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MINN

Minnesota 17 at Nebraska 24

NEB
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:54 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Minn 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Pregame prior+7.6Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor−1.0Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:54: Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK) — MINN win probability +8.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOOD — MINN win probability +7.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:16: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 31 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +14.6 pts (now 69%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:17: Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +23.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:29: Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 17 — NEB win probability +9.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 2:42NEB 4th & 2 at MINN 29, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    62.9%−2.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:42MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:24NEB 4th & 2 at MINN 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.5%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:16MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:26NEB 4th & 12 at NEB 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:54MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 1, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.9%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−8.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:54NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00MINN 4th & 2 at NEB 24, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−1.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    37.5%−8.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:16MINN 4th & 9 at MINN 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:54NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−4.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 3 at NEB 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    40.8%−5.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:57NEB 4th & 1 at MINN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.6%−4.8
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−19.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:11MINN 4th & 1 at MINN 25, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:08NEB 4th & 14 at NEB 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:27MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:24NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:54MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:16NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:17NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 7:3328% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
71.6%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 12 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
50
0
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
+1
71.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+6
71.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal formation (6 Yards) to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
71.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-2
71.6%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
71.6%
Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Wolitarsky,Drew, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Williams, Aaron) 10 yards to the NEB30, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Shannon Brooks for 9 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
71.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 11 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
71.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 4 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
71.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.9%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:4568% → 68%
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
67.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+11
68.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 11 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
68.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for no gain to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
68.4%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+4
68.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 19 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (De'Mornay Pierson-El) to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
68.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 39Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+4
68.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 4 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
68.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 6 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
67.9%
Drew Brown 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.3%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 25Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
67.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 32Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
67.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Jack Lynn) to the Minn 27Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
68.1%
Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 2:1067% → 70%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
66.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 21 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
67.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
67.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Westerkamp, broken up by Jalen MyrickSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+4
67.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 4 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+35
70.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Tre Bryant for 35 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
70.0%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
70.0%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 16Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+29
70.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 29 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
68.7%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
68.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Eric CarterSimilar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
69.3%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Eric Carter, broken up by Nathan GerrySimilar
Q2 13:16
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+41
70.3%
Ryan Santoso punt for 41 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
69.1%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
69.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell NewbySimilar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-5
68.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Cethan Carter) to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
68.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
67.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:3932% → 40%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
67.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
68.0%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+17
68.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 17 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
67.3%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+31
66.5%
Rodney Smith run for 31 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
66.5%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.5%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.2%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Emmit Carpenter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
61.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 7 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
62.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
62.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+1
63.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 3
OWN 44
0
62.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for a loss of 2 yards, downed at the Neb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:4045% → 54%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
54.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
55.1%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+7
55.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 7 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
54.3%
N/A pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
54.3%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
53.7%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
45.7%
Emmit Carpenter 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:4051% → 69%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
50.6%
Tre Bryant run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
50.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (De'Mornay Pierson-El) to the Neb 16Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+14
50.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 14 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
51.4%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
51.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 5 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
52.6%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+6
52.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 6 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
53.1%
Terrell Newby run for 12 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
54.4%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
54.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+8
54.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 8 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
68.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 31 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Colton Beebe for 6 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
59.4%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
61.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
59.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 37Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
60.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+1
61.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Minn 38Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+7
62.5%
Ryan Santoso punt for 52 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 7 yds to the Neb 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
63.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 14 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
63.7%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 9 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
66.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore, broken up by KiAnte HardinSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
65.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
65.6%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
64.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-6
62.5%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Blake Cashman for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 17
OWN 34
0
60.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KiAnte Hardin at the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:5042% → 45%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
58.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 8 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+3
55.9%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
57.3%
Shannon Brooks run for 6 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
54.7%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 42Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
55.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
53.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 9 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-1
52.0%
Shannon Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
53.1%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
55.4%
Ryan Santoso punt for 37 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
15 plays · 91 yds · 5:4060% → 92%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
59.9%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+29
60.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 29 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
63.7%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
64.8%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
50
-10
65.5%
Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Newby, Terrell for 7 yards to the MINN43, PENALTY NEB holding (Foster, Jerald) 10 yards to the NEB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+9
61.9%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 9 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
63.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+16
61.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 16 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
67.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
67.2%
Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
67.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
65.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Andrew StelterSimilar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+3
63.2%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
91.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
86.7%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 16Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
87.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+4
87.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 4 yds to the Minn 25Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Ryan Santoso punt for 54 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 14 De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, recovered by Neb De'Mornay Pierson-El , return for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5791% → 93%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+25
91.3%
Terrell Newby run for 25 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-8
92.3%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 46 NEBRASKA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cethan Carter) to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 18
OWN 31
0
91.3%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 18
OWN 31
+4
90.8%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 38 yds, downed at the Minn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17INT
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:009% → 14%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
90.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
91.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 7 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+6
89.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 6 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Tyler JohnsonSimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
90.0%
Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Still, Rashad, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Kalu, Joshua) 15 yards to the NEB45, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 3 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+25
88.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Tyler Johnson for 25 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
86.1%
Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Kieron Williams return for 12 yds to the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18END OF GAME
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0996% → 96%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
95.7%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 17
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:17
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+23.6
TD · Q3 9:16
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 31 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+14.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:29
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 17
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com