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App State 24 at Louisiana 0

UL
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 12, 2016 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.2UL 24.6%Michael Rubino 21 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 0 · Q1 5:13
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:13 · Michael Rubino 21 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Home team on offense−2.9Pregame prior−23.2Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:36: Jalin Moore 41 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick) — APP win probability +7.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 8:47: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down — APP win probability +3.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:43: Collin Reed 8 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Michael Rubino Kick) — APP win probability +4.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:35: Timeout UL LAFAYETTE, clock 00:35 — UL win probability +5.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00: Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44 — APP win probability +7.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 12APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:01UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09UL 4th & 4 at UL 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13APP 4th & 4 at UL 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:39UL 4th & 4 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:47UL 4th & 19 at APP 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:45UL 4th & 14 at APP 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30UL 4th & 9 at APP 43, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%
    28% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:26APP 4th & 5 at APP 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:09UL 4th & 8 at APP 29, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:24APP 4th & 10 at APP 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:20UL 4th & 3 at UL 31, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:17APP 4th & 4 at UL 33, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31UL 4th & 4 at APP 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.0%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:37APP 4th & 4 at APP 42, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:12UL 4th & 16 at UL 11, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:40APP 4th & 20 at APP 38, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:20UL 4th & 5 at UL 8, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:12APP 4th & 10 at APP 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:05UL 4th & 3 at UL 46, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:28APP 4th & 3 at APP 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:34APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:36APP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:43APP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:5924% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
23.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
23.8%
Jennings, Anthony pass complete to Bradley, Ja'Marcus for 8 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE37, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE ineligible downfield on pass (Gordon, Eddie) 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
23.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Kevin Dotson) to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+15
24.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 24 yds, downed at the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:2776% → 76%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+56
24.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 56 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.8%
Jalin Moore 2 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2524% → 24%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
24.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
24.1%
Al Riles run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
24.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
24.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
24.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 55 yds, downed at the AppSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FG
12 plays · 92 yds · 5:5676% → 75%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
24.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 6Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+4
24.5%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+26
24.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 11 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+40
24.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 25 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 39 for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Roughing Passer (Taboris Lee) to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.2%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
24.1%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+10
24.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 10 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
24.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 5 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
24.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Parker Collins) to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+5
24.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
24.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Collin Reed for 4 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
24.6%
Michael Rubino 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 2:3425% → 25%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
25.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
25.1%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, False Start (Robert Hunt) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+18
24.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 18 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
25.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+5
25.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+5
24.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 4
50
0
24.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:0375% → 83%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
25.1%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-6
24.5%
Ike Lewis run for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
25.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 8 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
24.8%
Jalin Moore run for 9 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
24.4%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
24.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Ike LewisSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
24.4%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+12
24.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 12 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.4%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Dante JonesSimilar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
17.3%
Jalin Moore 41 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7MISSED FG
16 plays · 52 yds · 4:4419% → 19%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
19.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+6
19.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
19.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
19.1%
Darius Hoggins run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
19.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
19.8%
Darius Hoggins run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+14
19.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for 14 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
19.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
19.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+16
19.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 16 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
19.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
19.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-9
19.3%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Dezmin Reed for a loss of 9 yards to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 19
OPP 31
+49
18.5%
Stevie Artigue 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:0485% → 90%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
15.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
50
+2
15.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+21
15.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 21 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
14.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Mock AdamsSimilar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
15.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+19
14.6%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 8 Taylor Lamb fumbled, recovered by AppSt Taylor Lamb for a 1ST down Taylor Lamb run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
10.0%
Collin Reed 8 Yd pass from Taylor Lamb (Michael Rubino Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:5813% → 12%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
12.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
12.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+13
12.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+22
13.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 7 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
13.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 8 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
13.9%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
13.6%
Al Riles run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
13.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 8 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
13.5%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
13.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 2 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
13.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-6
12.7%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Toronto Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 14
OPP 22
+40
11.7%
Stevie Artigue 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
8.8%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Denarius Howard return for no gain to the LaLaf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 22 yds · 1:0611% → 15%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
11.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+21
10.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 21 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
11.4%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Dezmin Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-7
10.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Antonious Sims for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 24
OWN 42
+15
10.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 15 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
15.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
7.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2592% → 92%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
8.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
7.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Zy LetmanSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+3
8.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Ike Lewis for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+35
8.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 52 yds , Levarious Varnado returns for 35 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1711% → 8%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
10.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
10.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 7 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
8.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
9.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-1
9.0%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
8.0%
Darius Hoggins run for no gain to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+3
7.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4594% → 96%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
6.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+13
5.9%
Jalin Moore run for 13 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
5.5%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Taboris Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+3
4.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+5
4.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Otha Peters) to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
4.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Dante JonesSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+5
4.4%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 53 yds , Levarious Varnado returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:045% → 5%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
5.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
5.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+4
4.9%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+5
4.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
4.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17DOWNS
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:0397% → 98%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
3.5%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
3.4%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
3.3%
Jalin Moore run for 8 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
3.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
2.8%
Josh Boyd run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+15
2.6%
Lamb, Taylor pass incomplete to Meadors, Shaedon, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference (McCollum, Troy) 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.Similar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
2.6%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
2.5%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
1.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
Q3 2:17
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
2.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Shaedon MeadorsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:464% → 3%
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
3.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
3.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
3.6%
Gabe Fuselier run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
3.6%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 4
50
+3
3.7%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
3.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
3.6%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
3.5%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
3.7%
Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-2
3.7%
Jordan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 32Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+6
2.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 6 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
2.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5498% → 99%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
1.6%
Darrynton Evans run for 10 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
1.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
1.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
1.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Mock AdamsSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
1.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
2.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
2.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-9
2.1%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Okon Godwin and Akeem Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 16
OWN 11
0
2.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 41 yds, downed at the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
1.0%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 15
OWN 43
-5
0.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 20
OWN 38
0
0.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Darrynton EvansSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 20
OWN 38
0
0.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 20
OWN 38
0
1.0%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 59 yds, downed at the LaLaf 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
1.8%
Jordan Wright run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+1
1.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 1 yd to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q4 7:41
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
1.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q4 7:20
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
1.2%
Steven Coutts punt for 51 yds, downed at the AppSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
0.8%
Josh Boyd run for 3 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+4
0.6%
Josh Boyd run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 48
-7
0.6%
J.P. Caruso sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.6%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 41 yds , Levarious Varnado returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Devan Stringer) to the LaLaf 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
1.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 8 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-1
1.1%
Jordan Davis pass complete to Michael Jacquet for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
1.0%
Jordan Davis pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
1.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:3799% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
0.9%
Josh Boyd run for 15 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
0.5%
Josh Boyd run for 12 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
0.5%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
0.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-1
0.3%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
0.6%
Raymond Calais run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:00
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 44
-7.6
TD · Q2 13:36
Jalin Moore 41 Yd Run (Michael Rubino Kick)
-7.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:35
Timeout UL LAFAYETTE, clock 00:35
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com