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MTST

Montana State 17 at Idaho 20

IDHO
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadMTST aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreMTST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+5.1IDHO 80.4%Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 20 · Q2 8:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:09 · Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense+8.6Garbage-time factor+2.7Score differential+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +2.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:09: Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOOD — IDHO win probability +5.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:40: Devon Tandberg 33 yd FG GOOD — MTST win probability +3.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:22: Chad Newell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK) — MTST win probability +15.1 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:30: Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 14 yds to the MntSt 16 for a 1ST down — MTST win probability +8.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: MTST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MTST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:38IDHO 4th & 7 at MTST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27MTST 4th & 2 at IDHO 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:28MTST 4th & 12 at MTST 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:40IDHO 4th & 3 at MTST 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:07MTST 4th & 13 at MTST 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:09IDHO 4th & 9 at MTST 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:14MTST 4th & 2 at IDHO 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:03MTST 4th & 10 at IDHO 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:40MTST 4th & 8 at IDHO 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−3.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:40IDHO 4th & 8 at IDHO 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:45IDHO 4th & 12 at IDHO 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−1.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:47MTST 4th & 3 at MTST 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:21IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:34MTST 4th & 1 at MTST 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%−3.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:32IDHO 4th & 10 at IDHO 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−4.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:57MTST 4th & 1 at IDHO 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.6%−4.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−7.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:50MTST 4th & 11 at MTST 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:21IDHO 4th & 1 at MTST 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−7.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    49.4%−26.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:14MTST 4th & 15 at MTST 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MTST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:17MTST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:38IDHO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:04IDHO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:22MTST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:1371% → 71%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
70.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 36 yds to the MntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
70.7%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
70.7%
Isaiah Saunders run for 3 yds to the MntSt 26Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
70.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Trent CowanSimilar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
70.7%
Austin Rehkow 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 2TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1329% → 32%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
70.7%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 24 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
70.5%
Nick LaSane run for 5 yds to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
70.4%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Justin PaigeSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+5
70.5%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Austin Barth for 5 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
70.3%
MONTANA ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 15
OPP 46
+7
70.4%
Chad Newell run for 7 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
70.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell HerbertSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+6
70.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 6 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+4
70.3%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 4 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
69.8%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 5 yds to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
69.6%
Nick LaSane run for 1 yd to the Idaho 23Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+11
69.8%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 11 yds to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 12 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:2769% → 71%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
68.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+31
68.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 31 yds to the MntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
70.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 43 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 4INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:5130% → 31%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
70.3%
Chad Newell run for 7 yds to the MntSt 28Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+6
70.0%
Chad Newell run for 6 yds to the MntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
70.0%
Chad Newell run for 9 yds to the MntSt 43Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+6
69.5%
Chad Newell run for 6 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
69.4%
Tyler Bruggman pass intercepted Russell Siavii return for 30 yds to the MntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0571% → 74%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
71.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 5 yds to the MntSt 19Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+17
71.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 17 yds to the MntSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
71.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd to the MntSt 1Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:1928% → 26%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
72.4%
Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 16Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+5
73.0%
Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
73.1%
Chad Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 20Similar
Q1 1:45
2ND & 11
OWN 20
-5
73.3%
MONTANA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MntSt 15Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+4
73.5%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Nick LaSane for 4 yds to the MntSt 19Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 12
OWN 19
0
74.1%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 12
OWN 19
+3
74.4%
Jered Padmos punt for 39 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 3 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3074% → 74%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.4%
Callen Hightower run for 3 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
74.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the MntSt 48Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 48
0
74.0%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
73.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2327% → 25%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
72.8%
Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 48Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-3
73.0%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for a loss of 3 yards to the MntSt 45Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
73.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
74.9%
Jered Padmos punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Idaho 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:5174% → 80%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
74.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Callen Hightower for 11 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.1%
Denzal Brantley run for 8 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
74.9%
Denzal Brantley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
50
+3
75.0%
Matt Linehan run for 3 yds to the MntSt 47Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
75.1%
Denzal Brantley run for 8 yds to the MntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
75.3%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds to the MntSt 32Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+14
75.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Trent Cowan for 14 yds to the MntSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
75.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the MntSt 18Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
75.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+1
75.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 1 yd to the MntSt 17Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+34
80.4%
Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:0621% → 19%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
79.5%
Chad Newell run for 13 yds to the MntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
79.4%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+25
79.6%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 25 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
79.0%
Mitchell Herbert run for a loss of 10 yards to the Idaho 47Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 20
OPP 47
+13
80.0%
Chris Murray run for 13 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
79.4%
Chris Murray pass complete to Justin Paige for 5 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+5
79.8%
Chris Murray run for 5 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.5%
Chris Murray run for no gain to the Idaho 24Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
78.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
79.8%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:03
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
81.0%
Devon Tandberg 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
82.5%
Aaron Duckworth run for 7 yds to the Idaho 31 Aaron Duckworth fumbled, recovered by MntSt Grant CollinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 12FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4421% → 23%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
79.1%
Chad Newell run for 13 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
78.9%
Chad Newell run for 8 yds to the Idaho 10Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
-6
79.1%
Chris Murray run for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
80.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell HerbertSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
76.6%
Devon Tandberg 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:4078% → 77%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
78.1%
Matt Linehan run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.9%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
78.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
77.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
76.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 44 yds, downed at the MntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.2%
Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 15TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 4:4722% → 38%
Q3 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
77.9%
Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 24Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
78.9%
Jayshawn Gates run for no gain to the MntSt 24Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+6
80.0%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 6 yds to the MntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
79.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Chad Newell for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
50
+3
77.7%
Chad Newell run for 3 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
77.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Mitchell HerbertSimilar
Q3 11:11
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+7
78.4%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 7 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
77.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to John D'Agostino for 23 yds to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
76.6%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to John D'AgostinoSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
76.8%
Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+4
77.8%
Chad Newell run for 4 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-4
79.4%
MONTANA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-4 Yards) to the Idaho 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
77.6%
Chad Newell run for 9 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.5%
Chad Newell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:1569% → 68%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+29
69.1%
Isaiah Saunders run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
50
0
72.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
50
0
71.5%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 10
50
-2
69.7%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 48Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
67.7%
Austin Rehkow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Khari Garcia at the MntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:3832% → 31%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
67.9%
Nick LaSane run for no gain to the MntSt 7Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+14
68.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Nick LaSane for 14 yds to the MntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
67.2%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+7
67.5%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Mitchell Herbert for 7 yds to the MntSt 28Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
67.3%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
69.3%
Jered Padmos punt for 40 yds, downed at the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2169% → 67%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
69.4%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.0%
Denzal Brantley run for 4 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
67.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ben Folsom at the MntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2632% → 30%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
67.6%
Chad Newell run for 5 yds to the MntSt 26Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
66.6%
Chad Newell run for 4 yds to the MntSt 30Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
67.7%
Chad Newell run for no gain to the MntSt 30Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
69.7%
Jered Padmos punt for 38 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for no gain to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2869% → 66%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
68.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 2 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
68.7%
IDAHO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
68.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+3
66.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 0:32
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
65.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 27 yds, downed at the MntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:0435% → 34%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
65.5%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 1 yd to the MntSt 42Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
66.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Chad Newell for 7 yds to the MntSt 49Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+10
65.1%
IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
64.2%
Nick LaSane run for 4 yds to the Idaho 37Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+3
63.7%
Nick LaSane run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+2
63.9%
Chad Newell run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
65.8%
Chris Murray run for no gain to the Idaho 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:4873% → 78%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
72.6%
Denzal Brantley run for 9 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
75.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Callen HightowerSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
73.8%
Denzal Brantley run for 3 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
75.6%
Matt Linehan run for 13 yds to the MntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
76.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Alfonso Onunwor for 12 yds to the MntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
77.5%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Tre'von Strong return for no gain to the MntSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:4030% → 28%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
69.6%
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 14 yds to the MntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
68.5%
Chad Newell run for 1 yd to the MntSt 17Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
68.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-2
70.9%
Tyler Bruggman sacked by Tony Lashley for a loss of 2 yards to the MntSt 15Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 11
OWN 15
+8
71.9%
Jered Padmos punt for 37 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for 8 yds to the MntSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:0977% → 75%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+27
76.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 27 yds to the MntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
77.6%
Aaron Duckworth run for no gain to the MntSt 17Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
78.8%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the MntSt 14Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+6
77.4%
Matt Linehan run for 6 yds to the MntSt 8Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-1
75.0%
Isaiah Saunders run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4631% → 26%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-5
69.0%
Tyler Bruggman run for a loss of 5 yards to the MntSt 4 Tyler Bruggman fumbled, recovered by MntSt Tyler BruggmanSimilar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 15
OWN 4
0
69.6%
Tyler Bruggman pass incomplete to Justin PaigeSimilar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 15
OWN 4
0
72.9%
Tyler Bruggman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:14
4TH & 15
OWN 4
0
74.0%
Jered Padmos punt for 49 yds , Alfonso Onunwor returns for no gain to the Idaho 4 IDAHO Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Idaho 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:5980% → 95%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
80.3%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
82.0%
Aaron Duckworth run for 8 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
87.7%
Aaron Duckworth run for 4 yds to the IDAHO 48 IDAHO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 42Similar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 16
OWN 42
+5
85.8%
MONTANA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (5 Yards) to the Idaho 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
86.9%
Aaron Duckworth run for 12 yds to the MntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
90.3%
Isaiah Saunders run for 2 yds to the MntSt 39Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-1
91.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 40Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+1
95.1%
TEAM run for 1 yd to the MntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:22
Chad Newell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Devon Tandberg KICK)
-15.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:30
Tyler Bruggman pass complete to Justin Paige for 14 yds to the MntSt 16 for a 1ST down
-8
FG · Q2 8:09
Austin Rehkow 34 yd FG GOOD
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com