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GASO

Georgia Southern 24 at South Alabama 9

USA
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Ladd Peebles Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:51 · Dallas Davis run for no gain to the GeoSo 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior−14.6Home team on offense−12.8Score differential−6.0Garbage-time factor−4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:30: Younghoe Koo 28 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +2.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:11: Gavin Patterson 23 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +3.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Gavin Patterson kickoff for 62 yds , Montay Crockett return for 24 yds to the GeoSo 27 — USA win probability +7.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:10: Wesley Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +7.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:11: Kevin Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK) — GASO win probability +8.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 5
  1. Q1 11:37USA 4th & 7 at GASO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:30GASO 4th & 4 at USA 11, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30USA 4th & 10 at USA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:22USA 4th & 10 at GASO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 10 at USA 34, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    74.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:11USA 4th & 6 at GASO 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:51USA 4th & 4 at GASO 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:38USA 4th & 17 at GASO 34, down 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:11USA 4th & 5 at USA 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:47GASO 4th & 3 at USA 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:54USA 4th & 9 at GASO 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:54GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, up 15
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:41USA 4th & 5 at GASO 29, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:35GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 43, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:29USA 4th & 10 at USA 34, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:22GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:10GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:11GASO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:2318% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Maaseiah Francis for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
17.5%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for no gain to the SAlab 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+37
17.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 37 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
17.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
17.5%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
19.3%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
19.5%
Gavin Patterson 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:0781% → 78%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
19.3%
Matt Breida run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+7
19.2%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 7 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
19.2%
Favian Upshaw run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
50
+4
19.2%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
19.2%
Matt Breida run for 6 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-10
19.1%
F. Upshaw rush for 8 yards to the USA25 (Buchanan, Roman), PENALTY GS holding (C. Rainey) 10 yards to the USA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+2
19.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+24
19.3%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Wesley Fields for 24 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
19.1%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
19.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+4
19.2%
Wesley Fields run for 4 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
21.7%
Younghoe Koo 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
22.3%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
22.2%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
21.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyreis ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
21.7%
Corliss Waitman punt for 18 yds, downed at the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4378% → 81%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
21.6%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+10
21.6%
Kevin Ellison pass complete to Montay Crockett for 10 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
21.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+11
21.8%
Kevin Ellison run for 11 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+9
21.3%
Wesley Fields run for 9 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
21.3%
Favian Upshaw run for 17 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.3%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
21.3%
Wesley Fields run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1 Wesley Fields fumbled, forced by Darrell Songy,Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
20.3%
Xavier Johnson run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, tripping (Joshua Moon) to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
21.5%
Xavier Johnson run for no gain to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
21.3%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
20.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
20.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 45 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6DOWNS
15 plays · 65 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
20.8%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+14
20.9%
Favian Upshaw run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
20.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+1
20.7%
Matt Breida run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 13
+12
20.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+7
20.4%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
20.1%
Wesley Fields run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-2
20.1%
Wesley Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+23
20.8%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Obe Fortune for 8 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (Randy Allen) to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
19.5%
Wesley Fields run for 11 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
19.4%
L.A. Ramsby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
19.3%
L.A. Ramsby run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-5
19.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-3
19.6%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
20.2%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to L.A. RamsbySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7FG
18 plays · 60 yds · 6:4122% → 27%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
21.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 7 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-1
22.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+5
21.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 5 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
22.6%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
22.0%
Dallas Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+25
21.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 25 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
23.9%
Dami Ayoola run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
23.9%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
25.2%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 17 Tyreis Thomas fumbled, forced by Jonathan Battle Jr., recovered by SAlab Tyreis ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
25.2%
Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
24.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
25.7%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
25.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 3 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
24.8%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
27.0%
Gavin Patterson 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8END OF HALF
10 plays · 63 yds · 0:3375% → 77%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
25.3%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremy ReavesSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
25.7%
Favian Upshaw run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.0%
Favian Upshaw pass incomplete to Montay CrockettSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
24.1%
Favian Upshaw run for 7 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+13
23.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 13 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
22.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 36Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+31
23.6%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 31 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
22.6%
Favian Upshaw run for 2 yds to the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:5073% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
27.1%
Kevin Ellison run for 25 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
25.2%
Matt Breida run for 7 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
25.0%
Matt Breida run for 4 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
25.2%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+2
24.4%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
24.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Andy Kwon) to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 31
-2
24.8%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 33 Kevin Ellison fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Matt BreidaSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 33
+25
25.4%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to BJ Johnson III for 25 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
24.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 3 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.9%
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:1918% → 18%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.4%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
18.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
18.6%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+29
18.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 29 yds Gerald Everett fumbled, forced by Ukeme Eligwe, recovered by SAlab Gerald Everett for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
21.4%
Dallas Davis run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+5
21.4%
Tyreis Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
18.7%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Sam Harris, broken up by Ironhead GallonSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 4
OPP 29
0
17.6%
Dallas Davis run for no gain to the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0084% → 85%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
16.4%
Favian Upshaw run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-5
16.2%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+32
17.1%
Favian Upshaw pass complete to Montay Crockett for 32 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
15.2%
L.A. Ramsby run for 1 yd to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
15.3%
Wesley Fields run for no gain to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+23
15.4%
Favian Upshaw sacked by Randy Allen for a loss of 10 yards to the GeoSo 27 Favian Upshaw fumbled, recovered by SAlab Sean Grayer , return for 0 yards , return for 23 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0019% → 15%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
19.2%
Dallas Davis run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 2
OPP 19
-5
19.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Curtis Williams) to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
19.2%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Dami AyoolaSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 0
-15
14.1%
Davis, Dallas sacked for loss of 3 yards to the GS27 (L. Hunt), PENALTY GS offside defense (T. Griffin) 5 yards to the GS19, NO PLAY, PENALTY USA unsportsmanlike conduct (Foster, Steven) 15 yards to the GS34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 17
OPP 34
0
16.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 17
OPP 34
0
15.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone Williams, broken up by Darius Jones Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 4:0784% → 96%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
16.0%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+17
15.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 2 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sean Brown) to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
14.5%
Kevin Ellison run for 9 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
14.3%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the SAlab 38Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+2
14.5%
Matt Breida run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
14.5%
Wesley Fields run for 11 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
12.5%
Kevin Ellison run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 12
OPP 27
+27
3.6%
Kevin Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
5.6%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 4 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
5.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
5.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Montay Crockett at the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 37 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
3.8%
Favian Upshaw run for 31 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
3.4%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 7
OPP 41
-4
3.5%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+8
3.5%
Favian Upshaw run for 8 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 12:47
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-1
3.9%
Favian Upshaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:064% → 6%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+31
4.1%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Gerald Everett for 31 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
4.8%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Steve McKenzie) to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 18
OPP 39
+23
4.3%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 23 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
4.9%
Deonta Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+2
4.7%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
4.6%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
5.8%
Gavin Patterson 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Kevin Ellison run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
4.7%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
4.7%
Kevin Ellison run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
4.5%
Matt Flynn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 44 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
4.4%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
4.4%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 8 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 27
-1
4.5%
Dallas Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+5
4.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense (Jonathan Battle Jr.) to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
4.5%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyrone Williams for 9 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
4.9%
Dallas Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
4.9%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
4.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 20 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
5.6%
Deonta Moore run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
5.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Quinton Dent, broken up by RJ MurraySimilar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
5.6%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-8
5.3%
Dallas Davis sacked by Ryan George and Bernard Dawson for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q4 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.4%
Wesley Fields run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
2.3%
Matt Breida run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
1.8%
Matt Breida run for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
1.7%
Matt Flynn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dami Ayoola at the SAlab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20INT
10 plays · 71 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
0.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 11 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
0.8%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Tyrone WilliamsSimilar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+12
0.8%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 12 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
0.9%
Dallas Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+8
0.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+37
0.9%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Jordan McCray for 37 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
1.1%
Dallas Davis pass intercepted, touchback. Jessie Liptrot return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
1.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:11
Kevin Ellison run for 27 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
-8.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
Gavin Patterson kickoff for 62 yds , Montay Crockett return for 24 yds to the GeoSo 27
+7.8
TD · Q3 11:10
Wesley Fields run for 5 yds for a TD, (Younghoe Koo KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com