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MIA

Miami 45 at App State 10

APP
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:46 · Bentlee Critcher punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Home team on offense−16.0Score differential−8.6Pregame prior−11.9Garbage-time factor−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:46: Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +2.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:21: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 55 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +6.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:53: Michael Badgley 44 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +1.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:41: Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK) — APP win probability +8.2 pts (now 20%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:50: Joseph Yearby run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK) — MIA win probability +7.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 10 of 11MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:00APP 4th & 4 at APP 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52APP 4th & 26 at APP 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55APP 4th & 5 at APP 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13APP 4th & 1 at APP 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.0%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:53MIA 4th & 10 at APP 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    75.3%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:46APP 4th & 10 at APP 35, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 36, up 24
    Close callPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:02APP 4th & 14 at MIA 14, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:52MIA 4th & 24 at MIA 18, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−2.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:42MIA 4th & 1 at APP 1, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%−1.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.4%−6.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:36APP 4th & 1 at MIA 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−2.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:26APP 4th & 23 at APP 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:12MIA 4th & 12 at APP 40, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:31APP 4th & 24 at APP 6, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:34APP 4th & 12 at MIA 46, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:46MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 46, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:39APP 4th & 10 at APP 29, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:48MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:46MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:21MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:41APP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:50MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:38MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:41MIA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:3532% → 34%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.4%
Marcus Cox run for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
32.8%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
32.8%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Levi DuffieldSimilar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
33.1%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
33.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
33.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+3
33.4%
Taylor Lamb run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
33.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
32.5%
Mark Walton run for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 2:5133% → 33%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Barrett BurnsSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.5%
Marcus Cox run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
32.5%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
32.9%
Marcus Cox run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
33.2%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
33.3%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Deltron HopkinsSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-10
33.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 26
OWN 39
0
32.8%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 26
OWN 39
0
32.5%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 26
OWN 39
+12
32.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 47 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 12 yds to the MiaFl 26Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 26
OWN 26
+5
32.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:5468% → 71%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
32.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Dayall Harris for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
32.3%
Mark Walton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
32.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Dayall Harris for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
50
+12
32.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Dayall Harris for 12 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
32.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 14 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
31.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 10 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
31.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
31.8%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
28.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:3530% → 29%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
30.0%
Cox, Marcus rush for 18 yards to the APPALCHAN39, PENALTY APPALCHAN holding 10 yards to the APPALCHAN29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 2
OWN 29
-2
30.2%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+8
30.1%
Jaylan Barbour run for 8 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
29.9%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 32Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+8
28.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
29.1%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaylan BarbourSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
28.7%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:2772% → 79%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.1%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
28.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
27.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 7 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
27.4%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-1
27.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Mark Walton for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+55
21.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 55 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5523% → 22%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
22.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
22.2%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
22.0%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-4
21.5%
Taylor Lamb run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:0781% → 79%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
18.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
18.8%
Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+13
18.7%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 13 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
17.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-11
17.5%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Eric Boggs for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 30 MIAMI FL Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-3 Yards) to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+6
19.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Joseph Yearby for 6 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
21.3%
Michael Badgley 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3919% → 18%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.1%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
18.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
18.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Shaedon Meadors for 9 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.8%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
18.4%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
17.5%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3081% → 81%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
18.7%
Mark Walton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+5
19.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 5 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
19.9%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
19.5%
Justin Vogel punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:3817% → 18%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
17.3%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+14
17.0%
Jalin Moore run for 14 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
17.1%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q2 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+17
17.3%
Jalin Moore run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
18.0%
Jalin Moore run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
18.0%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+30
17.5%
Jalin Moore run for 30 yds to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
18.0%
Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 1Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
17.5%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 2Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-12
17.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the MiaFl 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by AppSt Taylor LambSimilar
Q2 2:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
17.8%
Michael Rubino 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · -14 yds · 0:5286% → 86%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
14.2%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
13.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
14.0%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 15
OWN 27
+6
14.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Christopher Herndon IV for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 9
OWN 33
-15
13.7%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 24
OWN 18
0
14.1%
Justin Vogel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaquil Capel at the AppSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:3716% → 16%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
16.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 8 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+15
17.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
17.5%
Taylor Lamb run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+13
16.6%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Jaquil Capel for 13 yds to the MiaFl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
17.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
16.7%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+41
16.1%
Michael Rubino 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
11.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15INT
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:5189% → 91%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+54
10.9%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to David Njoku for 54 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
9.9%
Mark Walton run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+17
10.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 17 yds to the AppSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
9.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
9.6%
Mark Walton run for 4 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+2
9.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.6%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.4%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 11:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+60
8.6%
Brad Kaaya pass intercepted John Law return for 60 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:3113% → 20%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
13.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
12.7%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for 3 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q3 10:04
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
12.3%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+5
12.2%
Jalin Moore run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
12.3%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
20.4%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4684% → 95%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Joseph Yearby run for no gain to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+68
14.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 61 yds to the APPALCHAN 14 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (7 yards) (7 Yards) to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 0
OPP 7
-5
13.4%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 12Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
5.5%
Joseph Yearby run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:108% → 5%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
8.1%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 23Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+22
6.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Zy Letman for 22 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
6.6%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-10
6.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 21
OWN 34
+8
5.6%
Taylor Lamb run for 8 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 13
OWN 42
-10
5.3%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Corn Elder for a loss of 10 yards to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 23
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2497% → 98%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.3%
Mark Walton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+62
3.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Ahmmon Richards for 62 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
2.9%
Mark Walton run for 2 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
2.8%
Mark Walton run for no gain to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
2.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
1.7%
Taylor Lamb pass intercepted Mike Smith return for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:5698% → 99%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
2.0%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+1
2.0%
Joseph Yearby run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
1.1%
Brad Kaaya pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:21
4TH & 7
OPP 35
-5
1.2%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 0:12
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
1.0%
Justin Vogel punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
1.4%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-1
1.3%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Deltron Hopkins for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 13:44
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-11
0.8%
Taylor Lamb sacked by Chad Thomas for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 6Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 24
OWN 6
0
0.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.5%
Mark Walton run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
0.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Dayall Harris for 9 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
0.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Dayall Harris for 13 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
0.4%
Mark Walton run for 16 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.3%
Mark Walton run for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.2%
Jalin Moore run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
0.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 16 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
0.2%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
0.2%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 13 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
0.2%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Dante JonesSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 12
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaylan BarbourSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 12
OPP 46
0
0.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 31 yds, downed at the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
0.2%
Gus Edwards run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+17
0.2%
Malik Rosier pass complete to Standish Dobard for 17 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
0.2%
Gus Edwards run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 3
OWN 44
0
0.2%
Gus Edwards run for no gain to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+2
0.2%
Gus Edwards run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Justin Vogel punt for 38 yds , Clifton Duck returns for no gain to the AppSt 16 Clifton Duck fumbled, recovered by AppSt Clifton DuckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:420% → 0%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
0.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+10
0.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 10 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.1%
Darrynton Evans run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-5
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
J.P. Caruso run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 0:39
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Braxton Berrios at the MiaFl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:41
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Barrett Burns for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Rubino KICK)
+8.2
TD · Q3 6:50
Joseph Yearby run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
-7.9
TD · Q1 1:21
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Stacy Coley for 55 yds for a TD, (Michael Badgley KICK)
-6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com