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UIW

Incarnate Word 17 at Texas State 48

TXST
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:46 · Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the InWrd 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+20.6Home team on offense+10.6Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK) — TXST win probability +3.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:13: Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 44 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK) — TXST win probability +4.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 3:15: Cody Seidel 22 yd FG GOOD — UIW win probability +2.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 39%).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 16 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK) — TXST win probability +6.6 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:43: Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK) — TXST win probability +6.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UIW made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TXST 4th & 8 at UIW 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:31TXST 4th & 11 at TXST 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:58UIW 4th & 3 at TXST 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:52TXST 4th & 10 at TXST 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:06UIW 4th & 8 at TXST 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:09TXST 4th & 1 at UIW 14, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%−1.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−4.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:09UIW 4th & 10 at UIW 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:54UIW 4th & 3 at UIW 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:15UIW 4th & 5 at TXST 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:46TXST 4th & 1 at UIW 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−1.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:46TXST 4th & 18 at UIW 33, up 11
    Close callPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:20UIW 4th & 11 at TXST 30, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:45TXST 4th & 8 at TXST 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:21UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:37UIW 4th & 8 at UIW 28, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UIW 4th & 5 at midfield, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:11TXST 4th & 1 at UIW 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.7%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:27UIW 4th & 6 at TXST 10, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UIW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:36UIW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02TXST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:13TXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15TXST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:43TXST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:16TXST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:06UIW Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:04TXST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
87.0%
Stedman Mayberry run for 7 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+7
87.0%
Stedman Mayberry run for 7 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
87.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 6 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the TexSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+9
87.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 9 yds to the InWrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
87.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 6 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
87.0%
Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the InWrd 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
87.0%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-5
87.0%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
87.0%
Lumi Kaba punt for 30 yds, downed at the InWrd 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 2TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:4414% → 16%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
86.3%
Broderick Reeves run for 5 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
86.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 8 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
86.2%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 15 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
86.1%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Kody Edwards for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 4
50
+3
86.1%
Broderick Reeves run for 3 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+47
84.1%
Broderick Reeves run for 47 yds for a TD, (Cody Seidel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
84.4%
Thurman Morbley run for 2 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
84.4%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+7
84.3%
Tyler Jones run for 7 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
84.4%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 31Similar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
84.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for no gain to the TexSt 31Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 15
OWN 31
-13
84.3%
Tyler Jones sacked by Blake Klumpp for a loss of 13 yards to the TexSt 18Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 28
OWN 18
+17
84.2%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 17 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
84.2%
Lumi Kaba punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:3718% → 21%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
82.5%
Trent Brittain run for 5 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
82.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Jamari Gilbert for 6 yds to the InWrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.3%
Broderick Reeves run for no gain to the InWrd 35Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
82.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Kody Edwards for 11 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
82.1%
Desmond Hite run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 6
50
-3
82.0%
Desmond Hite run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 47Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+6
82.2%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Desmond Hite for 6 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
79.5%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
79.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the TexSt 15Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
79.8%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Tyler SiudzinskiSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
79.5%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Thurman MorbleySimilar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+12
79.4%
Lumi Kaba punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the InWrd 42 , Kody Edwards returns for 12 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
78.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 11 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
78.2%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
78.3%
Broderick Reeves run for 2 yds to the TexSt 45Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
78.4%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Daryl BrooksSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
78.9%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 76 yds · 2:3578% → 77%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
78.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 14 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
78.1%
Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+9
77.5%
Tyler Jones run for 9 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
77.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+39
78.4%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 39 yds to the InWrd 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
79.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
79.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the InWrd 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
78.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the InWrd 14Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+31
77.2%
James Sherman 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eric England Blake Klumpp return for no gain to the InWrd 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
75.9%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
76.0%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Jamari Gilbert, broken up by Clarence Guidry IIISimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
76.5%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+15
76.8%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 42 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 15 yds to the TexSt 33 TEXAS STATE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the TexSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:4077% → 82%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
76.9%
Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+3
77.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 5
50
+7
77.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 7 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
77.4%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 11 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
77.9%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Tyler WattsSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
77.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 3 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+17
77.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 17 yds to the InWrd 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
77.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 1 yd to the InWrd 11Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
81.7%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
78.7%
Broderick Reeves run for 4 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
78.3%
Broderick Reeves run for 3 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
78.6%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
79.2%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:1480% → 85%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+25
79.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 25 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
80.7%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 43Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+5
80.1%
Jones, Tyler sideline pass incomplete, PENALTY UIW offside (McCoy, Tim) 5 yards to the TXST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+8
80.8%
Tyler Jones run for 8 yds to the InWrd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
85.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 44 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 12FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 3:5816% → 21%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.7%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the InWrd 30Similar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+12
83.0%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 12 yds to the InWrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
82.9%
Desmond Hite run for 4 yds to the InWrd 46Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
82.5%
Desmond Hite run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 2
50
+6
82.4%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 6 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.1%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Lamont Johnson, broken up by Clarence Guidry IIISimilar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+20
82.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Desmond Hite for 20 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
81.3%
Desmond Hite run for 17 yds to the TexSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexSt 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by InWrd Trent BrittainSimilar
Q2 7:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
81.3%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Daryl Brooks for 3 yds to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.7%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Daryl Brooks, broken up by Gavin GrahamSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
79.0%
Cody Seidel 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13TD
15 plays · 79 yds · 2:5181% → 89%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
80.9%
Jones, Tyler rush over right tackle for 3 yards to the TXST24 (Jenkins, Alex;Irby, Daryl), PENALTY TXST illegal motion 5 yards to the TXST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+8
80.9%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 8 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+8
81.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 8 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
81.2%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 1 yd to the TexSt 33Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+14
81.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 14 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
82.5%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 7
50
+8
82.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 8 yds to the InWrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
82.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 10 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
82.9%
Tyler Jones sacked by Joel Higgins for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 33Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
82.2%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe SchradeSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+17
81.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 17 yds to the InWrd 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
82.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
89.0%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 16 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
87.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
87.4%
Taylor Laird pass intercepted Javante O'Roy return for no gain to the InWrd 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
88.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the InWrd 35Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
88.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the InWrd 35Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
87.9%
INCARNATEW Penalty, encroachment (Eric England) to the InWrd 30Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
87.9%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the InWrd 30Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
87.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the InWrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
88.3%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe SchradeSimilar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
88.3%
Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
87.9%
Tyler Jones sacked by John Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the InWrd 28Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 13
OPP 28
-5
86.7%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 33Similar
Q3 14:46
4TH & 18
OPP 33
0
86.6%
Lumi Kaba punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.0%
Broderick Reeves run for 6 yds to the InWrd 26Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+45
86.7%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Kody Edwards for 45 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
84.7%
Broderick Reeves run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
85.0%
Trent Brittain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
86.1%
Trent Brittain pass complete to Marquis Lawson for no gain to the TexSt 30Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 11
OPP 30
0
87.3%
Trent Brittain pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
88.0%
Stedman Mayberry run for 8 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
88.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.8%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.5%
Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
88.1%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
87.2%
Lumi Kaba punt for 41 yds , Marquis Lawson returns for no gain to the InWrd 16 Marquis Lawson fumbled, recovered by InWrd Marquis LawsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
87.2%
Broderick Reeves run for 1 yd to the InWrd 17Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-5
87.4%
Taylor Laird run for 5 yds to the InWrd 22 INCARNATEW Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the InWrd 12Similar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 14
OWN 12
0
87.5%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Daryl BrooksSimilar
Q3 7:21
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+6
88.1%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Broderick Reeves for 6 yds to the InWrd 18Similar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
88.5%
Oscar Draguicevich punt, downed at the InWrd 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20TD
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:4389% → 96%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
89.3%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the InWrd 42Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+31
89.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 31 yds to the InWrd 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.2%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
95.1%
Broderick Reeves run for 1 yd to the InWrd 27Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Taylor Laird pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+1
95.2%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Chris Thomas for 1 yd to the InWrd 28Similar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
95.2%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:0796% → 99%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
96.2%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 5 yds to the TexSt 42Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
96.3%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 1 yd to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+15
96.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Siudzinski for 15 yds to the InWrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
96.4%
Tyler Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 45Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+37
96.3%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 37 yds to the InWrd 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
96.4%
Siudzinski, T. rush over right tackle for 2 yards to the UIW6 (Zellars, Josh), PENALTY TXST illegal motion (King, Elijah) 5 yards to the UIW13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
96.4%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 7 yds to the InWrd 6Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
95.5%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Elijah King INCARNATEW Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the InWrd 6Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
96.3%
Jones, Tyler pass incomplete to Schrade, Gabe, PENALTY UIW roughing passer (Higgins, Joel) 3 yards to the UIW3, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.8%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Sherman PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:162% → 1%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.5%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Marquis Lawson, broken up by Damani AlexceeSimilar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-6
98.5%
Taylor Laird run for a loss of 6 yards to the InWrd 34 Taylor Laird fumbled, recovered by InWrd Taylor LairdSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 34
+16
98.7%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Desmond Hite for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
50
0
98.6%
Oscar Draguicevich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 65 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
98.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+2
98.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 23Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
98.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 6 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.9%
Stedman Mayberry run for no gain to the TexSt 29Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
98.8%
Tyler Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+23
98.9%
Tyler Jones pass complete to PJ Anderson for 23 yds to the InWrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
98.9%
INCARNATEW Penalty, targeting (Jawun Jiles) to the InWrd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
98.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 5 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
98.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for 4 yds to the InWrd 19Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
98.9%
Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the InWrd 19Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
98.8%
Tyler Siudzinski run for no gain to the InWrd 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 25TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 2:281% → 3%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.0%
Hite, Desmond rush over right tackle for no gain to the UIW19 (Loyd, Gabe;London, Bryan), PENALTY UIW illegal motion (Hite, Desmond) 5 yards to the UIW14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
99.0%
Desmond Hite run for 1 yd to the InWrd 15Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 14
OWN 15
+9
99.0%
Desmond Hite run for 9 yds to the InWrd 24Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+5
99.2%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 5 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
96.9%
Desmond Hite run for 71 yds for a TD, (Cody Seidel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0297% → 100%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.4%
Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
97.5%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
97.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to PJ Anderson for 7 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
97.6%
Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 40Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+4
97.6%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+10
97.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 10 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to PJ Anderson for 46 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 27MISSED FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 3:291% → 1%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
99.5%
Dorland Fields run for 8 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
99.4%
Dorland Fields run for 4 yds to the InWrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
99.4%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 13 yds to the InWrd 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.5%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 13 yds to the TEXSTATE 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.4%
Dorland Fields run for 2 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+25
99.4%
Taylor Laird pass complete to Breylann McCollum for 25 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.3%
Dorland Fields run for 4 yds to the TexSt 10Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
99.3%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Breylann McCollumSimilar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Taylor Laird pass incomplete to Breylann McCollumSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
99.5%
Cody Seidel 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jordan Eastling Jordan Eastling return for 13 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 28POSSESSION (FOR OT DRIVES)
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Eddie Printz run for 10 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
100.0%
Eddie Printz run for 10 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:43
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 11 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 0:15
Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 16 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 7:13
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 44 yds for a TD, (James Sherman KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com