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PUR

Purdue 24 at Indiana 26

IU
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · David Blough pass intercepted, touchback. Jonathan Crawford return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 192Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense+12.3Garbage-time factor+5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 12:07: J.D. Dellinger 23 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +2.0 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 36%).
  2. TD · Q2 1:50: David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 10 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger PAT BLOCKED) — PUR win probability +8.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:25: DeAngelo Yancey 31 Yd pass from David Blough (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — PUR win probability +17.9 pts (now 46%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:17: Griffin Oakes 46 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +8.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 4:59: Devine Redding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED) — IU win probability +24.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:24PUR 4th & 1 at IU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    16.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51PUR 4th & 16 at IU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:58IU 4th & 1 at PUR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 3 at IU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:07PUR 4th & 6 at IU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:03IU 4th & 15 at IU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:36IU 4th & 5 at PUR 12, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:02IU 4th & 4 at PUR 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.9%−1.8
    25% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:12PUR 4th & 19 at IU 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:34IU 4th & 30 at IU 30, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−5.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:11PUR 4th & 22 at PUR 11, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−7.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:17IU 4th & 10 at PUR 29, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−12.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:13PUR 4th & 14 at IU 27, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.7 ptsWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%−4.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−9.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:12PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:43IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:18IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:50PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:25PUR Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    41.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:59IU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.1%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
84.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
84.4%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+39
84.4%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Markus Bailey return for 39 yds to the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.0%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:2584% → 84%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
84.0%
Devine Redding run for 28 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
84.0%
Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+4
84.1%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
84.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
83.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 27 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4DOWNS
12 plays · 34 yds · 3:1916% → 17%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
83.7%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
83.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
83.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+14
83.8%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
50
0
82.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:42
2ND & 10
50
0
82.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 10
50
+9
83.0%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 9 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 9:24
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5INT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
83.1%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 15
OWN 36
-3
82.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 18
OWN 0
0
82.8%
PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+1
82.8%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted Markus Bailey return for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
82.5%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+8
82.3%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
82.2%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 11 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
82.2%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for 15 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 16
OPP 33
0
82.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 33 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
82.1%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
82.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
82.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 10
OPP 27
-6
82.5%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-6 Yards) to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0782% → 84%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
81.9%
Richard Lagow run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
81.9%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+44
81.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 44 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
82.7%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+3
82.7%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+2
82.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 2 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+13
81.3%
Zander Diamont run for 13 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
81.9%
Tyler Natee run for 3 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
81.9%
Tyler Natee run for 4 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.7%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8FG
17 plays · 39 yds · 5:0318% → 20%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
82.4%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+10
82.8%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 10 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 2:10
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+7
82.4%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 7 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
82.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
81.7%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 9 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 1
OPP 22
-2
82.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+4
82.5%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 4 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
81.4%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
81.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+6
82.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 6 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
81.4%
Jones, Markell rush for 4 yards to the IND3 (Scales, Tegray), PENALTY IND offside (Gooch, Greg) 4 yards to the IND3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.4%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
82.0%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (David Blough) to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
82.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q2 12:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
80.0%
J.D. Dellinger 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
80.4%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
80.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
79.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 47 yds, downed at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
80.1%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 7 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
79.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+12
80.0%
David Blough pass intercepted Jonathan Crawford return for 12 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:5781% → 83%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
81.1%
Ricky Brookins run for no gain to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
81.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 5 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
80.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell Paige, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
81.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+10
81.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 10 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
83.0%
Griffin Oakes 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.8%
David Blough run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
82.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
82.5%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
81.6%
David Blough sacked by Greg Gooch for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+1
82.4%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
82.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
83.4%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · -7 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
82.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
82.5%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+16
81.9%
Zander Diamont run for 16 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
82.7%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
82.8%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 4:43
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-21
82.2%
Richard Lagow sacked by Austin Larkin for a loss of 21 yards to the Ind 11 INDIANA Penalty, intentional grounding (Richard Lagow) to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 29
OWN 11
-5
81.3%
INDIANA Penalty, sideline interference (-5 Yards) to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 4:43
4TH & 34
OWN 6
0
81.2%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:1119% → 29%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
80.6%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 9 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+2
79.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
79.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell Jones, broken up by Nile SykesSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
79.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+15
79.5%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De, PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND10, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
71.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 10 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15INT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:4377% → 76%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
76.6%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
78.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
77.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 7 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-8
78.4%
Richard Lagow sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 18
OWN 41
+7
76.6%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+7
76.4%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 4
OPP 45
+1
76.1%
Richard Lagow pass intercepted DeAngelo Yancey return for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:3525% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.8%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
73.5%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
73.6%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 45 Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Marcus Oliver, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
73.0%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
72.7%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+8
73.3%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
72.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
72.4%
David Blough pass complete to David Yancey for 13 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
54.5%
DeAngelo Yancey 31 Yd pass from David Blough (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
60.3%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+4
62.6%
Tyler Natee run for 4 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Danny FriendSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+25
61.1%
Zander Diamont pass intercepted Jacob Thieneman return for 25 yds to the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0047% → 41%
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
53.2%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-15
52.8%
Blough, David rush for 10 yards to the IND14 (Dougherty, P.), PENALTY PUR unsportsmanlike conduct (King, Jason) 15 yards to the IND39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 18
OPP 39
-1
55.3%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 10:12
3RD & 19
OPP 40
0
56.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
58.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
57.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
59.2%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
57.8%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+15
58.0%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
50
-1
61.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-13
59.1%
Richard Lagow sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 13 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 24
OWN 36
-6
55.8%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 30
OWN 30
0
54.8%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bilal Marshall at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
51.9%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 11
OWN 22
0
52.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-11
53.8%
David Blough sacked by Patrick Dougherty and Rashard Fant for a loss of 11 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 22
OWN 11
0
55.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21FG
12 plays · 28 yds · 4:2455% → 58%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
54.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Delroy Baker) to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+5
52.4%
Richard Lagow run for 5 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
53.5%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
52.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Alex Rodriguez for 15 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
56.6%
Alex Rodriguez run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
58.4%
Alex Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+2
56.3%
Ricky Brookins run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
58.4%
Natee, Tyler rush for 5 yards to the PUR24 (Clark, Leroy), PENALTY IND holding (Stepaniak, S.) 10 yards to the PUR39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+5
54.6%
Tyler Natee run for 5 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+2
55.9%
Zander Diamont run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+3
49.2%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
57.6%
Griffin Oakes 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 43%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
53.1%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
53.5%
David Blough pass complete to Brian Lankford-Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
55.3%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Posey, Cameron (Crawford, J.), PENALTY IND face mask (Fant, Rashard) 16 yards to the PUR39, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
50.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
50.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+6
50.4%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 6 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
49.1%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
49.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-13
50.0%
David Blough sacked by Marcus Oliver for a loss of 13 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 21
OWN 40
-10
55.8%
Schopper, Joe punt 39 yards to the IND21, out-of-bounds, PENALTY PUR holding (Pulliam, Evan) 10 yards to the PUR30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 31
OWN 30
+9
56.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 9 yds to the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:4157% → 87%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
56.9%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
59.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+7
57.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
50
+7
60.2%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
60.8%
Zander Diamont run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
60.8%
Zander Diamont run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+3
62.6%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+15
60.1%
Diamont, Zander pass incomplete to Paige, Mitchell, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Mosley, Navon) 15 yards to the PUR17, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
62.6%
Devine Redding run for 16 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
62.7%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 3 Zander Diamont fumbled, recovered by Ind Zander DiamontSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
62.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24INT
14 plays · 47 yds · 3:4027% → 19%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
73.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
74.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+10
75.6%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 10 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
71.6%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+24
73.3%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 24 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
69.5%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 9 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+9
66.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
66.9%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
67.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-4
71.7%
David Blough sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 14
OPP 27
0
81.3%
David Blough pass intercepted, touchback. Jonathan Crawford return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25SF
8 plays · -20 yds · 1:0594% → 93%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.8%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
94.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
94.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 27
-27
93.4%
Jake Replogle SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:59
Devine Redding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED)
+24.3
TD · Q3 11:25
DeAngelo Yancey 31 Yd pass from David Blough (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-17.9
TD · Q2 1:50
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 10 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger PAT BLOCKED)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com