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WIS

Wisconsin 17 at Iowa 9

IOWA
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:53 · Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Wisc 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Home team on offense−15.0Garbage-time factor−5.5Score differential−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Pregame prior−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:06: Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +6.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:47: Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST down — IOWA win probability +5.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Miguel Recinos 47 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +5.6 pts (now 54%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:20: Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK) — WIS win probability +14.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:15: Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26 — WIS win probability +6.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 8
  1. Q1 13:42IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43WIS 4th & 2 at IOWA 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.8%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:08IOWA 4th & 1 at WIS 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:55WIS 4th & 10 at IOWA 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:04IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:34WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:49IOWA 4th & 6 at WIS 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:51WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 44, up 1
    Close callPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:24IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:27IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:04WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 34, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%−1.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:05IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 40, down 8
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:53WIS 4th & 28 at WIS 13, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%−5.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:39IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 49, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−2.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:31WIS 4th & 6 at IOWA 43, up 8
    Close callPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−2.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:25IOWA 4th & 5 at WIS 20, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−2.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−10.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:24WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 18, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−4.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:43IOWA 4th & 7 at WIS 7, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%−1.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:06WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:20WIS Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1347% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
47.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
47.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
47.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:5253% → 52%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
47.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 9 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+1
47.2%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
47.3%
A.J. Taylor run for 23 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
47.2%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
47.2%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
47.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 3 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
47.3%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+5
47.4%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 14
0
47.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+32
47.8%
Andrew Endicott 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:2748% → 49%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
48.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 21Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
48.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 10 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
48.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
49.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
49.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
49.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
49.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 3 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
49.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jay Scheel for 6 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
49.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:0151% → 51%
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
49.0%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+8
48.9%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
49.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
49.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Eric Steffes for 5 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+26
49.4%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 26 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
47.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
47.6%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 12 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
47.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
47.2%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
48.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
49.2%
Anthony Lotti punt for 28 yds, downed at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5450% → 49%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
49.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+2
50.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 2
OWN 15
0
49.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
48.9%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Corey Clement at the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:3452% → 60%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
48.1%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 12 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
47.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
47.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+1
47.6%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
47.7%
Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 9 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+8
47.0%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
47.0%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
40.2%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5142% → 41%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
42.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+4
43.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
42.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jay ScheelSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
42.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
41.2%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
40.8%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wisc 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2659% → 58%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
40.8%
Alex Hornibrook run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
40.8%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+1
41.3%
A.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+38
41.8%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wisc 34 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:3643% → 46%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
43.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+11
43.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 11 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
44.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 8 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+1
44.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
42.8%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (George Kittle) to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
41.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
46.4%
Keith Duncan 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:4156% → 62%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
43.9%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 14 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
40.9%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+54
40.5%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Kyle Penniston for 54 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
37.8%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
37.6%
Austin Ramesh run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
38.0%
Corey Clement run for no gain Corey Clement fumbled, recovered by Iowa Desmond King for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11END OF HALF
10 plays · 51 yds · 0:4744% → 54%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
43.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
44.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Noah Fant for 14 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
45.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 6 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+7
46.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 7 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
46.3%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+11
46.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 11 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+47
53.8%
Miguel Recinos 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:0453% → 52%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
47.0%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
47.1%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Corey Clement for 2 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
48.0%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 10 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
45.3%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
45.0%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
45.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
47.6%
Anthony Lotti punt for 37 yds , Desmond King returns for no gain to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:2149% → 48%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
49.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 24 Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
49.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds, fumbles, recovered by Jay Scheel to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST down Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
49.7%
Riley McCarron run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 15
OWN 28
0
48.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+8
47.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 8 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 1:5054% → 72%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+57
45.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 57 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
42.8%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
42.7%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.7%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4331% → 29%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 28 Akrum Wadley fumbled, recovered by Iowa Ike BoettgerSimilar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
31.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
30.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jay ScheelSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
29.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 45 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 10 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:1372% → 73%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
28.2%
Jazz Peavy run for 3 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
27.3%
Alex Hornibrook pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 5 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+4
27.5%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
25.8%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Greg Mabin) to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
24.2%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
23.9%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
24.2%
Alex Hornibrook pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+52
26.9%
Andrew Endicott 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5029% → 27%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
28.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 6 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+3
31.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-3
30.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
27.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 1:0575% → 73%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
24.8%
Alex Hornibrook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-9
25.2%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 19
OWN 22
-9
26.6%
Alex Hornibrook sacked by Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 28
OWN 13
0
27.5%
Anthony Lotti punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0531% → 24%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
31.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
30.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-5
29.1%
C.J. Beathard sacked by T.J. Watt and Garret Dooley for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 13:39
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
23.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 3:5978% → 82%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
22.5%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+21
21.6%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 21 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
18.8%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
18.3%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+8
18.4%
Bart Houston run for 8 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
17.1%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
16.7%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
16.0%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
18.1%
Anthony Lotti punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:5022% → 17%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
21.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 9 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+4
22.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 4 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
21.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 6 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+9
22.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 9 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
21.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 17 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
25.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
23.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
22.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
21.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 5 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
19.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
17.2%
Keith Duncan 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 3:5189% → 98%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
11.0%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
9.9%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+34
9.8%
Corey Clement run for 34 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
6.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+8
5.6%
Bradrick Shaw run for 8 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
5.6%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
4.2%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
3.7%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 1:24
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
1.9%
Andrew Endicott 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:226% → 7%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
5.6%
C.J. Beathard sacked by T.J. Watt for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 28 IOWA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (C.J. Beathard) to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 15
OPP 28
+21
4.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for 21 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
5.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
4.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jay ScheelSimilar
Q4 0:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
7.1%
Keith Duncan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3699% → 97%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
1.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:20
Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
-14.9
TD · Q2 10:06
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 17 yds for a TD, (Andrew Endicott KICK)
-6.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:15
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com