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MIA

Miami 35 at Georgia Tech 21

GT
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Justin Vogel punt for 55 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 17 yds to the GTech 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Home team on offense−16.3Pregame prior−9.0Score differential−8.1Garbage-time factor−3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:42: M. Walton run for 14 yds for a TD, (M. Badgley KICK), (M. Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +8.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:04: Joe Jackson 18 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Badgley Kick) — MIA win probability +7.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:01: Dedrick Mills 1 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +13.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:28: Stacy Coley 31 Yd pass from Brad Kaaya (Michael Badgley Kick) — MIA win probability +13.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:57: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 48 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down — MIA win probability +8.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00GT 4th & 22 at GT 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:54MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:20GT 4th & 15 at MIA 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    43.8%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:04GT 4th & 2 at MIA 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00MIA 4th & 2 at MIA 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:52GT 4th & 5 at GT 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:12MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:28GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00MIA 4th & 8 at GT 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:10GT 4th & 1 at MIA 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−2.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:10GT 4th & 3 at MIA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:31MIA 4th & 20 at GT 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:35GT 4th & 4 at GT 11, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:04MIA 4th & 14 at MIA 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:44GT 4th & 10 at MIA 39, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:17MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:42MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:04MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47GT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:01GT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:28MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
32.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
32.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+12
32.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
32.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-15
32.7%
Lynch, C. rush for 10 yards to the UM41 (Redwine,S.), PENALTY GT illegal block (Bryan, W.) 15 yards to the GT34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 25
OWN 34
+3
32.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Mikell Lands-Davis for 3 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 37
+5
32.7%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 53 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 5 yds to the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:5365% → 68%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
35.1%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
35.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 9 yds to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
35.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 25 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
34.5%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+8
34.5%
Mark Walton run for 8 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
34.5%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+13
34.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Joseph Yearby for 13 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
32.2%
Joseph Yearby run for 27 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:2333% → 41%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 7 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
33.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
34.2%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+9
34.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
34.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+11
34.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to J.J. Green for 11 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
34.5%
Isiah Willis run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 14Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
34.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
34.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
41.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 7 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.9%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
38.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Christopher Herndon IVSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
38.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Mark WaltonSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
Justin Vogel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:0839% → 40%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
39.3%
J.J. Green run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
50
+2
40.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+8
40.8%
J.J. Green run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
40.9%
Thomas, J. pass complete to Green, J. for 30 yards to the UM10, PENALTY GT holding (Burden, F.) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:28
1ST & 20
50
+3
39.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+10
41.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Lynn Griffin for 10 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-8
42.0%
Justin Thomas sacked by Michael Pinckney for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
39.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 3:1161% → 72%
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
39.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
39.2%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+6
38.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
38.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
37.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
37.3%
Gus Edwards run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+11
37.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 11 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
36.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 12 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
36.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Desmond Branch) to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
28.0%
M. Walton run for 14 yds for a TD, (M. Badgley KICK), (M. Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:4623% → 16%
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.4%
J.J. Green run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-18
16.1%
Joe Jackson 18 Yd Fumble Return (Michael Badgley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1716% → 19%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 2 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+33
16.1%
Clinton Lynch run for 33 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
17.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
17.5%
Lynn Griffin run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+2
17.7%
Lynn Griffin run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+5
17.4%
Qua Searcy run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
18.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 14 yds to the MiaFl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
19.0%
Dedrick Mills 9 Yd pass from Justin Thomas (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.3%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
20.5%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
20.7%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
20.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 7 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+17
21.2%
Justin Vogel punt for 55 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 17 yds to the GTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
20.2%
J.J. Green run for 8 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
20.2%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad Stewart, broken up by Michael PinckneySimilar
Q3 12:52
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
19.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
18.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 3
OWN 29
0
17.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
18.4%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
18.8%
Justin Vogel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 5:2019% → 36%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
19.4%
Dedrick Mills run for 12 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
21.0%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+13
19.9%
Dedrick Mills run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
21.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
21.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+12
21.8%
Lynn Griffin run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+4
21.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, offside defense (Joe Jackson) to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q3 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
35.5%
Dedrick Mills 1 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3373% → 88%
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
26.9%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
27.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 12 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+31
25.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 31 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
11.7%
Stacy Coley 31 Yd pass from Brad Kaaya (Michael Badgley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.7%
Justin Thomas sacked by Trent Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 24Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
14.5%
Qua Searcy run for 6 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
14.7%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 3:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
14.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:1388% → 89%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+22
11.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 22 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
10.8%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-1
10.2%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
10.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Mark WaltonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
11.4%
Justin Vogel punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+27
12.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 27 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
14.7%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-4
14.8%
Justin Thomas sacked by Joe Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 46 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTech Freddie Burden , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+13
13.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 13 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+5
15.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
15.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Corn ElderSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
15.5%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+2
15.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 3
OPP 21
0
14.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Clinton Lynch, broken up by Rayshawn JenkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 1:2694% → 95%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+48
6.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 48 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
5.7%
Gus Edwards run for 4 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 6
OPP 27
-9
4.4%
Edwards,G. rush for 6 yards to the GT21, PENALTY UM illegal block (Njoku,D.) 9 yards to the GT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 15
OPP 36
-21
4.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-21 Yards) to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 36
OWN 43
+3
4.5%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 33
OWN 46
+13
4.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for 13 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 20
OPP 41
0
4.8%
Justin Vogel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
5.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Qua Searcy) to the GTech 3Similar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+5
5.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 5 yds to the GTech 8Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
5.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Mikell Lands-DavisSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+3
5.1%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the GTech 11Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
5.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the GTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:1197% → 97%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
3.1%
Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+1
2.9%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
2.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Stacy ColeySimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 9
OPP 47
-5
2.9%
MIAMI FL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 14
OWN 48
+26
3.0%
Justin Vogel punt for 41 yds , Brad Stewart returns for 26 yds to the GTech 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
3.2%
Justin Thomas run for 11 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
3.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 6 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+7
3.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Ricky Jeune for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
3.5%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky JeuneSimilar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
3.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Adrian ColbertSimilar
Q4 3:44
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
3.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete, broken up by Malcolm LewisSimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 10
OPP 39
+2
3.3%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Michael Pinckney return for 2 yds to the MiaFl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5198% → 98%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
2.2%
Mark Walton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
2.1%
Mark Walton run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
1.6%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
1.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:01
Dedrick Mills 1 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
+13.7
TD · Q3 3:28
Stacy Coley 31 Yd pass from Brad Kaaya (Michael Badgley Kick)
-13.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:57
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 48 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down
-8.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com