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MCN

McNeese 22 at Louisiana 30

UL
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-7UL 54.1%Trent Manuel 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 15 - HOME 14 · Q3 9:31
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:31 · Trent Manuel 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Home team on offense−4.8Pregame prior+6.3Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:30: Dylan Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MCN win probability +8.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MCN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 9:31: Trent Manuel 28 yd FG GOOD — MCN win probability +7.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: MCN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:18: Raymond Calais 7 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick) — UL win probability +13.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: Anthony Jennings 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UL win probability +10.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:12: Dylan Long run for 3 yds for a TD, (Trent Manuel KICK) — MCN win probability +8.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: MCN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 6MCN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 8:33UL 4th & 1 at MCN 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    62.3%−0.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:11MCN 4th & 11 at UL 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    35.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:13UL 4th & 4 at UL 19, up 4
    Close callPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:36MCN 4th & 13 at UL 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:30MCN 4th & 1 at UL 1, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−10.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00UL 4th & 7 at UL 11, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:31MCN 4th & 2 at UL 11, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%−1.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    27.7%−10.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:18MCN 4th & 13 at MCN 9, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:02MCN 4th & 10 at MCN 34, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:25UL 4th & 22 at MCN 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−2.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MCN 4th & 17 at UL 45, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:01UL 4th & 1 at MCN 1, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−5.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01MCN 4th & 22 at MCN 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:13UL 4th & 7 at UL 45, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:11MCN 4th & 1 at MCN 39, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MCN made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 4:11UL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:14UL Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:30MCN Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:18UL Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:02UL Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:12MCN Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.1%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MCNDrive 1FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:2735% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.5%
Ryan Ross run for 1 yd to the McNSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
65.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Parker Orgeron for 12 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
65.5%
Ryan Ross run for 1 yd to the McNSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
65.5%
James Tabary pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+16
65.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 16 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
65.5%
Ryan Ross run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 23 MCNEESE ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ryan Ross) to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 3
OPP 38
+5
65.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Darious Crawley for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
65.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 19 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
65.5%
Ryan Ross run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+10
64.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Darious Crawley for 10 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
64.5%
Ryan Ross run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
64.7%
Dylan Long run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-12
64.9%
James Tabary sacked by Trev Miller for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
64.6%
Trent Manuel 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
64.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
64.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+9
63.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 9 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
64.2%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+15
63.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
64.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 9 yds to the McNSt 42Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+3
64.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the McNSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
64.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
64.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 5 yds to the McNSt 34Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
64.7%
Jordan Wright run for 4 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-2
64.4%
Jalen Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -15 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
62.9%
Ryan Ross run for 6 yds to the McNSt 38Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-6
62.5%
Grant Ashcraft run for a loss of 6 yards to the McNSt 17 Grant Ashcraft fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Jarvis JeffriesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
67.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 17 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
64.8%
Ryan Ross run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
64.3%
Ryan Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+2
64.9%
Grant Ashcraft pass complete to Ryan Ross for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
64.9%
Grant Ashcraft pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
65.6%
Michael Mack punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
66.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
65.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
65.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
65.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kent Shelby at the McNSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 7FG
16 plays · 35 yds · 6:0136% → 36%
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
64.1%
Grant Ashcraft pass complete to Kylon Highshaw for 10 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
63.6%
Justin Pratt run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
63.5%
Justin Pratt run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
63.6%
Grant Ashcraft pass incomplete to Kylon Highshaw, broken up by Mario OsborneSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+5
64.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
63.5%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+8
63.5%
Grant Ashcraft pass complete to Damon Gladney for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 28
-5
63.4%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+8
63.7%
Grant Ashcraft pass complete to Nick Edwards for 8 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
62.7%
Dylan Long run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
63.0%
Grant Ashcraft pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+7
63.9%
Ashcraft, Grant sideline pass incomplete to Shelby, Kent, PENALTY UL pass interference (Goodlett, Christian) 7 yards to the UL20, 1ST DOWN MCN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-11
62.7%
Grant Ashcraft sacked by Trev Miller for a loss of 11 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 25
OPP 35
0
63.6%
Grant Ashcraft pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 25
OPP 35
+12
64.6%
Ryan Ross run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
64.1%
Trent Manuel 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 3:2265% → 74%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
64.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-5
65.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+11
64.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 11 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
64.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
65.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
66.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 36 yds to the McNSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
67.1%
Jordan Wright run for 6 yds to the McNSt 14Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
67.1%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the McNSt 11Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
66.4%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the McNSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
67.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 5 yds to the McNSt 3Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 3 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4427% → 39%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
72.6%
Ryan Ross run for 13 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
71.6%
James Tabary pass complete to Zach Hetrick for 6 yds to the McNSt 44Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+7
70.8%
Ryan Ross run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
70.4%
James Tabary pass complete to Nick Edwards for 13 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
70.2%
Justin Pratt run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-1
68.9%
Justin Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+9
70.4%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
68.9%
Ryan Ross run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+11
68.9%
James Tabary pass complete to Austin Nelson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
68.9%
Ryan Ross run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
68.9%
Lawayne Ross run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.9%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Kent Shelby, broken up by Christian GoodlettSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.0%
Dylan Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
65.2%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+4
65.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-4
65.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jammerio Gross-Whitaker for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+7
63.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
63.4%
Steven Coutts punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kent Shelby at the McNSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 12FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:2438% → 46%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
62.0%
Ryan Ross run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 3
OPP 49
-12
60.8%
James Tabary sacked by Trey Granier for a loss of 12 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE 39 MCNEESE ST Penalty, intentional grounding (James Tabary) to the McNSt 39Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+16
64.7%
James Tabary run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
61.2%
Lawayne Ross run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
61.2%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Austin NelsonSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+25
62.0%
James Tabary pass complete to Parker Orgeron for 25 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
59.8%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Justin PrattSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
60.1%
Ryan Ross run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+4
61.1%
James Tabary pass complete to Parker Orgeron for 4 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+28
54.1%
Trent Manuel 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:1359% → 76%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
58.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+29
60.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 29 yds to the McNSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
62.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 3 yds to the McNSt 22Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+12
62.7%
Darius Hoggins run for 12 yds to the McNSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
62.7%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 3 yds to the McNSt 7Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.3%
Raymond Calais 7 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
70.9%
Ryan Ross run for 1 yd to the McNSt 13Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-8
71.2%
James Tabary pass complete to James Tabary for a loss of 8 yards to the McNSt 5Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 17
OWN 5
+4
72.8%
Ryan Ross run for 4 yds to the McNSt 9Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 13
OWN 9
+41
73.5%
Michael Mack punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaLaf 40 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Trey Granier) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:5177% → 88%
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
50
+42
76.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 34 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 16 for a 1ST down MCNEESE ST Penalty, roughing passer (Christian Jacobs) to the McNSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
77.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the McNSt 5Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
88.2%
Anthony Jennings 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0014% → 18%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
85.6%
Darious Crawley run for 11 yds to the McNSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+6
86.1%
Michael Mack punt for 35 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
85.0%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Nick EdwardsSimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
85.9%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Kent ShelbySimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
81.9%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the McNSt 34 MCNEESE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the McNSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:1888% → 87%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
88.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
88.6%
Anthony Jennings run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
88.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 19 yds to the McNSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-8
89.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Ja'Marcus Bradley for 7 yds to the McNSt 25 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, personal foul (Eddie Gordon) to the McNSt 40Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 18
OPP 40
0
88.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+1
88.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the McNSt 39Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 17
OPP 39
-5
87.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the McNSt 44Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 22
OPP 44
0
87.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 27 yds, downed at the McNSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:2114% → 14%
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
85.7%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 10 yds to the McNSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
85.2%
Ryan Ross run for 6 yds to the McNSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
84.1%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 3 yds to the McNSt 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+9
84.2%
Ryan Ross run for 9 yds to the McNSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
83.7%
Ryan Ross run for no gain to the McNSt 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
84.0%
James Tabary pass complete to Parker Orgeron for 17 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
82.4%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
82.6%
Justin Pratt run for no gain to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-7
83.5%
James Tabary sacked by Trev Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
86.0%
Michael Mack punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
17 plays · 81 yds · 5:3693% → 97%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
92.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
93.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
93.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the McNSt 47Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
93.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 13 yds to the McNSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
93.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 12 yds to the McNSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
93.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 11 yds to the McNSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 4 yds to the McNSt 7Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+1
93.5%
Jordan Wright run for 1 yd to the McNSt 6Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+4
93.4%
Jennings, Anthony sideline pass intercepted by Morgan, Damion at the MCN0, Morgan, Damion return to the MCN0, PENALTY MCN pass interference (Thomas, Khalil) 4 yards to the MCN2, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
93.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Grant Horst) to the McNSt 7Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
93.5%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the McNSt 3Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the McNSt 1Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.3%
Elijah McGuire run for no gain to the McNSt 1Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+17
97.1%
Stevie Artigue 17 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Zach HetrickSimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
96.6%
James Tabary pass complete to Kent Shelby for 18 yds to the McNSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.2%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Kent ShelbySimilar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
96.2%
James Tabary pass complete to Ryan Ross for 5 yds to the McNSt 48 MCNEESE ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ryan Ross) to the McNSt 33Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 20
OWN 33
-2
96.7%
James Tabary sacked by Joe Dillon for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 31Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 22
OWN 31
+1
96.7%
Michael Mack punt for 28 yds , Gary Haynes returns for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
98.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Gary HaynesSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.1%
Jordan Wright run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q4 3:13
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
98.1%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Ja'Marcus BradleySimilar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Steven Coutts punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Darious Crawley at the McNSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 22TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 1:593% → 12%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.5%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
97.6%
James Tabary pass complete to Ryan Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 19Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+11
97.7%
James Tabary pass complete to Ryan Ross for 11 yds to the McNSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.4%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Kylon HighshawSimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.5%
James Tabary pass complete to Ryan Ross for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 28Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+11
97.6%
James Tabary pass complete to Ryan Ross for 11 yds to the McNSt 39Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+3
97.4%
James Tabary pass complete to Parker Orgeron for 3 yds to the McNSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.4%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
97.4%
Tabary, James sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MCN35 (Perry, Kevon), PENALTY UL personal foul (Miller, Trevara) 15 yards to the UL43, 1ST DOWN MCN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
97.3%
James Tabary pass complete to Damon Gladney for 10 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.9%
James Tabary pass complete to Zach Hetrick for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+25
96.7%
James Tabary pass complete to Kylon Highshaw for 25 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.9%
James Tabary pass incomplete to Kylon Highshaw, broken up by Tracy WalkerSimilar
Q4 0:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.2%
Dylan Long run for 3 yds for a TD, (Trent Manuel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:18
Raymond Calais 7 Yd Run (Stevie Artigue Kick)
+13.7
TD · Q3 4:02
Anthony Jennings 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+10.8
TD · Q2 0:30
Dylan Long run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com