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IOWA

Iowa 14 at Penn State 41

PSU
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:19 · Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Iowa 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+8.2Pregame prior+8.2Garbage-time factor+5.3Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:28: Saquon Barkley run for 57 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:58: Trace McSorley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +9.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:18: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK) — IOWA win probability +7.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Tyler Davis 30 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:48: Tyler Davis 37 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:43IOWA 4th & 1 at PSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:32PSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32IOWA 4th & 1 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:13PSU 4th & 1 at PSU 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:28IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00PSU 4th & 2 at IOWA 12, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%−0.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:55IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−2.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:19PSU 4th & 16 at midfield, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:53IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08PSU 4th & 1 at IOWA 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.4%−2.8
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:48PSU 4th & 11 at IOWA 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:42IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:35IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 12:43PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28PSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:58PSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:18IOWA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:41PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:28PSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:30IOWA Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:1768% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
68.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 9 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
68.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
68.1%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+8
68.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+14
68.1%
Trace McSorley run for 14 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
68.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 19 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
68.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Evan Schwan) to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
68.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 6
50
0
68.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 6
50
+7
68.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 7 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.3%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+6
68.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 6 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+3
68.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-1
68.5%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:2469% → 70%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
69.4%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 45 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
69.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+3
69.9%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
69.7%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
69.8%
Tyler Davis 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Josey Jewell N/A return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+21
69.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
69.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
69.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 6 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
69.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 1
50
0
69.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
70.1%
PENN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 6Similar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+5
70.0%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 11Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
70.0%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+11
69.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
70.1%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 4 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+3
70.2%
Trace McSorley run for 3 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+6
69.9%
Trace McSorley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.2%
Andre Robinson run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
70.8%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
70.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+27
70.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 42 yds PENN ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:2730% → 30%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
70.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+8
70.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
69.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+2
70.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 44 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 3:0771% → 79%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
71.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 21Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
71.0%
Trace McSorley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
70.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 13 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
71.8%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+1
72.2%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+57
79.0%
Saquon Barkley run for 57 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
77.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
77.4%
Coluzzi, Ron punt 50 yards to the PSU22, fair catch by Thompkins, D., PENALTY IOWA illegal formation 5 yards to the IOWA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
77.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:2180% → 89%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
79.7%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 13 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
79.9%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+43
80.0%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 43 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4013% → 22%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
86.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
86.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 27 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
86.3%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 15
OPP 43
0
86.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+33
87.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 24 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, roughing passer (Jason Cabinda) to the PnSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
85.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the PnSt 7Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
85.6%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 12Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
78.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:1381% → 85%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
80.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 4 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
80.9%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+25
81.3%
Trace McSorley pass complete to DeAndre Thompkins for 25 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
81.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+8
81.6%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
81.6%
Trace McSorley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
81.6%
Andre Robinson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
82.1%
Trace McSorley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
85.4%
Tyler Davis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
86.0%
C.J. Beathard run for 5 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down PENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Jason Cabinda) to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
85.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-3
85.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-6
86.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Evan Schwan for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 16
OWN 24
0
86.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
87.9%
Saquon Barkley run for 14 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
88.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+7
88.5%
Andre Robinson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
88.6%
Trace McSorley sacked by Matt Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-2
88.3%
Saquon Barkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 47Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+8
87.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 11
OPP 45
-5
87.3%
PENN ST Penalty, false start (Von Walker) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:19
4TH & 16
50
0
87.2%
Blake Gillikin punt for 39 yds, downed at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
89.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 6
OWN 15
-5
89.4%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Kevin Givens for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 11
OWN 10
0
89.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Adrian FalconerSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
89.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 40 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 15FG
11 plays · 31 yds · 4:2093% → 97%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
50
+6
92.5%
Saquon Barkley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
92.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
92.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+13
91.7%
Saquon Barkley run for 13 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
92.6%
Miles Sanders run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
92.6%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+3
92.4%
Saquon Barkley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
92.6%
Trace McSorley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 11
OPP 19
0
92.6%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
92.4%
Trace McSorley pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 11
OPP 19
+37
96.6%
Tyler Davis 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:423% → 2%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 2 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
96.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 6 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
96.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
96.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
96.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
97.7%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted Troy Apke return for 10 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Saquon Barkley for 44 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 3 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-4
99.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Koa Farmer for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 14:35
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 32 yds, downed at the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 2
50
+18
99.8%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Chris Godwin for 18 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.8%
PENN ST Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+14
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 14 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Miles Sanders run for 5 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 13 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 8 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+25
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 25 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to LeShun Daniels Jr.Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Devonte YoungSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 12 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
99.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Ryan Buchholz and Tyrell Chavis for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 36Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+36
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 36 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21END OF GAME
11 plays · 85 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Mark Allen run for no gain to the PnSt 5Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 5
-2
99.9%
Stevens, Tommy rush for 5 yards to the PSU10, PENALTY PSU illegal shift 2 yards to the PSU3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+5
99.9%
Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+13
99.9%
Mark Allen run for 13 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 9 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Mark Allen run for 13 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 45 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
99.9%
Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-1
99.9%
Tommy Stevens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:58
Trace McSorley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+9.2
TD · Q2 4:18
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 12 yds for a TD, (Keith Duncan KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 10:28
Saquon Barkley run for 57 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com