman pass complete to Montay Crockett for 16 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.8%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+28
0.8%
Seth Shuman pass complete to D'Ondre Glenn for 28 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
1.0%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Wesley FieldsSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
1.0%
Seth Shuman pass incomplete to Quan HowardSimilar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+14
0.9%
Seth Shuman run for 14 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.0%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.9%
Seth Shuman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:45
Taylor Lamb run for 30 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-16.9
TD · Q4 11:53
Marcus Cox run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 6:22
Taylor Lamb run for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com