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IU

Indiana 10 at Michigan 20

MICH
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:20 · Kenny Allen punt for 35 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior+14.9Home team on offense+16.7Garbage-time factor+9.0Score differential+2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:19: Camion Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +5.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 8:20: Devine Redding run for no gain to the Mich 35 — IU win probability +4.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:21: Griffin Oakes 24 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +4.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: De'Veon Smith run for 34 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +18.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:29: De'Veon Smith run for 39 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +9.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 6 of 12IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:01MICH 4th & 4 at IU 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18IU 4th & 12 at IU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13MICH 4th & 1 at IU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:42MICH 4th & 18 at IU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    92.7%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:15IU 4th & 1 at IU 26, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:39MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:02IU 4th & 1 at IU 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:54MICH 4th & 2 at IU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:48MICH 4th & 9 at IU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:37MICH 4th & 4 at MICH 30, down 4
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:14IU 4th & 6 at IU 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:53IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:40MICH 4th & 10 at IU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−7.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:21IU 4th & 7 at MICH 7, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−9.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:50IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:19MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:43IU 4th & 12 at IU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−2.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:14IU 4th & 10 at IU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:20MICH 4th & 3 at IU 35, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.9
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−1.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:42IU 4th & 13 at IU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:45MICH 4th & 1 at IU 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−1.0
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:53MICH 4th & 14 at IU 40, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%
    34% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 4:19IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:02MICH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:29MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 3:4996% → 96%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
96.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
96.3%
Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
96.2%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 47 Chris Evans fumbled, forced by Chris Covington, recovered by Mich Mason ColeSimilar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+11
96.2%
John O'Korn pass complete to Ty Isaac for 21 yds to the MICHIGAN 32 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (Jehu Chesson) to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.1%
Karan Higdon run for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
96.0%
Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
95.9%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 4
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Kenny Allen punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:274% → 5%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
95.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+11
95.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 11 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+2
95.5%
Camion Patrick run for 2 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.4%
Camion Patrick run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
95.3%
Richard Lagow sacked by Chase Winovich and Maurice Hurst for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+13
95.3%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 42 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 13 yds to the Mich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 4:1895% → 94%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
95.2%
Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
95.2%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-2
95.2%
John O'Korn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+11
94.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 11 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 6:13
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
94.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
94.8%
John O'Korn sacked by Chris Covington for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+1
94.6%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-8
94.4%
John O'Korn sacked by Mike Barwick Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 18
OPP 38
0
93.9%
Kenny Allen punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ind 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:206% → 7%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
94.0%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+5
93.9%
Redding, Devine rush for 2 yards to the INDIANA14, PENALTY MICHIGAN offside 5 yards to the INDIANA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
93.7%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 6 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+1
93.4%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+2
93.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
93.3%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3194% → 93%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 0:33
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
93.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
93.2%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
92.9%
Kenny Allen punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:287% → 8%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+22
92.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 22 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
92.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
92.2%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
91.9%
Richard Lagow pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+12
92.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt 12 yards to IND 44, blocked by Jordan Glasgow.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:0793% → 91%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Chris Evans run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
92.6%
John O'Korn pass complete to Khalid Hill for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+4
92.3%
John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+25
91.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 25 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
92.1%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-1
92.0%
Ty Isaac run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
91.6%
Jabrill Peppers run for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+28
91.4%
Kenny Allen 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:259% → 16%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
91.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
91.0%
Zander Diamont run for 9 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
90.4%
Tyler Natee run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-5
90.4%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Camion Patrick) to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+14
91.4%
Devine Redding run for 14 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
90.5%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Luke Timian for 31 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
89.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
89.7%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+10
89.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 10 yds to the Mich 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.1%
Camion Patrick run for 3 yds to the Mich 2Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
Camion Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3886% → 85%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
86.3%
John O'Korn run for no gain to the Mich 24Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
85.6%
John O'Korn pass complete to Grant Perry for 6 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
85.0%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+7
84.5%
Kenny Allen punt for 52 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 7 yds to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:1116% → 20%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
83.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Matthew Godin) to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
82.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
82.8%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Taco Charlton) to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
81.1%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 15
OWN 40
-2
81.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 17
OWN 38
+11
81.6%
Devine Redding run for 11 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 6
OWN 49
+2
80.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 33 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 2 yds to the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0380% → 79%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.7%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-1
79.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0019% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
80.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 22Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
80.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 14:25
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
81.4%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Ind 35 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mitchell Paige) to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 14:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
80.9%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
81.5%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 30 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 14 yds to the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 4:0483% → 81%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
83.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+13
82.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 13 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
83.1%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+4
82.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
80.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
81.6%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 15
OPP 20
0
80.6%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+5
78.0%
Chris Evans run for 5 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 9:40
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
80.8%
Kenny Allen 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:1421% → 32%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
78.1%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+37
78.6%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 37 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
74.2%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
73.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 13 yds to the Mich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
73.0%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+15
73.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 15 yds to the Mich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
72.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
71.9%
Richard Lagow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 6Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
72.4%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 7Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
68.4%
Griffin Oakes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:1071% → 85%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.5%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
69.6%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+30
67.3%
John O'Korn run for 30 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
85.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 34 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0018% → 17%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.7%
Ricky Brookins run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
80.3%
Ricky Brookins run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
81.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Donavan HaleSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
82.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 33 yds, downed at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2182% → 80%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
81.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
82.0%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Devin AsiasiSimilar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+3
80.9%
Chris Evans run for 3 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 1:19
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
79.9%
Kenny Allen punt for 50 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:3219% → 17%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
80.8%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Luke TimianSimilar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-2
80.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 8Similar
Q3 0:49
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
82.1%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Camion PatrickSimilar
Q3 0:43
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
82.7%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 31 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for no gain to the Ind 39 Jabrill Peppers fumbled, recovered by MichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:0883% → 92%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.1%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
92.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 39 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:118% → 8%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
91.3%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
90.3%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
90.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+2
92.1%
TEAM punt 2 yards to IND 42, blocked by Jordan Glasgow.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4092% → 91%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
92.1%
Ty Isaac run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
92.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+1
92.1%
John O'Korn pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
91.3%
Kenny Allen punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:289% → 7%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.1%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Devine Redding for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+17
91.1%
Alex Rodriguez run for 17 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
89.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
89.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 11 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
88.8%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
90.9%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Camion PatrickSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-7
91.6%
Richard Lagow sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+5
92.7%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 13
OWN 46
0
93.1%
Joseph Gedeon punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23DOWNS
20 plays · 51 yds · 8:4291% → 96%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
90.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+15
91.8%
John O'Korn run for no gain to the Mich 10 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jonathan Crawford) to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
92.6%
Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
92.4%
Jabrill Peppers run for 2 yds to the Mich 28Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
92.5%
John O'Korn pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
93.5%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ralph Green III) to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+1
93.8%
Karan Higdon run for 1 yd to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
93.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
50
+4
93.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
94.0%
Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
94.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 3:45
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+5
95.0%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
96.3%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
96.5%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 13
OPP 39
-1
96.8%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 14
OPP 40
-2
96.3%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:333% → 4%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.6%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
96.7%
Richard Lagow pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
96.9%
Richard Lagow pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-16
96.0%
Richard Lagow sacked by Jordan Glasgow for a loss of 16 yards to the Ind 37 Richard Lagow fumbled, forced by Jordan Glasgow, recovered by Ind Dan Feeney , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:02
De'Veon Smith run for 34 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+18.1
TD · Q3 0:29
De'Veon Smith run for 39 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 4:19
Camion Patrick run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com