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Maryland 3 at Michigan 59

MICH
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG—MICH 99.7%Kenny Allen 29 Yd Field GoalAWAY 0 - HOME 38 · Q3 10:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:00 · Kenny Allen 29 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense+28.1Score differential+25.2Blowout margin+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Garbage-time factor+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:50: Amara Darboh 34 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +0.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:56: Wilton Speight 10 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:15: De'Veon Smith 3 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +2.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:52: Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:42: Jehu Chesson 33 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:57MD 4th & 18 at MD 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:47MD 4th & 11 at MICH 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:02MD 4th & 3 at MICH 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:33MD 4th & 14 at MD 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 10:00MICH 4th & 8 at MD 10, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:15MD 4th & 11 at MICH 35, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:20MICH 4th & 1 at MD 14, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:17MD 4th & 2 at MICH 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:34MD 4th & 17 at MICH 19, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:50MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:56MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:52MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:42MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00MICH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:07MICH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:26MICH Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1TD
12 plays · 91 yds · 5:0595% → 95%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
95.2%
Wilton Speight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
95.1%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 6 yds to the Mich 15Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+23
95.0%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 23 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
94.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
94.8%
Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
94.7%
Wilton Speight run for 7 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
94.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
94.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Kalis) to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
94.5%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 8 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+6
94.4%
Jabrill Peppers run for 6 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
94.7%
Amara Darboh 34 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 3:356% → 6%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
94.5%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
94.4%
Ty Johnson run for 9 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
94.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 8 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.2%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 2 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
94.2%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 8 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
94.1%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
94.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 48Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-2
94.0%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 46Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 12
OWN 46
-6
94.1%
Perry Hills sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
94.0%
Wade Lees punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:5494% → 95%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
93.9%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 16 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.8%
Ty Isaac run for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+12
93.7%
Eddie McDoom run for 12 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
93.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 40 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
93.8%
Karan Higdon run for 3 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
94.9%
Wilton Speight 10 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4MISSED FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:006% → 6%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.5%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+32
94.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 32 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
94.1%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+16
94.1%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 16 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.8%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mich 28Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.9%
Ty Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+14
93.9%
D.J. Moore run for 14 yds to the Mich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
93.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Mich 15Similar
Q2 14:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+14
93.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 14 yds to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
93.5%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 4Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
93.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Terrance Davis) to the Mich 9Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
93.7%
Perry Hills sacked by Ryan Glasgow for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 11Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
94.0%
Adam Greene 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:2594% → 97%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
94.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 14 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+37
94.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 37 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
94.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 8 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 10:59
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
94.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
94.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 2 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+13
94.5%
Jabrill Peppers run for 13 yds to the Mary 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.2%
De'Veon Smith 3 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6DOWNS
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:053% → 3%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
96.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 19 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.5%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
96.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to DJ Turner for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
96.5%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 2 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
96.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:0498% → 99%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.5%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+15
97.4%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 15 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
97.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Ben Braden) to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 5:08
1ST & 15
OPP 38
-4
97.5%
Karan Higdon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 19
OPP 42
-15
97.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Drake Harris) to the Mich 43Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 34
OWN 43
+56
97.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Chris Evans for 56 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.5%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
99.2%
Caleb Rowe sacked by Chase Winovich for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.2%
Wade Lees punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+16
99.2%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 16 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.3%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.3%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 6 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+33
99.4%
Jehu Chesson 33 Yd pass from Wilton Speight (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 74 yds · 0:321% → 0%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 15 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 9 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 3 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+47
99.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 47 yds to the Mich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Ty Johnson for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.4%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 6 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.5%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Delano Hill return for 9 yds to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:43100% → 100%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+17
99.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 17 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+8
99.6%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 8 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.6%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Jabrill PeppersSimilar
Q3 11:11
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 10:28
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-1
99.6%
Wilton Speight sacked by Chandler Burkett for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+29
99.7%
Kenny Allen 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:290% → 1%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
99.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 10 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.6%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 21 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
99.6%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Ty JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 11
OPP 35
0
99.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+20
99.7%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 20 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
99.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.7%
Chris Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
99.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Khalid Hill for 3 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Khalid Hill run for no gain to the Mary 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+35
99.8%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Ty Johnson for 35 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Ty Johnson run for 3 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 3 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 3:52
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 2 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q3 3:17
4TH & 2
OPP 43
-5
99.8%
Lorenzo Harrison run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:50100% → 100%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.8%
Wilton Speight pass complete to Jake Butt for 15 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 11 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
99.8%
Karan Higdon run for 4 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 7 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kingsley Opara) to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Wilton Speight pass incomplete to Tyrone WheatleySimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
De'Veon Smith 1 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:050% → 0%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Caleb Rowe run for 1 yd to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Teldrick Morgan for 8 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Lorenzo Harrison run for 4 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-7
99.9%
Caleb Rowe run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+52
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Wes Brown for 39 yds to the MICHIGAN 25 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the Mich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
99.9%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 19Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 17
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 17
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 10:34
4TH & 17
OPP 19
+37
99.9%
Adam Greene 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+53
99.9%
Ty Isaac run for 53 yds to the Mary 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
De'Veon Smith 2 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 4 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+23
100.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Avery Edwards for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Teldrick MorganSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 10
50
0
100.0%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Delano Hill return for no gain to the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
John O'Korn pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 16 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
99.9%
John O'Korn pass incomplete to Kekoa CrawfordSimilar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jesse Aniebonam) to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Karan Higdon run for 6 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+13
100.0%
Chris Evans run for 13 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
100.0%
Bobby Henderson run for 8 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+10
100.0%
Chris Evans run for 10 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
100.0%
Kekoa Crawford 9 Yd pass from John O'Korn (Kenny Allen Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
100.0%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 3 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+13
100.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jake Funk for 13 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 5 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside (4 Yards) to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 2 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
100.0%
Jake Funk run for 6 yds to the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:15
De'Veon Smith 3 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)
+2.7
TD · Q2 3:52
Khalid Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 2:56
Wilton Speight 10 Yd Run (Kenny Allen Kick)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com