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NEB

Nebraska 17 at Wisconsin 23

WIS
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:21 · Caleb Lightbourn punt for 45 yds , Corey Clement returns for 24 yds to the Wisc 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remainingGarbage-time factor
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 14Pregame prior+12.1Home team on offense−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score differential−0.3Time remaining+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:17: Robert Wheelwright 9 Yd pass from Alex Hornibrook (Andrew Endicott Kick) — WIS win probability +9.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:45: Tommy Armstrong Jr. 2 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +19.5 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q4 3:43: Drew Brown 35 Yd Field Goal — NEB win probability +13.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:43: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Neb 36 — NEB win probability +11.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Dare Ogunbowale 11 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott PAT failed) — WIS win probability +21.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:35NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:21NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:16NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:38WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:53WIS 4th & 1 at WIS 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:43WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:53WIS 4th & 2 at NEB 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%−0.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:13NEB 4th & 8 at WIS 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    31.4%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52WIS 4th & 14 at WIS 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:47NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:43WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:38NEB 4th & 10 at WIS 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    27.5%−2.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:43NEB 4th & 7 at WIS 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−7.6
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−18.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:43WIS 4th & 2 at NEB 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%−3.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−28.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:08NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:38WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:41NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:17WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:45NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2537% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.1%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
63.1%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
63.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
63.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3063% → 63%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
63.1%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
63.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 4 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
63.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+13
62.9%
Anthony Lotti punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 13 yds to the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:4437% → 37%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
63.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
62.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+4
63.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 4
OWN 35
-5
63.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 9
OWN 30
+24
63.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 45 yds , Corey Clement returns for 24 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
2 plays · 51 yds · 0:4363% → 66%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
63.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 30 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
65.5%
Bradrick Shaw 21 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:2235% → 34%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
64.6%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
64.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
65.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
64.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
65.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
65.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
65.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3866% → 66%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
65.8%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 11Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
65.9%
Jazz Peavy run for 2 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 7
OWN 13
0
65.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+4
65.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 47 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:4035% → 35%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
65.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 9 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
65.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
65.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Sojourn Shelton return for no gain to the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0567% → 66%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
66.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+6
66.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 6 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 1
OWN 18
0
66.4%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 1
OWN 18
+15
66.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 39 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 15 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:1235% → 41%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
65.3%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
65.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Trey FosterSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+36
65.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 36 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
64.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 1Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.7%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Wisc 1Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.5%
Devine Ozigbo 1 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5862% → 61%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Austin RameshSimilar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
61.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
60.8%
Anthony Lotti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:3240% → 41%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
60.0%
Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
59.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
59.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
50
0
58.9%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
50
+5
59.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted D'Cota Dixon return for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:1864% → 65%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
50
+4
64.0%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
64.3%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+9
63.6%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 9 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
64.6%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 6 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
64.4%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
63.6%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Eric SteffesSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+44
64.8%
Andrew Endicott 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:3537% → 37%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
63.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for 5 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+16
63.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 16 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
61.7%
Terrell Newby run for 19 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
60.7%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
60.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
61.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell Newby NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
62.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, downed at the Wisc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:2163% → 64%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
63.3%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 3Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
63.0%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Eric SteffesSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+14
62.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 14 yds to the Wisc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
63.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+12
63.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 12 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
64.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 16 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-3
66.1%
Bart Houston sacked by Mick Stoltenberg for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+6
64.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 7
50
-7
65.6%
Bart Houston sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
64.0%
Anthony Lotti punt for 25 yds, downed at the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:5234% → 33%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
66.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
64.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Garret Dooley for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 34 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 34
+11
67.0%
Terrell Newby run for 11 yds to the Neb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 6:3665% → 80%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
64.6%
Robert Wheelwright run for 6 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
66.9%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+3
65.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 3 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+17
66.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 17 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
68.5%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+10
68.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
69.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 2 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
69.4%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+15
68.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 15 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
70.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
70.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+9
80.2%
Robert Wheelwright 9 Yd pass from Alex Hornibrook (Andrew Endicott Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:2321% → 19%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
78.9%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
79.4%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
80.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Luke McNittSimilar
Q3 6:57
4TH & 3
OWN 22
-5
81.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 17
0
81.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0482% → 81%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
81.8%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
82.1%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-1
81.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 4:43
4TH & 7
OWN 45
+4
80.8%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 34 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:5819% → 40%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.8%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
80.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Vince Biegel) to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
79.6%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam CottonSimilar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
80.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
80.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 8 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
79.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
79.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+14
80.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 14 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.4%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
79.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+16
81.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 16 yds to the Wisc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+10
79.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 10 yds to the Wisc 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
79.9%
Devine Ozigbo run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. 2 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:0970% → 71%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
70.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 9 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+2
72.4%
Bradrick Shaw run for 2 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
71.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass intercepted Nathan Gerry return for 10 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5238% → 32%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
62.4%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
62.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
65.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
68.5%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22INT
4 plays · 45 yds · 2:0270% → 76%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
70.3%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q4 10:56
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+39
71.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 39 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
75.5%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
75.5%
Bart Houston pass intercepted Nathan Gerry return for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FG
11 plays · 52 yds · 5:5333% → 51%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
66.7%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
63.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
63.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
64.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+9
62.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
61.4%
Devine Ozigbo run for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+25
62.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 25 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
59.1%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Wisc 21Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-1
59.9%
Jordan Westerkamp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 22Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+4
62.7%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+35
49.2%
Drew Brown 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:0057% → 62%
Q4 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
57.4%
Corey Clement run for 41 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
65.1%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
65.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
62.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 1:43
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+45
62.2%
Andrew Endicott 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3549% → 48%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
51.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+13
47.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
45.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam CottonSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
46.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for no gain to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
48.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
52.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
58.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Neb 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+7
64.7%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
64.7%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Neb 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
85.9%
Dare Ogunbowale 11 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28Uncategorized
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
75.8%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-1
75.8%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 23Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
84.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
0
88.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Dare Ogunbowale 11 Yd Run (Andrew Endicott PAT failed)
+21.2
TD · Q4 13:45
Tommy Armstrong Jr. 2 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)
-19.5
FG · Q4 3:43
Drew Brown 35 Yd Field Goal
-13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com