Try the model
MD

Maryland 7 at Nebraska 28

NEB
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:23 · Ryker Fyfe run for 21 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense+12.1Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:28: Terrell Newby 5 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick) — NEB win probability +2.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:23: Timeout MARYLAND, clock 01:23 — NEB win probability +2.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:17: Jordan Westerkamp 4 Yd pass from Ryker Fyfe (Spencer Lindsay Kick) — NEB win probability +6.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. SACK · Q2 0:00: Max Bortenschlager sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 27 — MD win probability +1.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:30: Terrell Newby 1 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick) — NEB win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 10MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 12:12MD 4th & 10 at NEB 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34MD 4th & 9 at MD 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01NEB 4th & 1 at MD 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−0.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    81.3%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:16MD 4th & 5 at NEB 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:25NEB 4th & 13 at MD 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.7%
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:00MD 4th & 3 at MD 34, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:13MD 4th & 4 at MD 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 45, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:15NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:17MD 4th & 21 at MD 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:00MD 4th & 10 at MD 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50NEB 4th & 8 at MD 41, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:12MD 4th & 3 at MD 27, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:11NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 37, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:46NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:49MD 4th & 7 at MD 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:58NEB 4th & 2 at MD 44, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:53NEB 4th & 6 at MD 21, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:53MD 4th & 15 at MD 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:31NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 37, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:00MD 4th & 3 at NEB 44, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:42NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:28NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:30NEB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:22MD Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 39 yds · 2:4315% → 16%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
85.0%
Ty Johnson run for 5 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+12
84.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
50
+3
84.6%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
84.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+8
84.5%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 8 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
84.3%
Ty Johnson run for 11 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
84.1%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
84.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
84.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 12:12
4TH & 10
OPP 28
0
84.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2484% → 85%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
84.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
84.1%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+26
83.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 26 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
84.1%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+25
84.0%
Terrell Newby run for 10 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
84.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Bryan Reimers for 10 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
84.9%
Terrell Newby 8 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 1:5116% → 16%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
84.5%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+4
84.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 4 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+10
84.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 10 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
84.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
84.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+21
84.5%
Wade Lees punt for 36 yds, downed at the NEBRASKA 28 MARYLAND Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:5685% → 87%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
84.6%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+24
84.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 24 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
84.7%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
84.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+10
84.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+14
84.2%
Ryker Fyfe run for 14 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
87.0%
Terrell Newby 5 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:5414% → 14%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
86.0%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-5
86.1%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Aaron Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+18
86.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Wes Brown for 18 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.0%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
85.8%
Jake Funk run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+4
85.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 1:16
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
86.1%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds, downed at the Neb 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6MISSED FG
14 plays · 83 yds · 6:1987% → 87%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
86.8%
Tre Bryant run for 3 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+6
86.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+5
86.8%
Tre Bryant run for 5 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
87.1%
Brandon Reilly run for 13 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
87.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 26 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
87.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
87.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for 5 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
87.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 3 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+22
87.5%
Tre Bryant run for 22 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
87.6%
Tre Bryant run for 4 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
87.6%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-9
87.4%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Shane Cockerille for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 13
OPP 14
+32
86.9%
Spencer Lindsay 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by JC JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4714% → 14%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.1%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
86.4%
Wes Brown run for 7 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
86.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+5
86.4%
Wade Lees pass complete to Kenneth Goins Jr. for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.1%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+6
86.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 6:23
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-1
85.8%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
86.4%
Wade Lees punt for 33 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
20 plays · 78 yds · 5:3887% → 96%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
86.5%
Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 1
OWN 31
-3
86.8%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Shane Cockerille for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+6
86.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 6 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.8%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
87.8%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
88.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 3 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-2
88.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Tre Bryant for 13 yds to the NEBRASKA 40 NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
87.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+21
87.2%
Ryker Fyfe run for 21 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
89.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+14
89.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 14 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
89.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
89.9%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 7Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+5
90.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
89.9%
Tre Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.6%
Jordan Westerkamp 4 Yd pass from Ryker Fyfe (Spencer Lindsay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
94.3%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0796% → 96%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.9%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 7 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-6
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NebSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
95.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
95.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:285% → 4%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
95.1%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 1 yd to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-3
95.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-9
95.7%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Freedom Akinmoladun for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 21
OWN 34
+13
95.9%
Wade Lees punt for 48 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 13 yds to the Neb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12TD
16 plays · 69 yds · 7:2097% → 100%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
96.6%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
96.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
96.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 3 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
96.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 2
50
+2
97.0%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
97.1%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+8
96.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 8 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
97.2%
Brandon Reilly run for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
97.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-5
97.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+10
97.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
97.5%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+8
97.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 8 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
97.6%
Terrell Newby run for 13 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Terrell Newby 1 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.7%
Max Bortenschlager run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 21 Max Bortenschlager fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+4
99.7%
Max Bortenschlager run for 4 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Wade Lees punt for 41 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
99.7%
Tre Bryant run for 12 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 11 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Brandon Reilly run for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.8%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
99.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:230% → 0%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 7 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Wade Lees punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
99.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q4 13:11
4TH & 9
OWN 37
-2
99.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 54 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 7 Teldrick Morgan fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
3 plays · 93 yds · 0:270% → 1%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
99.9%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 8Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+92
98.8%
D.J. Moore 92 Yd pass from Max Bortenschlager (Adam Greene Kick)Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-15
98.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.2%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 49 yds, downed at the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager run for 3 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 7
OWN 14
0
98.9%
Wade Lees punt for 38 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:3099% → 100%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
99.3%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
99.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+11
99.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for 11 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+5
99.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 5 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.5%
Terrell Newby run for 14 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.5%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
99.5%
Tre Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 6
OPP 21
-13
99.5%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Jesse Aniebonam for a loss of 13 yards to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:371% → 1%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-7
99.2%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+5
99.3%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 12
OWN 32
-3
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 29 Max Bortenschlager fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+3
99.4%
Wade Lees punt for 46 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
99.6%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Tre Bryant run for no gain to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 1:31
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+7
99.7%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds , Teldrick Morgan returns for 7 yds to the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23FUMBLE
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+12
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 12 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to Jake Funk for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager run for 9 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.4%
Max Bortenschlager pass complete to D.J. Moore for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-8
99.5%
Max Bortenschlager sacked by Marcus Newby for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 48 Max Bortenschlager fumbled, recovered by Mary Mike Minter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:17
Jordan Westerkamp 4 Yd pass from Ryker Fyfe (Spencer Lindsay Kick)
+6.4
TD · Q1 4:28
Terrell Newby 5 Yd Run (Spencer Lindsay Kick)
+2.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:23
Timeout MARYLAND, clock 01:23
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com