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USA

South Alabama 23 at Louisiana 28

UL
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:46 · Brandon McKee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+8.0Pregame prior+2.9Garbage-time factor−0.5Score differential+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:46: Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 71 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED) — UL win probability +13.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:46: Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 38 yds for a TD, (Dylan Scheurich KICK) — UL win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:36: Gavin Patterson 23 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +15.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:05: Elijah McGuire 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UL win probability +15.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — USA win probability +18.5 pts (now 28%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6USA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 8 at UL 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:17UL 4th & 8 at USA 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:13UL 4th & 5 at UL 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:35USA 4th & 24 at USA 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:10UL 4th & 3 at USA 45, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−2.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:07USA 4th & 6 at USA 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37UL 4th & 9 at USA 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 2 at USA 7, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−1.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:21USA 4th & 5 at USA 11, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46USA 4th & 12 at UL 47, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:36USA 4th & 6 at UL 6, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−14.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:02USA 4th & 9 at UL 42, down 5
    Close callPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    29.2%−1.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:05USA 4th & 20 at USA 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:12UL 4th & 9 at UL 5, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:22UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:13USA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:46UL Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:46UL Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:50USA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:05UL Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:17USA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    14.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    14.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 10 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
57.3%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+20
57.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Grant Powell for 20 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
57.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+7
57.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+5
57.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
57.3%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
57.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-2
57.3%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+7
57.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1558% → 62%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
57.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 17 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
58.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 2
50
+3
58.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
58.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
58.3%
Raymond Calais run for 7 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
58.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 36Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-2
58.2%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 13
OPP 38
-5
57.8%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 9:37
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+28
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for 28 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
58.4%
Gary Haynes run for 2 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 9:37
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
58.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for no gain to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
61.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Michael Jacquet for 13 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.5%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the SAlab 25 Xavier Johnson fumbled, forced by Karmichael Dunbar, recovered by LaLaf Tracy WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5862% → 62%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
62.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuire, broken up by Roman BuchananSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
62.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
61.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes, broken up by Quinton DentSimilar
Q1 3:17
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
61.5%
Stevie Artigue 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:0439% → 46%
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
60.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 15 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
60.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 7 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-1
59.7%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+6
59.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
50
0
59.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 10
50
+34
59.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 34 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
58.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 10 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
58.9%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
53.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
56.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
58.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for no gain to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
57.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
56.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
55.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
56.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
55.2%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
55.7%
Dami Ayoola run for no gain to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 14
OWN 27
-10
56.3%
Dallas Davis sacked by Otha Peters for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 17 Dallas Davis fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 24
OWN 17
0
56.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 8 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-1
58.2%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
57.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael Jacquet, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
56.5%
Steven Coutts punt for 40 yds, downed at the SAlab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
54.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 9 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+1
53.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
53.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
53.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+4
54.4%
Dallas Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 24
-5
55.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
55.5%
Corliss Waitman punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:5558% → 64%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
57.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+7
58.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
58.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 14 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
59.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+4
59.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
59.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan Barnes, broken up by Quinton DentSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
59.2%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
57.8%
Jordan Wright run for no gain to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
63.5%
Stevie Artigue 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
60.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 69 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
61.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 42 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
65.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
65.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+14
64.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 14 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
65.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 19
0
64.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Gary Haynes, broken up by Kalen JacksonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+12
62.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 12 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+1
62.6%
Jalen Nixon run for 1 yd to the SAlab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
61.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+3
61.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 11
0
62.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone WilliamsSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 5
OWN 11
+7
63.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 67 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:5362% → 75%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
61.8%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+71
75.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 71 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.9%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, 0S (Jordan Wright) to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
73.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 7 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
71.8%
Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
72.5%
Davis, Dallas sideline pass complete to Everett, Gerald for 8 yards to the USA49 (Peters, Otha;Thomas, Simeon), PENALTY USA illegal block (Williams,Curtis) 10 yards to the USA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 20
OWN 31
+24
73.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 24 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
70.9%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
72.1%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
73.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam HarrisSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
74.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:2579% → 91%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
79.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 17 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
79.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 14 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
81.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
91.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 38 yds for a TD, (Dylan Scheurich KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5613% → 23%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
87.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 7 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-5
86.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Steven Foster) to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+31
86.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 31 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
85.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+18
85.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 18 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
84.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
84.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
77.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Grant Powell for 18 yds for a TD, (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.0%
Raymond Calais run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
82.8%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Neiko Robinson return for 8 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3124% → 38%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
75.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+8
75.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
75.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
76.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
77.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 13:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
62.5%
Gavin Patterson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
71.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+4
70.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Nick Byrne for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+14
69.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 14 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
71.9%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Jeremy Reaves return for no gain to the SAlab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
65.0%
Davis, Dallas middle pass incomplete to Williams,Tyrone, PENALTY UL pass interference (Lightfoot, Tre'maine) 15 yards to the USA47, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
61.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
50
+7
60.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Sam Harris for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
60.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
60.9%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
62.6%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:02
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
65.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 2:0476% → 92%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
75.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 9 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+3
76.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
76.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
76.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+68
91.7%
Elijah McGuire 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:0010% → 8%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
89.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 4 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
89.1%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete, broken up by Otha PetersSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+11
90.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 11 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
88.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sa'Mory Collier, broken up by Damar'ren MitchellSimilar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
88.9%
Dallas Davis sacked by Kevon Perry for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 20
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to James Bynes, broken up by Otha PetersSimilar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 20
OWN 35
-10
91.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 51 yds , Gary Haynes returns for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5893% → 94%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
92.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+1
92.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 10
-5
93.8%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 9
OWN 5
0
94.0%
Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:498% → 28%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
50
+34
91.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Quinton Lane for 34 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
90.6%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+11
72.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:5487% → 96%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+22
86.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 22 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
89.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 24 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
89.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-1
89.6%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 25
-5
95.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:17
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 11 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18.5
TD · Q4 7:05
Elijah McGuire 68 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+15.4
FG · Q4 13:36
Gavin Patterson 23 yd FG GOOD
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com