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NEB

Nebraska 10 at Iowa 40

IOWA
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 25, 2016 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:37 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Pregame prior+3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:55: Akrum Wadley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan PAT BLOCKED) — IOWA win probability +3.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:28: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 77 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +5.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:49: LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +11.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:40: George Kittle 1 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — IOWA win probability +8.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:47: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +10.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 14:03IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:39NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:37NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:21IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:46NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:39NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:15NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 46, down 13
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:10IOWA 4th & 12 at NEB 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    70.8%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:57NEB 4th & 8 at IOWA 18, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−4.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:02NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:04NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−1.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:47NEB 4th & 10 at IOWA 13, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:38IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 35, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:44NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 15, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:09IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 43, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−1.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:28NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 11, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:05IOWA 4th & 8 at NEB 31, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:05NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 32, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:30IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 25, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:46IOWA 4th & 5 at NEB 17, up 23
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:15NEB 4th & 18 at NEB 17, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:55IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:28IOWA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:49IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:40IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:47NEB Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:13IOWA Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:55IOWA Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3753% → 53%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
53.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
53.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
53.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+4
53.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:1047% → 46%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
53.3%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+2
53.3%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
53.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q1 12:39
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
53.5%
Luke McNitt run for 2 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
53.4%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
53.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
53.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+3
53.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 3:0754% → 54%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
53.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+15
53.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 15 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
54.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 6
50
-3
54.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Kevin Maurice for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
53.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:1446% → 46%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
53.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
53.4%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
53.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 7 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
53.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
53.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
53.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
54.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:4154% → 58%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
54.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+75
57.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 75 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5242% → 41%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
57.7%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+1
57.6%
Tre Bryant run for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
58.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
58.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 47 yds , Desmond King returns for no gain to the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
63.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 77 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:0036% → 35%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
64.0%
Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
64.1%
Tre Bryant run for 5 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
64.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Tre Bryant for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
63.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
64.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 5 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:5767% → 69%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
67.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 6 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
69.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
69.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
69.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 7
OPP 37
-5
69.4%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
69.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 26 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
11 plays · 66 yds · 3:5433% → 34%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
67.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 16 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
67.2%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+6
66.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
67.4%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+19
67.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 19 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
66.5%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+19
68.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 4 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
66.8%
Tre Bryant run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+1
67.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
68.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
66.1%
Drew Brown 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5366% → 80%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
65.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+56
66.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 56 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
68.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 3:3324% → 22%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
76.3%
Tre Bryant run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-10
76.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+16
77.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 16 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.7%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
76.3%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
76.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
77.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
78.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
78.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 9 yds · 3:5783% → 83%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
82.7%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-4 Yards) to the Iowa 5Similar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 14
OWN 5
-2
82.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 16
OWN 3
+9
83.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 9 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+10
83.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 10 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
84.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 28 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (-14 Yards) to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 18
OWN 14
+4
84.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+2
84.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-2
83.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5118% → 17%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.9%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 14:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
82.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+44
83.1%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 43 yds , Desmond King returns for 44 yds to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:2483% → 93%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
83.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
83.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 7Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
84.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
George Kittle 1 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-2
93.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Neb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:479% → 16%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.4%
Tre Bryant run for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
91.8%
Tre Bryant run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
92.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Tre Bryant for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+16
92.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 16 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
92.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
92.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
92.0%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Morgan Jr., Stanley, PENALTY IOWA pass interference 7 yards to the IOWA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
91.9%
Tre Bryant run for 7 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+2
93.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
93.7%
Luke McNitt run for 2 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
93.4%
Tre Bryant run for 5 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
93.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 5
OPP 8
-5
94.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
94.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+13
83.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5588% → 89%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
88.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 5:57
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+1
89.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
89.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 55 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4614% → 12%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
86.0%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
87.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
88.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+6
88.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 47 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 6 yds to the Iowa 44 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2091% → 91%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
90.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
91.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
90.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 51 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 4 yds to the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2811% → 10%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
89.2%
Tre Bryant run for 1 yd to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
89.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 11
0
89.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 9
OWN 11
0
89.9%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 33 yds , Riley McCarron returns for no gain to the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:5892% → 99%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
92.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 4 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
92.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
92.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-10
93.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Michael Rose-Ivey and Josh Banderas for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+9
92.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+10
92.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Noah Fant for 10 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
93.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+6
95.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 6 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 3
OPP 14
0
95.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+5
94.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Running Into Kicker (5 Yards) to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
95.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 6 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:552% → 1%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
98.5%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
98.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Tre Bryant for 1 yd to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+29
98.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 29 yds to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
14 plays · 45 yds · 7:5799% → 100%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
99.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+1
99.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+3
99.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q4 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+1
99.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+13
99.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 13 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
C.J. Beathard run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Tre Bryant for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-10
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Anthony Nelson for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
100.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Toks Akinribade run for 2 yds to the Neb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:49
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
+11.9
TD · Q3 7:47
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-10.4
TD · Q3 12:40
George Kittle 1 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com