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PUR

Purdue 14 at Nebraska 27

NEB
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:13 · Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+24.2Home team on offense−4.9Score differential−2.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:20: DeAngelo Yancey 1 Yd pass from David Blough (J.D. Dellinger Kick) — PUR win probability +0.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:52: DeAngelo Yancey 88 Yd pass from David Blough (J.D. Dellinger Kick) — PUR win probability +2.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:45: De'Mornay Pierson-El 40 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +9.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:05: Alonzo Moore 24 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +7.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 11:10: Drew Brown 51 Yd Field Goal — NEB win probability +4.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:20PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:03NEB 4th & 8 at PUR 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:38PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:53NEB 4th & 11 at NEB 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:46NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:20PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:16NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:55PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−2.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00PUR 4th & 12 at NEB 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:26NEB 4th & 10 at PUR 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 25, up 4
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:52PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:10NEB 4th & 12 at PUR 28, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:37PUR 4th & 10 at NEB 37, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:42NEB 4th & 16 at PUR 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:25PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:44NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:20PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:52PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:45NEB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:05NEB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.2%
Markell Jones pass intercepted Kieron Williams return for 1 yd to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
94.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. 22 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:116% → 7%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.2%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
94.1%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
94.1%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 15 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
94.0%
David Blough pass complete to Malik Kimbrough for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
50
+44
93.9%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 44 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
93.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Neb 2Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.6%
Richie Worship run for 1 yd to the Neb 1Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
DeAngelo Yancey 1 Yd pass from David Blough (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:0193% → 92%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
93.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 11 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
93.2%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+10
92.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 10 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
92.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
92.7%
Terrell Newby run for 11 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
92.6%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
92.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Mikale Wilbon for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+10
92.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 10 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
92.1%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
92.0%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for no gain to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
91.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
91.8%
Drew Brown 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:128% → 9%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
91.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
91.5%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 5 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+8
91.4%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-17
90.9%
David Blough sacked by Carlos Davis for a loss of 17 yards to the Prdue 22 PURDUE Penalty, Intentional Grounding, loss of downSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 27
OWN 22
+10
91.1%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 10 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 17
OWN 32
+12
91.1%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 12 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
90.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 47 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0790% → 89%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
90.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 14 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
90.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 20 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
90.6%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-3
90.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
89.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
89.3%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 56 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
5 plays · 98 yds · 1:5510% → 13%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
89.9%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 11 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
89.6%
Richie Worship run for 4 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
89.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-5
89.6%
Blough, David pass complete to Marshall, Bilal for 14 yards to the PURDUE31, PENALTY PURDUE illegal motion (King, Jason) 5 yards to the PURDUE12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+88
86.9%
DeAngelo Yancey 88 Yd pass from David Blough (J.D. Dellinger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:5787% → 86%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
86.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 23 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
87.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
87.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Mikale WilbonSimilar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
86.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
85.6%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1814% → 14%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
85.7%
Malik Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+2
85.4%
Brian Lankford-Johnson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
85.4%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
85.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 51 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5785% → 83%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
84.6%
Mikale Wilbon run for 1 yd to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
84.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+1
84.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Tre Bryant for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+4
83.4%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 38 yds , Malik Kimbrough returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
14 plays · 36 yds · 5:0517% → 22%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
82.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+2
81.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
81.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 6 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
80.2%
Richie Worship run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
80.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-8
78.4%
David Blough sacked by Kevin Maurice for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+3
79.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+14
79.1%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 14 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+7
77.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 7 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
76.0%
Malik Kimbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 12
OPP 40
0
76.1%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
76.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
78.0%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:3779% → 80%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Bryan ReimersSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
79.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 15 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
79.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Cotton, broken up by Da'Wan HunteSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
79.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
50
0
80.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
74.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5780% → 76%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.8%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
79.5%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
78.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
76.2%
Caleb Lightbourn punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:0525% → 26%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
75.5%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 8 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+5
74.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
74.3%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
73.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+2
73.4%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 2 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
73.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:2373% → 84%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
73.3%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-2
72.7%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+28
70.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 28 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
74.6%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+40
84.2%
De'Mornay Pierson-El 40 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:4819% → 20%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
81.0%
Blough, David pass complete to Yancey, DeAngelo for 5 yards to the PURDUE30, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Marshall, Bilal) 12 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+9
80.8%
David Blough pass complete to Brycen Hopkins for 9 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
80.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offside Defense (Kevin Maurice) to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
79.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 9 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
79.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
79.3%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
77.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q3 4:52
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
79.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 5:3580% → 91%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
80.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 6 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-12
79.2%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass complete to Reilly, Brandon for 11 yards to the NEBRASKA35, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Cotton, Sam) 12 yards to the NEBRASKA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+24
78.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 24 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
80.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+18
81.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Eddy Wilson) to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
81.8%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+15
80.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 15 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
81.9%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
81.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
80.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
83.7%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Alonzo Moore) to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+24
91.3%
Alonzo Moore 24 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4110% → 10%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q4 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.5%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
90.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FG
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:5592% → 95%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
91.5%
Terrell Newby run for 19 yds to the Prdue 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
91.7%
Newby, Terrell rush for 3 yards to the PURDUE7, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Hahn, Sam) 10 yards to the PURDUE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
0
91.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
-14
91.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Lorenzo Neal for a loss of 14 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 34
0
90.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 0
OPP 34
+51
95.3%
Drew Brown 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 34
OWN 35
-15
94.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:457% → 7%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
93.5%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
93.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
93.5%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.5%
David Blough pass intercepted Kieron Williams return for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:3896% → 97%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
95.7%
Terrell Newby run for 13 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
95.8%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+1
95.8%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+28
96.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 28 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
96.5%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-1
96.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+12
96.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 12 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
96.9%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Alonzo Moore run for no gain to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 12
OPP 28
0
97.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 4:10
4TH & 12
OPP 28
+45
96.6%
Drew Brown 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:294% → 4%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
95.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brian Lankford-JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
96.1%
David Blough run for 9 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
95.4%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+23
95.5%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 23 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
95.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
95.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
95.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:5597% → 99%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
97.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Sam Hahn) to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+25
97.3%
Terrell Newby run for 25 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
97.6%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-10
98.4%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 36 NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Gates) to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+2
98.3%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
98.6%
TEAM punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:142% → 2%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
97.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Brycen HopkinsSimilar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
97.7%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
97.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 2
OWN 29
-7
97.6%
David Blough sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-1
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:45
De'Mornay Pierson-El 40 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)
+9.6
TD · Q4 14:05
Alonzo Moore 24 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)
+7.6
FG · Q4 11:10
Drew Brown 51 Yd Field Goal
+4.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com