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WIS

Wisconsin 49 at Purdue 20

PUR
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:33 · Joe Schopper punt for 27 yds, downed at the Wisc 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 59Pregame prior−37.4Home team on offense−7.5Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:26: David Blough pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Watt return for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +3.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:03: Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:49: Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:38: David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 75 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK) — PUR win probability +4.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:51: Bradrick Shaw run for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:03WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:56PUR 4th & 7 at WIS 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:07WIS 4th & 20 at PUR 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:04PUR 4th & 9 at WIS 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:33PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:29PUR 4th & 20 at PUR 35, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:57PUR 4th & 11 at WIS 42, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    1.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47PUR 4th & 9 at WIS 13, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -1.1%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:09PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 29, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:58WIS 4th & 1 at PUR 19, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:19WIS 4th & 1 at PUR 8, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q2 8:34WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:26WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:03WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:49WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:38PUR Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:51WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:23WIS Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:41WIS Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:15PUR Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:5294% → 93%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
5.7%
Quintez Cephus run for 8 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 21
-1
5.9%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+5
6.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.3%
Alex Hornibrook run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
6.4%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
6.6%
Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 37Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
7.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 37Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
7.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
7.4%
Anthony Lotti punt for 29 yds, downed at the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2FG
16 plays · 55 yds · 5:077% → 10%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
7.3%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
7.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
7.6%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
7.9%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
8.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+13
8.1%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 13 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
8.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
8.5%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+4
8.7%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Jones, Markell, dropped pass, PENALTY WISCONSIN offside 4 yards to the WISCONSIN34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+7
8.8%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
9.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+8
9.1%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
9.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
9.5%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for no gain to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
9.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
9.8%
J.D. Dellinger 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:3190% → 87%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
9.7%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-2
10.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Austin Larkin and Da'Wan Hunte for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 39Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+13
10.7%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 13 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
10.5%
Corey Clement run for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
10.5%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-2
10.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 13
OPP 38
-7
11.7%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 20
OPP 45
0
12.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, downed at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:5612% → 13%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+48
12.3%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 48 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
13.0%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
13.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+4
13.5%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 4
OPP 36
-5
13.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (David Blough) to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
13.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 28 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for no gain to the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 4:3086% → 88%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
13.8%
Bart Houston run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+31
14.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 31 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
13.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 12
OWN 43
0
14.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 43 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+34
15.1%
Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 34 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
14.1%
Quintez Cephus run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
14.2%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+18
15.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 18 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
14.7%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
12.1%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
9.5%
David Blough pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Watt return for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5310% → 9%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.5%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
9.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
9.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 7:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
9.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 27 yds, downed at the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 4:3091% → 95%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
9.3%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
9.4%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+11
9.7%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
9.6%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-5
9.8%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Quintez Cephus) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+20
10.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 20 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
9.8%
Bart Houston run for 7 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+6
9.7%
Bart Houston run for 6 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
5.2%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.8%
David Blough pass intercepted T.J. Edwards return for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
2.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
6.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 75 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:3494% → 98%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
5.9%
Corey Clement run for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
5.0%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
5.2%
Corey Clement run for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
5.1%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+33
1.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 33 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13INT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:282% → 1%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
1.6%
Markell Jones run for 12 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.6%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+26
1.6%
David Blough run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Derrick Tindal) to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
1.4%
David Blough pass intercepted Leo Musso return for no gain to the Wisc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
1.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FUMBLE
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:312% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
1.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+15
1.5%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Marshall, Bilal, PENALTY WISCONSIN roughing passer (Watt, T.J.) 15 yards to the PURDUE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PURDUE.Similar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
1.6%
David Blough sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-2
1.5%
David Blough sacked by Alec James and Garret Dooley for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
1.3%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 15
OWN 40
-5
1.1%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (Joe Schopper) to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 20
OWN 35
+2
1.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 26 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 2 yds to the Wisc 41 Jazz Peavy fumbled, recovered by Prdue Gregory PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:422% → 4%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
1.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-1
1.4%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
1.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+16
1.3%
Elijah Sindelar pass complete to Cole Herdman for 16 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
1.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 12 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
1.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
1.2%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 5 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-4
1.2%
David Blough sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 13Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
4.3%
J.D. Dellinger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:1797% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
2.9%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
2.7%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
50
+3
2.3%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+10
2.3%
Corey Clement run for 10 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
2.3%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-2
1.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+10
2.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 10 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
1.9%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26 Corey Clement fumbled, recovered by Wisc Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+1
1.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
1.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 25 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
1.0%
David Blough run for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
1.1%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
1.0%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-15
1.0%
David Blough sacked by T.J. Edwards for a loss of 15 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 17
OWN 29
0
0.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wisc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
17 plays · 74 yds · 8:28100% → 100%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
0.5%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Robert Gregory) to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 5
OWN 31
-2
0.4%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
0.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Eric Steffes for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+5
0.4%
Lotti, Anthony punt 39 yards to the PURDUE29, downed, PENALTY PURDUE running into kicker (Hunte, Da'Wan) 5 yards to the WISCONSIN37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
0.3%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
0.3%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+28
0.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 28 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
0.3%
Corey Clement run for 9 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
0.3%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
0.2%
Alec Ingold run for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
0.3%
Alex Hornibrook run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
0.2%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
0.2%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 8:56
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
0.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 5 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
0.2%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.2%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:260% → 0%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
0.1%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+34
0.1%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 34 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
0.2%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 7 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
0.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
0.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
0.1%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 5 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+6
0.1%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 6 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
0.2%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 10Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
0.2%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 10 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
0.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
0.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
0.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
0.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
0.1%
Bart Houston run for no gain to the Wisc 41 Bart Houston fumbled, recovered by Wisc Bart HoustonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:03
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q2 2:49
Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 19 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
-4.4
TD · Q2 2:38
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 75 yds for a TD, (J.D. Dellinger KICK)
+4.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com