Try the model
IDHO

Idaho 19 at App State 37

APP
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:49 · Austin Rehkow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+2.6Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:04: Austin Rehkow 46 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +3.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:00: Michael Rubino 24 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:02: Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Clifton Duck return for 44 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +6.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:43: Austin Rehkow 23 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +3.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:09: Jalin Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 11 at IDHO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41APP 4th & 6 at IDHO 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:41IDHO 4th & 6 at APP 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:02IDHO 4th & 8 at APP 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:55APP 4th & 3 at APP 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:49IDHO 4th & 6 at APP 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    11.1%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53APP 4th & 9 at IDHO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:04IDHO 4th & 7 at APP 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:00APP 4th & 7 at IDHO 7, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−4.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:55IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:16APP 4th & 7 at IDHO 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:43IDHO 4th & 3 at APP 6, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−4.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00APP 4th & 4 at APP 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:49IDHO 4th & 15 at APP 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:14IDHO 4th & 3 at IDHO 42, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:04IDHO 4th & 6 at APP 8, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IDHO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:43APP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:02APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:09APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:14APP Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:04IDHO Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-4
92.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
92.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob Sannon, broken up by Mondo WilliamsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+27
92.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 40 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for 27 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:4792% → 92%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
92.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+1
92.4%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the Idaho 31Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+6
92.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 6 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
92.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 8 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
92.4%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
92.4%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 11Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+1
92.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 1 yd to the Idaho 10Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
92.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett Burns, broken up by Armond HawkinsSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
91.6%
Michael Rubino 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
91.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
91.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Reuben Mwehla for 4 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
91.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+14
91.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 14 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
91.3%
Denzal Brantley run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+2
91.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Josh Herman for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
91.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso OnunworSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
91.4%
Austin Rehkow punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1490% → 91%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.4%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
90.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
90.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Mock Adams for 18 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
90.6%
Ike Lewis run for 8 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+5
90.7%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
90.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 9 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
90.8%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the Idaho 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
90.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 6 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+25
90.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 25 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.2%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:419% → 11%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 9 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
90.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
90.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 6 yds to the Idaho 44Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
90.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
90.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 11 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
90.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 21 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
89.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Dezmin Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+5
89.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
90.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
89.4%
Austin Rehkow 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
89.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the AppSt 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AppSt Taylor LambSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 28
OWN 15
+12
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+13
89.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 13 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
89.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
89.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+16
89.3%
Denzal Brantley run for 16 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
89.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
50
0
88.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
50
+4
88.6%
Denzal Brantley run for 4 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
88.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 10:49
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
89.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 54 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
89.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+3
89.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
88.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+31
89.1%
Jalin Moore run for 31 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
89.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 9
50
+10
89.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 10 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
89.8%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 2 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-1
89.8%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
89.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon Meadors, broken up by Desmond BanksSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
88.9%
Taylor Lamb punt for 19 yds, downed at the Idaho 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:3012% → 16%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
87.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 10 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.7%
Denzal Brantley run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+18
87.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Denzal Brantley for 18 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
86.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 16 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
86.1%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 3:34
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+3
86.9%
Denzal Brantley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
83.8%
Austin Rehkow 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
84.9%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:0084% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 15 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
85.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 21 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
85.7%
Taylor Lamb run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+23
86.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 23 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
86.0%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
86.0%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
85.4%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
84.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (Michael Rubino) to the Idaho 7Similar
Q3 11:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
86.9%
Michael Rubino 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 12INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:5015% → 8%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
85.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+44
91.7%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Clifton Duck return for 44 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
92.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for no gain to the Idaho 22Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
92.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 7 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
92.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+29
92.5%
Austin Rehkow punt for 52 yds , Jaquil Capel returns for 29 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14FG
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:2194% → 96%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
93.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 12 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+30
93.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 30 yds to the Idaho 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
93.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
93.7%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Idaho 13Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
93.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Mock Adams for 6 yds to the Idaho 7 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
95.6%
Michael Rubino 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:255% → 9%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+51
94.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jordan Frysinger for 39 yds to the APPALCHAN 25 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Alex Gray) to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
94.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 4 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-10
94.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Kennan Gilchrist for a loss of 10 yards to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+13
94.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 13 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
91.0%
Austin Rehkow 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3593% → 95%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
93.0%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-5
92.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (Taylor Lamb) to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+4
92.8%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+20
92.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 20 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
93.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
93.4%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaquil Capel, broken up by D.J. HamptonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
95.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alfonso Onunwor at the Idaho 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
93.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+9
93.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 9 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
92.7%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Josh Thomas return for 26 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:2496% → 99%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
96.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 8 yds to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+6
96.0%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
96.0%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 7
OPP 12
-3
96.0%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Aikeem Coleman for a loss of 3 yards to the Idaho 15Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+10
95.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to S. Meadors (Banks, Desmond), PENALTY IDAHO pass interference (Banks, Desmond) 10 yards to the IDAHO5, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for 5 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
98.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for 10 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
98.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Clifton Duck return for no gain to the AppSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
99.4%
Jalin Moore run for 16 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
99.4%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Khalin Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 17
OWN 20
-4
99.3%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 19 Taylor Lamb fumbled, recovered by Idaho Ed HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:181% → 2%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
98.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 11 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (4 Yards) to the AppSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
98.9%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.9%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-8
99.0%
Matt Linehan sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
97.7%
Austin Rehkow 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 1:3599% → 100%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+22
98.6%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the APPALCHAN 43 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.7%
J.P. Caruso pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+2
98.7%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
J.P. Caruso pass complete to Dante Jones for 18 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 23TD
18 plays · 87 yds · 4:100% → 1%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
99.8%
Isaiah Saunders run for 9 yds to the Idaho 22Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete, broken up by Devin PapenheimSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+1
99.7%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Isaiah SaundersSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 12 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Alfonso Onunwor, broken up by Teh'Ron FullerSimilar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q4 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 7 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 5 yds to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+34
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 21 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, roughing passer (13 Yards) to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-8
99.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Okon Godwin for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 18
OPP 20
+3
99.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Isaiah Saunders for 3 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 15
OPP 17
+9
99.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 9 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+8
99.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:02
Matt Linehan pass intercepted for a TD Clifton Duck return for 44 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+6.3
FG · Q3 3:43
Austin Rehkow 23 yd FG GOOD
-3.5
TD · Q4 11:09
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com