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ILL

Illinois 3 at Wisconsin 48

WIS
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.6WIS 93.0%Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q1 3:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:22 · Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+39.4Home team on offense+2.1Score differential+1.1Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:59: Corey Clement run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:22: Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +0.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:13: Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:24: Bart Houston pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — ILL win probability +1.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:04: Andrew Endicott 37 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:42WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:14ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22ILL 4th & 9 at WIS 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:06ILL 4th & 6 at WIS 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:45WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:45WIS 4th & 6 at midfield, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:32WIS 4th & 5 at ILL 44, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:32ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:10WIS 4th & 3 at ILL 3, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:27ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:54ILL 4th & 4 at ILL 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:50ILL 4th & 5 at ILL 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:37WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 18, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:25WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:59WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:13WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:24WIS Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:18WIS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:01WIS Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:0495% → 94%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
94.6%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
94.5%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
94.4%
Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
94.2%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
94.1%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+46
93.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 46 yds , Darius Mosely returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:216% → 6%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
93.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
93.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
93.9%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 10
OWN 9
-4
93.9%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Jake Hansen) to the Illin 5Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 14
OWN 5
+4
93.9%
Ryan Frain punt for 50 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:4094% → 94%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
93.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 17 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
93.8%
Corey Clement run for 9 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+23
93.7%
Corey Clement run for 23 yds to the Illin 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.0%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4INT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:326% → 6%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.8%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-12
93.7%
George Jr., Jeff pass complete to Cain, Desmond for 39 yards to the WISCONSIN37, PENALTY ILLINOIS personal foul (Foster, Kendrick) 12 yards to the ILLINOIS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+12
93.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Malik Turner for 12 yds to the Illin 24Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+40
93.6%
Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted D'Cota Dixon return for 40 yds to the Illin 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3594% → 95%
Q1 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
93.7%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Illin 4Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.5%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:236% → 7%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
94.1%
Kendrick Foster run for no gain to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
94.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 16 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
93.9%
Reggie Corbin run for 18 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
93.6%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
93.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Zach Grant for 15 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
93.6%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
93.5%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Tyler WhiteSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+2
93.6%
Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
93.0%
Chase McLaughlin 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:5793% → 95%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
93.1%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+48
92.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 48 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
93.2%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+24
93.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Corey Clement for 24 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
93.0%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 8Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted Leo Musso return for no gain to the Illin 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:3795% → 94%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.9%
Corey Clement pass incomplete to Bart HoustonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
94.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+17
94.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 17 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
94.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
94.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Illin 10Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+3
94.7%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
93.7%
Bart Houston pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 54 yds · 3:085% → 7%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.2%
Kendrick Foster run for 8 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
94.6%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Sam Mays for 6 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
91.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 1 yd to the Illin 40Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+35
93.5%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Justin Hardee for 35 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Sam MaysSimilar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
93.4%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+2
93.6%
Jeff George Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
93.5%
Chase McLaughlin 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:1394% → 97%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
93.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 11 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
94.5%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
94.3%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
95.1%
Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 6:45
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
94.8%
Garret Dooley run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
97.1%
Jazz Peavy run for 5 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
97.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
50
0
97.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 6
50
+6
97.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds , Darius Mosely returns for 6 yds to the Illin 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12INT
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:515% → 5%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
95.2%
Kendrick Foster run for 16 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
94.8%
Jeff George Jr. pass complete to Kendrick Foster for 11 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
94.7%
Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted Leo Musso return for 16 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:0897% → 97%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Alec IngoldSimilar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
97.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
97.3%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
97.5%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
97.3%
Anthony Lotti punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:115% → 6%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
95.1%
Jeff George Jr. pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
95.1%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 13Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+12
93.8%
Jeff George Jr. pass intercepted Ryan Connelly return for 12 yds to the Illin 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15FG
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:0497% → 99%
Q2 1:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
96.8%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 12Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
-5
97.8%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Carroll Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q2 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
-2
97.4%
Alex Hornibrook run for 3 yds to the Illin 14 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Alex Hornibrook) to the Illin 19Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 0
OPP 19
+37
99.3%
Andrew Endicott 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:232% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Sam Mays for 10 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
99.3%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 32Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 13
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Sam MaysSimilar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Desmond CainSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+10
99.4%
Ryan Frain punt for 39 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 6:1599% → 100%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
99.4%
Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.5%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 12:08
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
99.5%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+4
99.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 4 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.5%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+19
99.5%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 19 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
99.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Alec Ingold for 15 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 1 yd to the Illin 4Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Illin 1Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 3Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
99.7%
Andrew Endicott 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.6%
Foster, Kendrick rush for 7 yards to the ILLINOIS32, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (White, Tyler) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+22
99.7%
Kendrick Foster run for 22 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.5%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 35Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+35
99.6%
David Reisner punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the WISCONSIN 20 ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 6:02100% → 100%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+21
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 21 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 5 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Alec Ingold run for 3 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+8
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+7
99.8%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Illin 2Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Kendrick Foster run for 9 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-3
99.9%
Kendrick Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Kendrick FosterSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.9%
David Reisner punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ricky Finco at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 7:47100% → 100%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Bradrick Shaw for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 12 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 47Similar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 11 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 6 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Illin 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for no gain to the Illin 17Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 10 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 4 yds to the Illin 3Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Bradrick Shaw run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
100.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 11 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
100.0%
Foster, Kendrick rush for 1 yard to the ILLINOIS21, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Schmidt, Austin) 10 yards to the ILLINOIS10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+3
100.0%
Kendrick Foster run for 3 yds to the Illin 13Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
100.0%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+12
100.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 12 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
David Reisner punt for 58 yds , Ricky Finco returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 26 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joe Ferguson) to the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
100.0%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 14
-3
100.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+7
100.0%
Bradrick Shaw run for 7 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Darius Mosely at the Illin 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Illin 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:13
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 8 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
+1.8
FG · Q2 0:04
Andrew Endicott 37 yd FG GOOD
+1.6
TD · Q2 12:24
Bart Houston pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com